Duplex
3810 Cochran St · Houston, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.4/30.0
- ARV discount +12.8/15.0
- DSCR +6.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great Investor opportunity inside the Loop!Property is tenant occupied and leased for $650 a month. Please do not disturb tenants. Showings will be accompanied by the owner. Seller will sell adjacent duplexes with this Unit or individually.
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Convenient access
- Curb appeal
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual property tax (2025): $4,268
Exterior
- Home design: Residential income property; Built in 1960
- Construction: Composition roof; 1,600 total building area
- Exterior features: 5,000 square foot lot
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 total units
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Seller disclosure available
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $360 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $180/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $275k).
- Recommended offer: $271k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Marshall Middle (math 14% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,491 of 1,662 statewide, top 91%, 607 students, 97% FRL); Northside H S (math 15% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,389 of 1,632 statewide, top 86%, 1,168 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 71% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 595 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.60%
- DSCR
- 1.25
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $312,000
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1210 Shelby St | 0.02mi | 4/2.0 | 1,600 (0%) | 3mo | $315,000 | $197 | 97 |
| 3816 Cochran St | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,624 (+2%) | 10mo | $229,000 | $141 | 84 |
| 3614 Billingsley St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,540 (-4%) | 9mo | $300,000 | $195 | 65 |
| 4512 Siegel St | 0.75mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,648 (+3%) | 3mo | $195,000 | $118 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-27,740
- Equity at exit
- $41,003
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-18,548
- Equity at exit
- $23,777
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77009
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 595
- Price-to-rent
- 15.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,883 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$361 /mo · $4,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$605
- Net cashflow
- $360
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,882 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,441 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,441 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,883 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 914 Bunton St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1389 | $1,950 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 1039 Hillstar St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1780 | $2,750 | $1.54 | 12d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1524 Evelyn St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1804 | $2,800 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2706 Cochran St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1791 | $2,700 | $1.51 | 19d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2403 Everett St Unit A Houston, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2093 | $2,800 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2516 Ivy St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4605 Fisk St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $3,000 | $1.84 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 5124 Gold St Unit B Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1650 | $1,895 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1416 Fairbanks St Houston, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1888 | $1,899 | $1.01 | 7d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 401 Walton St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2112 | $2,500 | $1.18 | 15d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 412 Paschall St Unit 1316398P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $4,840 | $4.28 | 12d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 410 James St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1602 | $6,750 | $4.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 410 James St Unit 1031793P Houston, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1593 | $7,554 | $4.74 | 16d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1625 N Main St Houston, TX | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 994 | $2,354 | $2.37 | 3d | 42 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $275,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $275,000 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $275,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $275,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $275,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $275,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $275,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $275,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $275,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $285,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $285,000 Active 64 DOM
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2026-05-20status Active
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-16status Pending
-
2026-03-05price $285,000
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2026-03-04$285,000 Active
-
2026-03-04historical
-
2026-01-28price $255,000
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2026-01-23$285,000 Active
-
2018-04-23soldstatus
-
2015-05-27soldstatus
-
2014-03-22soldstatus Sold 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Great Investor opportunity inside the Loop!Property is tenant occupied and leased for $650 a month. Please do not disturb tenants. Showings will be accompanied by the owner. Seller will sell adjacent duplexes with this Unit or individually.
-
2014-02-27status Pending, Continue to Show 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Great Investor opportunity inside the Loop!Property is tenant occupied and leased for $650 a month. Please do not disturb tenants. Showings will be accompanied by the owner. Seller will sell adjacent duplexes with this Unit or individually.
-
2014-02-25status Active 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Great Investor opportunity inside the Loop!Property is tenant occupied and leased for $650 a month. Please do not disturb tenants. Showings will be accompanied by the owner. Seller will sell adjacent duplexes with this Unit or individually.
-
2014-01-01status Pending 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Great Investor opportunity inside the Loop!Property is tenant occupied and leased for $650 a month. Please do not disturb tenants. Showings will be accompanied by the owner. Seller will sell adjacent duplexes with this Unit or individually.
-
2013-11-13status Pending, Continue to Show 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Great Investor opportunity inside the Loop!Property is tenant occupied and leased for $650 a month. Please do not disturb tenants. Showings will be accompanied by the owner. Seller will sell adjacent duplexes with this Unit or individually.
-
2013-10-30status Option Pending 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Great Investor opportunity inside the Loop!Property is tenant occupied and leased for $650 a month. Please do not disturb tenants. Showings will be accompanied by the owner. Seller will sell adjacent duplexes with this Unit or individually.
-
2013-07-29$125,000 Active 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Great Investor opportunity inside the Loop!Property is tenant occupied and leased for $650 a month. Please do not disturb tenants. Showings will be accompanied by the owner. Seller will sell adjacent duplexes with this Unit or individually.
-
2008-08-07soldstatus
-
2007-02-06soldstatus
-
1988-01-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,335 · $361/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,032 · $419/mo
- Expected delta
- +$697/yr (+$58/mo · 16.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,596
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$4,335
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,768
- − Management
- −$2,768
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable loss
- −$54
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$13
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,328/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4823640
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,054
- Composite
- 26.63/100
- National rank
- #7173
- State rank
- #593 of 826 in TX
Livability — Houston
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #4771
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Houston, TX
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 3,226,434
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,769
- Household income
- $83,148
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 994.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 53% White 33% Two or more races 22% Black 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 46%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 40% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -533.57%
- Current HPI
- 219.5037
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.84%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+128.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2026-04-27 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-04-16 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $285,000 HARMLS
- 2026-03-04 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2026-03-04 Listed $285,000 HARMLS
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $255,000 HARMLS
- 2026-01-23 Listed $285,000 HARMLS
- 2018-04-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-05-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-03-22 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2014-02-27 Pending — HARMLS
- 2014-02-25 Relisted — HARMLS
- 2014-01-01 Pending — HARMLS
- 2013-11-13 Pending — HARMLS
- 2013-10-30 Pending — HARMLS
- 2013-07-29 Listed $125,000 HARMLS
- 2008-08-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-02-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,335 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…