🏷️ Likely Rental
2165 Five Mile Line Rd · East Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 1,916 sq ft multi family residence with flexibility to easily convert back to a single family home * This Queen Anne style property features updated vinyl siding, double wide extended driveway, and a spacious half acre lot with mature, picturesque trees * The home offers a beautifully detailed foyer and an inviting front porch * Lower unit features a large eat in kitchen with a BRAND new dishwasher, spacious rooms and enclosed porch * Upper unit includes a long term tenant with potential for increased rental income * Separate utilities for each unit * Garage was completely redone in 2024 and is currently rented * A unique opportunity combining character, space and versatiity * Walking distance to Penfield's Four Corners, dining and entertainment *
Key facts
- Updated vinyl siding
- 0.5 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $636 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
- Recommended offer: $246k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 4.5% in East Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#155 in NY, #2,400 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D.
- Penfield Central School District (suburban): math 77% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #67 of 590 in NY (top 11%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($119k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $250k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.91%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $517,756
- List price
- $249,900
- Delta
- -51.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 14 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 827 Harmon Rd | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,632 (-15%) | 9mo | $375,000 | $230 | 56 |
| 745-747 Liberty St | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (-12%) | 8mo | $345,000 | $205 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $165
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $52,877
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14526
- Active inventory
- 113
- Price-to-rent
- 13.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,173 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$456 /mo · $5,469/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$666
- Net cashflow
- $636
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $3,172 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $1,586 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $1,586 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,173 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405 Garfield Ave East Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1228 | $2,000 | $1.63 | 3d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 223 E Filbert St East Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1512 | $2,475 | $1.64 | 3d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 766-char remark
Show marketing remark (766 chars)
Charming 1,916 sq ft multi family residence with flexibility to easily convert back to a single family home * This Queen Anne style property features updated vinyl siding, double wide extended driveway, and a spacious half acre lot with mature, picturesque trees * The home offers a beautifully detailed foyer and an inviting front porch * Lower unit features a large eat in kitchen with a BRAND new dishwasher, spacious rooms and enclosed porch * Upper unit includes a long term tenant with potential for increased rental income * Separate utilities for each unit * Garage was completely redone in 2024 and is currently rented * A unique opportunity combining character, space and versatiity * Walking distance to Penfield's Four Corners, dining and entertainment *
-
2026-05-06historical Active Under Contract 766-char remark
Show marketing remark (766 chars)
Charming 1,916 sq ft multi family residence with flexibility to easily convert back to a single family home * This Queen Anne style property features updated vinyl siding, double wide extended driveway, and a spacious half acre lot with mature, picturesque trees * The home offers a beautifully detailed foyer and an inviting front porch * Lower unit features a large eat in kitchen with a BRAND new dishwasher, spacious rooms and enclosed porch * Upper unit includes a long term tenant with potential for increased rental income * Separate utilities for each unit * Garage was completely redone in 2024 and is currently rented * A unique opportunity combining character, space and versatiity * Walking distance to Penfield's Four Corners, dining and entertainment *
-
2026-04-21$249,900 Active 766-char remark
Show marketing remark (766 chars)
Charming 1,916 sq ft multi family residence with flexibility to easily convert back to a single family home * This Queen Anne style property features updated vinyl siding, double wide extended driveway, and a spacious half acre lot with mature, picturesque trees * The home offers a beautifully detailed foyer and an inviting front porch * Lower unit features a large eat in kitchen with a BRAND new dishwasher, spacious rooms and enclosed porch * Upper unit includes a long term tenant with potential for increased rental income * Separate utilities for each unit * Garage was completely redone in 2024 and is currently rented * A unique opportunity combining character, space and versatiity * Walking distance to Penfield's Four Corners, dining and entertainment *
-
2010-12-15soldstatus $75,000
-
2010-12-14soldstatus $75,000 599-char remark
Show marketing remark (599 chars)
Queen Anne Style Home Ready for Your Special Touch! Seldom Available Two Family Walking distance to Penfield 4 Corners. Same Owner over 40 years! Set on . 50 acre lot w/ gorgeous trees & Large Outbuilding (Potential Two Car Garage). Gorgeous Foyer w/ lovely Architectural Detail. Owner's unit has large eat-in kitchen w/ wood stove; Enclosed Porch; 1st floor laundry; Entertainment Size Dining Room. 2nd Floor Unit has long term tenant at very low rent. Potential for higher rent. House could be reconverted to one family home. All seperate utilities, New tear-off Roof 2006. House Sold As IS.
-
2010-08-02$89,900 599-char remark
Show marketing remark (599 chars)
Queen Anne Style Home Ready for Your Special Touch! Seldom Available Two Family Walking distance to Penfield 4 Corners. Same Owner over 40 years! Set on . 50 acre lot w/ gorgeous trees & Large Outbuilding (Potential Two Car Garage). Gorgeous Foyer w/ lovely Architectural Detail. Owner's unit has large eat-in kitchen w/ wood stove; Enclosed Porch; 1st floor laundry; Entertainment Size Dining Room. 2nd Floor Unit has long term tenant at very low rent. Potential for higher rent. House could be reconverted to one family home. All seperate utilities, New tear-off Roof 2006. House Sold As IS.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,469 · $456/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,469 · $456/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,076
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$5,469
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,046
- − Management
- −$3,046
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable income
- $3,997
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$959
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,676/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Penfield Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3622710
- Math proficiency
- 77% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,802
- Composite
- 68.37/100
- National rank
- #347
- State rank
- #67 of 590 in NY
Livability — East Rochester
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #155
- US rank
- #2400
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 7,529
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,629
- Household income
- $118,777
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 234.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -149.19%
- Current HPI
- 271.8476
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+178.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-06 Contingent — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-21 Listed $249,900 UNYREIS
- 2010-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2010-12-14 Sold (MLS) $75,000 UNYREIS
- 2010-08-02 Listed $89,900 UNYREIS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $5,469 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…