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9643 Spyglass Ave
F Composite 30.64
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +3.6/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$94,000

9643 Spyglass Ave · Desert Hot Springs, CA 92240
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 565 sqft · Condo · 35 Days on market
Built 1984 Poor condition

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

COUNTRY CLUB LIFE AT AN AFFORDABLE PRICE! This immaculate 2 bedroom is hitting the market. Located in beautiful Mission Lakes Country Club, this condo offers many amenities such as. .. Unlimited Golf for Owners, Fine Dining , Sand Wedge Café (open daily at 6:30 a. m. ), Banquet and Meeting Rooms, Social Events, Semi-Private 18-hole Championship Ted Robinson designed Golf Course, Fully stocked Golf Shop, Wellness Center/Fitness Classes, Lighted Tennis and Pickle Ball Courts, Riviera-style Pool and Hot Spas, The Inn at Mission Lakes accommodates guests. Don't miss this one!

Key facts

  • Fitness center
  • Clubhouse
  • Tennis courts

Tags

COMMUNITY POOLSFITNESS CENTERTENNIS COURTSON-SITE LAUNDRY FACILITIESCLUBHOUSEFIRE PITS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $94k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-280 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $94k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 2.7% vs local median 4.0% in Desert Hot Springs — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,149 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 515 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $650 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $86k (48%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 56% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $91,180 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.70%
Cap rate
2.72%
Cash-on-cash
-12.76%
DSCR
0.43
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.66% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-36.6%
Equity multiple
-0.19×
Total profit
$-31,416
Equity at exit
$14,016
10-year hold
IRR
-35.0%
Equity multiple
-0.65×
Total profit
$-43,551
Equity at exit
$8,127

Cash invested: $26,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92240

Home prices YoY
-19.6%
Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
515
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,595 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$493
Tax est. 1.5%
$118 /mo · $1,410/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA est. from 2 same-building comps
$890
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$335
Net cashflow
$-280

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,949
Max offer price $53,511
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,500
Closing costs
$2,820
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9647 Spyglass Ave Desert Hot Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 565 $1,500 $2.65 24d 1 0.05mi
9647 Spyglass Ave Desert Hot Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 565 $1,500 $2.65 3d 1 0.05mi
64281 Spyglass Ave Desert Hot Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 565 $1,875 $3.32 23d 1 0.15mi
64281 Spyglass Ave Desert Hot Springs, CA 1.0 1.0 565 $1,700 $3.01 18d 3 0.15mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$0 · $0/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    days on market $94,000 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,000 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $94,000 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $94,000 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $94,000 Active 28 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $94,000 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-04
    days on market $94,000 Active 24 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $94,000 Active 23 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $94,000 Active 22 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $94,000 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $94,000 Active 20 DOM
  12. 2026-05-12
    listed $94,000 Active 1089-char remark
  13. 2023-06-05
    soldstatus $150,000 Closed Sale 585-char remark
    Show marketing remark (585 chars)

    COUNTRY CLUB LIFE AT AN AFFORDABLE PRICE! This immaculate 2 bedroom is hitting the market. Located in beautiful Mission Lakes Country Club, this condo offers many amenities such as. .. Unlimited Golf for Owners, Fine Dining , Sand Wedge Café (open daily at 6:30 a. m. ), Banquet and Meeting Rooms, Social Events, Semi-Private 18-hole Championship Ted Robinson designed Golf Course, Fully stocked Golf Shop, Wellness Center/Fitness Classes, Lighted Tennis and Pickle Ball Courts, Riviera-style Pool and Hot Spas, The Inn at Mission Lakes accommodates guests. Don't miss this one!

  14. 2023-05-09
    status Pending Sale 585-char remark
    Show marketing remark (585 chars)

    COUNTRY CLUB LIFE AT AN AFFORDABLE PRICE! This immaculate 2 bedroom is hitting the market. Located in beautiful Mission Lakes Country Club, this condo offers many amenities such as. .. Unlimited Golf for Owners, Fine Dining , Sand Wedge Café (open daily at 6:30 a. m. ), Banquet and Meeting Rooms, Social Events, Semi-Private 18-hole Championship Ted Robinson designed Golf Course, Fully stocked Golf Shop, Wellness Center/Fitness Classes, Lighted Tennis and Pickle Ball Courts, Riviera-style Pool and Hot Spas, The Inn at Mission Lakes accommodates guests. Don't miss this one!

  15. 2023-04-16
    historical Active Under Contract 585-char remark
    Show marketing remark (585 chars)

    COUNTRY CLUB LIFE AT AN AFFORDABLE PRICE! This immaculate 2 bedroom is hitting the market. Located in beautiful Mission Lakes Country Club, this condo offers many amenities such as. .. Unlimited Golf for Owners, Fine Dining , Sand Wedge Café (open daily at 6:30 a. m. ), Banquet and Meeting Rooms, Social Events, Semi-Private 18-hole Championship Ted Robinson designed Golf Course, Fully stocked Golf Shop, Wellness Center/Fitness Classes, Lighted Tennis and Pickle Ball Courts, Riviera-style Pool and Hot Spas, The Inn at Mission Lakes accommodates guests. Don't miss this one!

  16. 2023-03-17
    listed $179,900 Active 585-char remark
    Show marketing remark (585 chars)

    COUNTRY CLUB LIFE AT AN AFFORDABLE PRICE! This immaculate 2 bedroom is hitting the market. Located in beautiful Mission Lakes Country Club, this condo offers many amenities such as. .. Unlimited Golf for Owners, Fine Dining , Sand Wedge Café (open daily at 6:30 a. m. ), Banquet and Meeting Rooms, Social Events, Semi-Private 18-hole Championship Ted Robinson designed Golf Course, Fully stocked Golf Shop, Wellness Center/Fitness Classes, Lighted Tennis and Pickle Ball Courts, Riviera-style Pool and Hot Spas, The Inn at Mission Lakes accommodates guests. Don't miss this one!

  17. 2007-07-15
    historical
  18. 2006-01-27
    listed $104,000
  19. 2000-02-20
    historical
  20. 1999-09-10
    listed $59,900
  21. 1998-12-01
    historical
  22. 1998-08-25
    listed $42,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥110°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,136
− Mortgage interest
−$5,265
− Property taxes
−$1,410
− Insurance
−$470
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,531
− Management
−$1,531
− HOA
−$10,680
− Depreciation
−$2,735
Taxable loss
−$4,486
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,077
After-tax cash flow
$-2,281/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and updates, including major work on the paint, flooring, windows, and HVAC. Significant investment is needed to bring it up to a livable condition.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Paint — Paint appears chipped and worn
  • Major Flooring — Hardwood flooring appears worn
  • Major Windows — Windows appear old and possibly leaky
  • Major HVAC — No photos of HVAC

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value
  • Both Flooring — New flooring can enhance the home's appeal and value
  • Both Windows — New windows can improve energy efficiency and curb appeal
  • Both HVAC — Upgraded HVAC can improve comfort and energy efficiency

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Paint · Paint appears chipped and worn Major $15,000–50,000
Flooring · Hardwood flooring appears worn Major $15,000–50,000
Windows · Windows appear old and possibly leaky Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC · No photos of HVAC Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $60,000–200,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value
  • Both Flooring — New flooring can enhance the home's appeal and value
  • Both Windows — New windows can improve energy efficiency and curb appeal
  • Both HVAC — Upgraded HVAC can improve comfort and energy efficiency

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Springs Unified
NCES district ID
0629550
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,638
Composite
26.76/100
National rank
#7131
State rank
#328 of 517 in CA

Livability — Desert Hot Springs

Score
49/100
State rank
#1149
US rank
#25774

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime D+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
41,615
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
41,615
Household income
$54,023
Rent vs Own
43.2% rent · 56.8% own
Severe rent burden
2095.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 64% Two or more races 27% White 23% Black 7% Native American 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 53%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
47% English-only · Spanish 50% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -102.10%
Current HPI
418.4691
Rent YoY
▲ 3.66%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+257.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2023-06-05 Sold (MLS) $150,000 CRMLS
  • 2023-05-09 Pending CRMLS
  • 2023-04-16 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2023-03-17 Listed $179,900 CRMLS
  • 2007-07-15 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 2006-01-27 Listed $104,000 GPSMLS
  • 2000-02-20 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 1999-09-10 Listed $59,900 GPSMLS
  • 1998-12-01 Listing Removed GPSMLS
  • 1998-08-25 Listed $42,000 GPSMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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