3234 Creekside Dr · Virginia Beach, VA
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 98.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.1/30.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- ARV discount +5.2/15.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$260,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Step into this thoughtfully renovated townhome featuring sleek upgrades and a functional layout. From the updated kitchen to the refreshed living areas, every detail has been designed for comfort and ease. A perfect opportunity for stylish, low-maintenance living.
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1985
- Listed 27 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA/association fees
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking for 2 spaces
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater; Electric power
- Home design: Attached townhouse; 2 stories; Slab foundation; Simple ownership
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof
- Exterior features: Shingle siding; Back yard fenced
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Breakfast area
- Bedrooms: First-floor master bedroom; Bedroom and full bathroom on first floor
- Flooring: Ceramic flooring; Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced hot air heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Cathedral ceiling; Electric fireplace; Skylights; Walk-in closet; One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-103 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $242k (7.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (25.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $193k (25.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.5% in Virginia Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#38 in VA, #880 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, commute F.
- Va Beach City Public School District (urban): math 69% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #10 of 131 in VA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: Holland Elementary (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #480 of 1,108 statewide, top 46%, 460 students, 95% FRL); Corporate Landing Middle (math 66% / reading 77%, grade A, #72 of 342 statewide, top 22%, 1,054 students, 46% FRL); Landstown High (math 67% / reading 86%, grade A-, #99 of 319 statewide, top 31%, 2,226 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 28% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 104 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 666 units permitted in Virginia Beach city in 2024 (347 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Virginia Beach County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($256k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $142k; list at $260k implies a 83% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.70%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 11.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $247,152
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3234 Creekside Dr | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,080 (-0%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $241 | 97 |
| 1137 Old Clubhouse Rd | 0.08mi | 2/1.5 | 1,124 (+4%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $196 | 88 |
| 1076 Old Clubhouse Rd | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,084 (0%) | 6mo | $262,000 | $242 | 74 |
| 3209 Chesterton Ct | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,178 (+9%) | 3mo | $249,000 | $211 | 70 |
| 880 Riverbend Rd | 0.60mi | 2/1.5 | 1,064 (-2%) | 2mo | $257,000 | $242 | 68 |
| 947 Fern Ridge Rd | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,157 (+7%) | 6mo | $280,000 | $242 | 66 |
| 3203 Dunnebrook Ct | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,210 (+12%) | 5mo | $255,400 | $211 | 64 |
| 1140 Old Clubhouse Rd | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,178 (+9%) | 6mo | $268,000 | $228 | 64 |
| 1201 Green Cedar Ln | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,160 (+7%) | 8mo | $260,000 | $224 | 52 |
| 3309 Ashaway Rd | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,200 (+11%) | 6mo | $340,000 | $283 | 42 |
| 952 Smoke Tree Ln | 0.69mi | 2/2.5 | 1,196 (+10%) | 10mo | $252,000 | $211 | 38 |
| 987 Smoke Tree Ln | 0.74mi | 2/2.5 | 1,196 (+10%) | 9mo | $242,000 | $202 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-38,540
- Equity at exit
- $38,767
- IRR
- 0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.06×
- Total profit
- $4,230
- Equity at exit
- $22,480
Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23453
- Home prices YoY
- -13.4%
- Rents YoY
- 9.7%
- Active inventory
- 104
- Price-to-rent
- 11.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,934 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$159 /mo · $1,913/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$406
- Net cashflow
- $-103
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $44 | -5% $-29 | +0% $-103 | +5% $-177 | +10% $-250 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-256 | -5% $-179 | +0% $-103 | +5% $-27 | +10% $50 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $28 | -0.5pp $-37 | base $-103 | +0.5pp $-170 | +1.0pp $-239 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,000
- Closing costs
- $7,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 932 Gossman Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1430 | $2,300 | $1.61 | 23d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1232 White Birch Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $2,095 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3304 Weeping Willow Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1254 | $1,750 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1240 White Birch Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1254 | $1,950 | $1.56 | 19d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2925 Theodorus Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $2,000 | $1.79 | 6d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1027 Tivoli Cres Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 787 | $1,573 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1257 Green Cedar Ln Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,725 | $1.82 | 9d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3500 Green Garden Cir Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,685 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1301 Pine Cone Cir Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 827 | $1,874 | $2.26 | 3d | 13 | 0.80mi |
| 3745 Edenberry Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $1,899 | $1.82 | 6d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3745 Edenberry Ct Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,699 | $1.85 | 3d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3517 Plum Cres Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,200 | $1.52 | 14d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 3416 Hollygreen Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,754 | $1.83 | 25d | 5 | 0.97mi |
| 713 Willow Lake Cir Virginia Beach, VA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1041 | $2,475 | $2.38 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1434 Peony Arch Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $2,600 | $1.85 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3521 Sierra Arch Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1420 | $1,650 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1404 Wendfield Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1344 | $2,000 | $1.49 | 5d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1404 Wendfield Dr #102 Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1344 | $2,000 | $1.49 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1404 Wendfield Dr #102 Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1344 | $2,000 | $1.49 | 6d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 717 Grant Ave Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1248 | $2,160 | $1.73 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1401 Wendfield Dr #103 Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1344 | $1,850 | $1.38 | 22d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 726 Hayes Ave Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,700 | $1.69 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 3638 Windmill Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 934 | $1,695 | $1.81 | 12d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3560 Windmill Dr Virginia Beach, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $2,100 | $1.94 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-14status Under Contract
-
2026-05-03historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-05-03status Active
-
2026-04-27historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-17$260,000 Active
-
2026-03-24soldstatus $142,233
-
2018-09-06soldstatus $132,000
-
2018-08-03status Under Contract
-
2018-06-21$129,900 Active
-
2015-04-13price $126,900
-
2015-03-05price $126,900
-
2006-04-20soldstatus $132,500
-
2001-11-19soldstatus $90,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,913 · $159/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,132 · $178/mo
- Expected delta
- +$219/yr (+$18/mo · 11.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,214
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,564
- − Property taxes
- −$1,913
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,857
- − Management
- −$1,857
- − Depreciation
- −$7,564
- Taxable loss
- −$5,841
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,402
- After-tax cash flow
- $166/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Va Beach City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103840
- Math proficiency
- 69% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,452
- Composite
- 63.81/100
- National rank
- #594
- State rank
- #10 of 131 in VA
Livability — Virginia Beach
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #38
- US rank
- #880
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Virginia Beach, VA
- County
- Virginia Beach City · 448,227 people
- City population
- 448,227
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,482
- Household income
- $93,838
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 799.0
Population outlook (Virginia Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 480,401 people
- By 2030
- 491,221 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 504,882 · +5.1%
- By 2050
- 508,847 · +5.9%
- By 2075
- 504,831 · +5.1%
- By 2100
- 465,867 · -3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Black 22% Two or more races 14% Asian 12% Hispanic / Latino 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 6% Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Virginia Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.4pp toward D · 2008: -0.7pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+5.4 2016: R+4.5 2012: R+2.5 2008: R+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.96%
- Current HPI
- 341.8757
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.69%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+188.9% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — REINMLS
- 2026-05-03 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2026-05-03 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2026-04-27 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $260,000 REINMLS
- 2026-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $142,233 Public Records
- 2018-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $132,000 Public Records
- 2018-08-03 Pending — REINMLS
- 2018-06-21 Listed $129,900 REINMLS
- 2015-04-13 Price Changed $126,900 REINMLS
- 2015-03-05 Price Changed $126,900 REINMLS
- 2006-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $132,500 Public Records
- 2001-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,913 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…