517 W Clark St · Nashville, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.4/30.0
- ARV discount +10.0/15.0
- Appreciation +7.1/10.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
* * New CH/CA unit * * New Roof * * New hot water heater * * Older frame home in the heart of downtown Nashville, offers approx 1,348 sq ft of living space, 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Kitchen with dishwasher and refrigerator. Hall bathroom has a new vanity and walk-in tub. Home has been totally updated with new paint and new floor coverings and new Storm door. CH/CA, laundry room, single carport and spacious yard.
Key facts
- New vanity
- Walk-in tub
- New hot water heater
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $97 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (15.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $109k (15.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.6% in Nashville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#153 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, crime D-, amenities F.
- Nashville School District (town): math 37% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #81 of 238 in AR (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Howard County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($898 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
- Howard County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $130k implies a 116% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.20%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $137,437
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- -5.48%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 517 W Clark St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,348 (0%) | 23mo | $60,000 | $45 | 81 |
| 234 Hempstead 349 | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,280 (-5%) | 14mo | $280,000 | $219 | 64 |
| 114 Hempstead 1235 | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,204 (-11%) | 16mo | $133,000 | $110 | 54 |
| 806 W Johnson | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,178 (-13%) | 23mo | $124,000 | $105 | 45 |
| 707 N 4th St | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,178 (-13%) | 20mo | $126,000 | $107 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $30,173
- Equity at exit
- $67,365
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.44×
- Total profit
- $88,827
- Equity at exit
- $111,399
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71852
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,092 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $368/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$229
- Net cashflow
- $97
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-01-12$129,900 New Listing 424-char remark
Show marketing remark (424 chars)
* * New CH/CA unit * * New Roof * * New hot water heater * * Older frame home in the heart of downtown Nashville, offers approx 1,348 sq ft of living space, 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths. Kitchen with dishwasher and refrigerator. Hall bathroom has a new vanity and walk-in tub. Home has been totally updated with new paint and new floor coverings and new Storm door. CH/CA, laundry room, single carport and spacious yard.
-
2026-01-09historical
-
2025-06-30price $129,900
-
2025-01-14$135,000 New Listing
-
2024-07-15soldstatus $60,000 Sold
-
2024-07-15soldstatus $60,000
-
2024-06-27status Under Contract
-
2024-06-21$79,500 New Listing
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $368 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $831 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- +$463/yr (+$39/mo · 125.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,107
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$368
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,049
- − Management
- −$1,049
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable loss
- −$1,063
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$255
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,418/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nashville School District
- NCES district ID
- 0510380
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,746
- Composite
- 32.48/100
- National rank
- #5708
- State rank
- #81 of 238 in AR
Livability — Nashville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #153
- US rank
- #13205
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Nashville, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,088
Population outlook (Howard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,642 people
- By 2030
- 12,218 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 11,470 · -9.3%
- By 2050
- 10,874 · -14.0%
- By 2075
- 10,517 · -16.8%
- By 2100
- 10,929 · -13.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% German/W. Germanic 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Howard
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.7) · D 25.9% · R 72.6% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -46.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.7 2020: R+41.9 2016: R+39.0 2012: R+31.7 2008: R+25.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.20%
- Current HPI
- 250.2966
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+63.4% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-12 Listed $129,900 CARMLS
- 2026-01-09 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2025-06-30 Price Changed $129,900 CARMLS
- 2025-01-14 Listed $135,000 CARMLS
- 2024-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2024-07-15 Sold (MLS) $60,000 CARMLS
- 2024-06-27 Pending — CARMLS
- 2024-06-21 Listed $79,500 CARMLS
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2022): $368 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…