69 NE Greenleaf Ave · Arlington, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 98.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.5/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Appreciation +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
$72,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Newly remodeled home close to all town amenities including a new city park. We're talking new metal roof, new wiring, new plumbing, new paint inside and out, new appliances, and new flooring. This is a great opportunity to own your own home at a great price point with little to no maintenance required. Call or text to set up your showing!
Key facts
- 0.46 acre lot
- Built 1941
- Listed 121 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $148 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($822 rent vs $72k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#278 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Calhoun County (rural): math 4% / reading 6% proficiency, ranked #174 of 174 in GA (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 89% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $501 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calhoun County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.76%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-2.25% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $9
- Equity at exit
- $13,258
- IRR
- 8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $14,245
- Equity at exit
- $10,556
Cash invested: $20,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39813
- Home prices YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $822 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$380
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$91 /mo · $1,088/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$173
- Net cashflow
- $148
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $198 | -5% $173 | +0% $148 | +5% $123 | +10% $98 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $83 | -5% $116 | +0% $148 | +5% $181 | +10% $213 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $185 | -0.5pp $167 | base $148 | +0.5pp $129 | +1.0pp $110 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,125
- Closing costs
- $2,175
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $72,500 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $72,500 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $72,500 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $72,500 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $72,500 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $72,500 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $72,500 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $72,500 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $72,500 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $72,500 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $72,500 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $72,500 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-05status $72,500 Active 105 DOM
-
2025-07-30$72,500 Active 340-char remark
Show marketing remark (340 chars)
Newly remodeled home close to all town amenities including a new city park. We're talking new metal roof, new wiring, new plumbing, new paint inside and out, new appliances, and new flooring. This is a great opportunity to own your own home at a great price point with little to no maintenance required. Call or text to set up your showing!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,863
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,061
- − Property taxes
- −$1,088
- − Insurance
- −$362
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$789
- − Management
- −$789
- − Depreciation
- −$2,109
- Taxable income
- $665
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$159
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,620/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calhoun County
- NCES district ID
- 1300750
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 6% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,551
- Composite
- 3.52/100
- National rank
- #10073
- State rank
- #174 of 174 in GA
Livability — Arlington
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #278
- US rank
- #14874
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Arlington, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,886
Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 6,349 people
- By 2030
- 6,317 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 6,151 · -3.1%
- By 2050
- 5,894 · -7.2%
- By 2075
- 4,825 · -24.0%
- By 2100
- 3,508 · -44.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 54% White 33% Asian 9% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Vietnamese 9% Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.3) · D 56.1% · R 43.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.4pp toward R · 2008: 21.7pp · 2024: 12.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.3 2020: D+15.5 2016: D+17.2 2012: D+18.9 2008: D+21.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -2.25%
- Current HPI
- 131.4667
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-07-30 Listed $72,500 SWGABOR
Property tax history
-5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $113 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…