1628 Miller St · Utica, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special! Priced at just $69,000, this 4-bedroom, 1-bath (with potential for a second half bath) fixer-upper at 1628 Miller Street is a rare opportunity you don’t want to miss. Offering 1,900 sq ft of space on a 40 x 114 lot, the home has already been partially gutted—saving you demo time—and features a brand-new main roof. With a spacious layout and a large backyard, this property is perfect for investors, flippers, or homeowners ready to take on a rewarding renovation. Located in a quiet, established neighborhood close to schools and amenities, this as-is property has endless potential. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Front porch
- 4,560 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story wood-sided house; Existing/resale property
- Construction: Block foundation; Wood siding
- Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Rectangular residential lot (40 x 114)
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 9; Living room included
- Flooring: Hardwood; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating
- Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $937 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
- Cap rate 22.6% vs local median 7.7% in Utica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#104 in NY, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
- Utica City School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #562 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($477 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 58.22%
- DSCR
- 3.59
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $191,900
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1628 Miller St | 0.00mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,900 (0%) | 7mo | $55,000 | $29 | 89 |
| 119 Pleasant St | 0.39mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,913 (+1%) | 2mo | $192,500 | $101 | 72 |
| 633 Pleasant St | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,925 (+1%) | 7mo | $190,000 | $99 | 65 |
| 10 Grant St | 0.61mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,865 (-2%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $145 | 61 |
| 1548 Kemble St | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,906 (+0%) | 14mo | $180,200 | $95 | 61 |
| 1537 Dudley Ave | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,729 (-9%) | 6mo | $132,500 | $77 | 60 |
| 1614 Harrison Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,986 (+4%) | 8mo | $319,300 | $161 | 49 |
| 1505 Brookside Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,728 (-9%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $122 | 46 |
| 709 Parkway E | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,984 (+4%) | 4mo | $205,000 | $103 | 46 |
| 1803 Baker Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,638 (-14%) | 1mo | $223,000 | $136 | 42 |
| 637 James St | 0.55mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,700 (-10%) | 15mo | $160,000 | $94 | 37 |
| 1808 Storrs Ave | 0.63mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 2,113 (+11%) | 15mo | $190,000 | $90 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 70.7%
- Equity multiple
- 6.04×
- Total profit
- $97,344
- Equity at exit
- $62,161
- IRR
- 64.5%
- Equity multiple
- 13.41×
- Total profit
- $239,838
- Equity at exit
- $134,052
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13501
- Home prices YoY
- 5.6%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,861 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax from tax record
- −$142 /mo · $1,707/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$391
- Net cashflow
- $937
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $976 | -5% $957 | +0% $937 | +5% $918 | +10% $898 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $790 | -5% $864 | +0% $937 | +5% $1,011 | +10% $1,084 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $972 | -0.5pp $955 | base $937 | +0.5pp $920 | +1.0pp $901 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1642 Taylor Ave #1644 Utica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2600 | $1,650 | $0.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1804 Storrs Ave Utica, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1633 | $3,000 | $1.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1124 Dudley Ave Unit 1 Utica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 807 Eagle St Utica, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1526 | $1,300 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $69,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $69,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 551-char remark
-
2026-06-09$69,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,707 · $142/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,707 · $142/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,333
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$1,707
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,787
- − Management
- −$1,787
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $10,835
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,600
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,648/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Utica City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3629370
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,834
- Composite
- 29.01/100
- National rank
- #6613
- State rank
- #562 of 590 in NY
Livability — Utica
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #104
- US rank
- #1589
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Utica, NY
- County
- Oneida County · 89,710 people
- City population
- 72,968
- Metro
- Utica-Rome, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,931
- Household income
- $52,548
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2251.0
Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 225,223 people
- By 2030
- 220,384 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 209,071 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 197,920 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 175,541 · -22.1%
- By 2100
- 148,491 · -34.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 14% Asian 14%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- American 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 10% Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Oneida
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.28%
- Current HPI
- 382.3726
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Utica-Rome, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+72.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $69,000 CNYIS
- 2025-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2025-11-25 Sold (MLS) $55,000 CNYIS
- 2025-10-14 Pending — CNYIS
- 2025-07-05 Price Changed $62,000 CNYIS
- 2025-05-29 Listed $69,000 CNYIS
- 2025-04-06 Listed $69,000 CNYIS
- 2025-03-21 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2025-02-10 Listed $69,000 CNYIS
- 1995-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,707 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…