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1628 Miller St
B+ Composite 79.4
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$69,000

1628 Miller St · Utica, NY 13501
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,900 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1900 4,560 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Special! Priced at just $69,000, this 4-bedroom, 1-bath (with potential for a second half bath) fixer-upper at 1628 Miller Street is a rare opportunity you don’t want to miss. Offering 1,900 sq ft of space on a 40 x 114 lot, the home has already been partially gutted—saving you demo time—and features a brand-new main roof. With a spacious layout and a large backyard, this property is perfect for investors, flippers, or homeowners ready to take on a rewarding renovation. Located in a quiet, established neighborhood close to schools and amenities, this as-is property has endless potential. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Front porch
  • 4,560 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900

Tags

RECENTLY INSTALLED MAIN ROOFFRONT PORCH

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story wood-sided house; Existing/resale property
  • Construction: Block foundation; Wood siding
  • Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Rectangular residential lot (40 x 114)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 9; Living room included
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating
  • Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $937 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
  • Cap rate 22.6% vs local median 7.7% in Utica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#104 in NY, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
  • Utica City School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #562 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($477 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $69,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.70%
Cap rate
22.60%
Cash-on-cash
58.22%
DSCR
3.59
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$191,900
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1628 Miller St 0.00mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,900 (0%) 7mo $55,000 $29 89
119 Pleasant St 0.39mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,913 (+1%) 2mo $192,500 $101 72
633 Pleasant St 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,925 (+1%) 7mo $190,000 $99 65
10 Grant St 0.61mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,865 (-2%) 1mo $270,000 $145 61
1548 Kemble St 0.39mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,906 (+0%) 14mo $180,200 $95 61
1537 Dudley Ave 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,729 (-9%) 6mo $132,500 $77 60
1614 Harrison Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,986 (+4%) 8mo $319,300 $161 49
1505 Brookside Ave 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,728 (-9%) 3mo $210,000 $122 46
709 Parkway E 0.74mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,984 (+4%) 4mo $205,000 $103 46
1803 Baker Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,638 (-14%) 1mo $223,000 $136 42
637 James St 0.55mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,700 (-10%) 15mo $160,000 $94 37
1808 Storrs Ave 0.63mi 4/1.5 (+1) 2,113 (+11%) 15mo $190,000 $90 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
70.7%
Equity multiple
6.04×
Total profit
$97,344
Equity at exit
$62,161
10-year hold
IRR
64.5%
Equity multiple
13.41×
Total profit
$239,838
Equity at exit
$134,052

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13501

Home prices YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
143
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,861 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax from tax record
$142 /mo · $1,707/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$391
Net cashflow
$937

Break-even live

Break-even rent $675
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $976 -5% $957 +0% $937 +5% $918 +10% $898
Rent -10% $790 -5% $864 +0% $937 +5% $1,011 +10% $1,084
Rate -1.0pp $972 -0.5pp $955 base $937 +0.5pp $920 +1.0pp $901

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1642 Taylor Ave #1644 Utica, NY 3.0 1.0 2600 $1,650 $0.63 44d 1 0.32mi
1804 Storrs Ave Utica, NY 3.0 1.5 1633 $3,000 $1.84 44d 1 0.62mi
1124 Dudley Ave Unit 1 Utica, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 44d 1 0.82mi
807 Eagle St Utica, NY 3.0 1.0 1526 $1,300 $0.85 44d 1 1.08mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $69,000 Active 11 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $69,000 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    remarks 551-char remark
  10. 2026-06-09
    listed $69,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,707 · $142/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,707 · $142/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,333
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$1,707
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,787
− Management
−$1,787
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$10,835
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,600
After-tax cash flow
$8,648/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Utica City School District
NCES district ID
3629370
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$31,834
Composite
29.01/100
National rank
#6613
State rank
#562 of 590 in NY

Livability — Utica

Score
80/100
State rank
#104
US rank
#1589

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Utica, NY
County
Oneida County · 89,710 people
City population
72,968
Metro
Utica-Rome, NY
Population (ZIP)
38,931
Household income
$52,548
Rent vs Own
49.2% rent · 50.8% own
Severe rent burden
2251.0

Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
225,223 people
By 2030
220,384 · -2.1%
By 2040
209,071 · -7.2%
By 2050
197,920 · -12.1%
By 2075
175,541 · -22.1%
By 2100
148,491 · -34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 14% Asian 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
American 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
62% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 10% Spanish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Oneida

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 20.28%
Current HPI
382.3726
Rent YoY
Metro
Utica-Rome, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+72.5% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $69,000 CNYIS
  • 2025-12-04 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2025-11-25 Sold (MLS) $55,000 CNYIS
  • 2025-10-14 Pending CNYIS
  • 2025-07-05 Price Changed $62,000 CNYIS
  • 2025-05-29 Listed $69,000 CNYIS
  • 2025-04-06 Listed $69,000 CNYIS
  • 2025-03-21 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2025-02-10 Listed $69,000 CNYIS
  • 1995-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,707 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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