74448 Nevada Cir E · Palm Desert, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 114°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.2/30.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$349,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Golf Course Gem in Portola Country Club - You Own the Land! Welcome to your own slice of desert paradise in the highly sought-after Portola Country Club! Ideally located at the end of a quiet cul-de-sac, this spacious manufactured home offers just over 1,600 square feet of comfortable living space in one of the community's most desirable locations -- with no neighbor immediately beside you for added privacy & tranquility. Set along a beautiful palm tree-lined golf course, this home enjoys stunning views of lush fairways, swaying palms, vibrant greenery & beautiful mountains that create a spectacular desert backdrop. Whether sipping morning coffee or unwinding at sunset, the scen
Key facts
- On-site storage
- Community clubhouse
- Sunroom
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is fee simple; CC&R and HOA disclosures available; Listing terms include cash or cash-to-new-loan; possession at close of escrow
- Financial info: HOA fees paid monthly
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA with community amenities; Association amenities include clubhouse, tennis courts, sport court, golf course, and RV parking; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Total of 4 parking spaces; 2 covered spaces (attached carport); 2 carport spaces
- Security: Located in a gated community; community security
- Utilities: Water provided by a water district (buyer to verify); Sewer connected and paid
- Home design: Detached double-wide mobile/manufactured home (Barrington by Fleetwood); Single-story, ground level with no unit above; Front door faces south; leisure areas face north; End unit
- Construction: Pier jacks / pillar/post/pier foundation; Year built per assessor
- Exterior features: Located on a cul-de-sac and on a golf course; Awning-covered, enclosed, covered patio; Block fencing; Accessory buildings; Premium lot; Community pool and in-ground community spa with safety gate
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Master suite with walk-in closet
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating fueled by natural gas; Central air conditioning and evaporative cooling
- Interior features: Blinds and drapes; Ground-level entry with no steps; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in an individual laundry room; Breakfast counter/bar and dining area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $349k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-133 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $325k (6.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $304k (12.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $304k (12.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.4% in Palm Desert — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,050 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: schools A-, employment B+, housing B; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Desert Sands Unified (suburban): math 31% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #199 of 517 in CA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 549 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,040/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($70k/yr) (locally 1734% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($344k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $349k implies a 437% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.64%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $276,480
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43155 Portola Ave #31 | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (+8%) | 19mo | $300,000 | $240 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.29×
- Total profit
- $-69,140
- Equity at exit
- $52,037
- IRR
- -17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.10×
- Total profit
- $-87,486
- Equity at exit
- $30,175
Cash invested: $97,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92260
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 549
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,040 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,830
- Tax from tax record
- −$104 /mo · $1,247/yr
- Insurance
- −$145
- HOA
- −$455
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$638
- Net cashflow
- $-133
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $64 | -5% $-34 | +0% $-133 | +5% $-232 | +10% $-331 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-373 | -5% $-253 | +0% $-133 | +5% $-13 | +10% $107 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $43 | -0.5pp $-44 | base $-133 | +0.5pp $-224 | +1.0pp $-316 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $87,250
- Closing costs
- $10,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74036 Mercury Cir W Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $2,800 | $1.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 74350 Magnesia Falls Dr Unit 1 Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,595 | $2.16 | 12d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 74401 Hovley Lane East Palm Desert, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1042 | $2,671 | $2.56 | 0d | 22 | 0.34mi |
| 235 Via Rengo Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1042 | $2,600 | $2.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 255 Via Rengo Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $2,600 | $2.32 | 6d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 255 Via Rengo Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $2,700 | $2.41 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 74800 Sheryl Ave Unit 10-3 Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 825 | $1,950 | $2.36 | 17d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 42575 Cook St Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,950 | $1.86 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 289 Castellana N Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1457 | $3,000 | $2.06 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 43378 Martini Ct Unit B Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1028 | $2,249 | $2.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 430 S Sierra Madre Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $5,500 | $4.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 259 Calle del Verano Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $5,200 | $3.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 74098 Goleta Ave Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 893 | $3,000 | $3.36 | 5d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 206 Lakecrest Ln Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1138 | $2,300 | $2.02 | 12d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 257 Calle del Verano Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $5,300 | $4.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 280 Castellana S Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $6,000 | $4.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 73760 Rancho Rd Unit 2 Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,595 | $1.39 | 13d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 365 San Remo St Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $5,500 | $4.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 43376 Cook St Palm Desert, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 854 | $2,500 | $2.93 | 44d | 6 | 0.93mi |
| 43376 Cook St Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,248 | $2.24 | 25d | 4 | 0.93mi |
| 43376 Cook St Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1005 | $2,200 | $2.19 | 6d | 3 | 0.93mi |
| 43376 Cook St Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1005 | $2,200 | $2.19 | 0d | 2 | 0.93mi |
| 43376 Cook St Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,322 | $2.31 | 6d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 150 Willow Lake Dr Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1138 | $2,500 | $2.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 72560 1/2 Santa Fe Trl Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 840 | $3,517 | $4.19 | 0d | 25 | 0.94mi |
| 166 Wimbledon Ct Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $3,200 | $2.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 191 Winterhaven Cir Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1250 | $2,800 | $2.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 73866 Santa Rosa Way Unit B Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,750 | $2.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 74237 Catalina Way Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $2,750 | $2.05 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 74237 Catalina Way Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $2,695 | $2.01 | 13d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1 Marbella Ln Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $4,500 | $4.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 337 Villena Way Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $5,000 | $3.84 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 75250 Vista Huerto Palm Desert, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $5,500 | $4.65 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 336 Villena Way Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $5,500 | $4.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 347 Gran Via Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1303 | $5,500 | $4.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 73740 Santa Rosa Way Unit 5 Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,895 | $1.90 | 6d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 73740 Santa Rosa Way Unit 5 Palm Desert, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,825 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 224 Castellana S Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1457 | $5,300 | $3.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 280 Tolosa Cir Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $6,000 | $4.45 | 25d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 280 Tolosa Cir Palm Desert, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1347 | $6,000 | $4.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $455 · $5,460/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $349,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $349,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $349,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $349,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $349,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $349,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $349,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $349,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $349,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $349,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $349,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $349,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $349,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $349,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$349,000 Active
-
1994-03-31soldstatus $65,000
-
1989-02-01soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,247 · $104/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,652 · $221/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,406/yr (+$117/mo · 112.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,475
- − Mortgage interest
- −$19,549
- − Property taxes
- −$1,247
- − Insurance
- −$1,745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,918
- − Management
- −$2,918
- − HOA
- −$5,460
- − Depreciation
- −$10,153
- Taxable loss
- −$7,515
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,804
- After-tax cash flow
- $205/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Desert Sands Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0611110
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,957
- Composite
- 37.77/100
- National rank
- #4346
- State rank
- #199 of 517 in CA
Livability — Palm Desert
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1050
- US rank
- #25164
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palm Desert, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 58,615
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,523
- Household income
- $70,091
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1734.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (61%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 20% Asian 4% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 25%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 73% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -364.94%
- Current HPI
- 294.9425
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.60%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+598.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $349,000 GPSMLS
- 1994-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 1989-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,247 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…