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6561 Stillwater Dr 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 67.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$133,900

6561 Stillwater Dr · Fayetteville, NC 28304
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,089 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 1972 Est $185k · 28% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Calling all investors! Beautiful three bed, two bath home in the desirable Jack Britt District. Currently tenant occupied with a monthly rent rate of $1350 and lease in place until April 2027. Recently painted outside, updates include a newer HVAC, fixture and painting updates inside. Large back yard, front porch and large carport with storage round off this terrific home. As-is, appraisal required repairs only.

Key facts

  • Front porch
  • Large back yard
  • Newer hvac

Tags

NEWER HVACLARGE BACK YARDFRONT PORCHLARGE CARPORT WITH STORAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; 1 covered space; 1 carport space
  • Utilities: Public water; Holding tank sewer; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick veneer construction
  • Exterior features: Subdivision: EMERALD GDN

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $133,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$185,130) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $134k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $288 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $134k).
  • Recommended offer: $130k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.8% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: John R Griffin Middle (math 43% / reading 53%, grade C-, #134 of 475 statewide, top 29%, 1,091 students, 40% FRL); Jack Britt High (math 58% / reading 72%, grade B, #161 of 535 statewide, top 30%, 1,890 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 39% FRL vs 55% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 56% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Cumberland County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $926 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $47k; list at $134k implies a 185% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $129,883 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
8.88%
Cash-on-cash
9.23%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$185,130
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6560 Honeysuckle Dr 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,084 (-0%) 5mo $197,001 $182 84
2243 Delta Dr 0.34mi 3/1.5 1,071 (-2%) 5mo $152,000 $142 75
2113 Coinjock Cir 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,114 (+2%) 10mo $198,500 $178 68
6438 Applewhite Rd 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,093 (+0%) 2mo $212,000 $194 67
6547 Amanda Cir 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,002 (-8%) 10mo $135,000 $135 64
6342 Fisher Dr 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,208 (+11%) 6mo $164,000 $136 57
6466 Applewhite Rd 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,100 (+1%) 11mo $211,500 $192 57
6487 People St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,174 (+8%) 2mo $180,000 $153 56
1591 Hazelcrest Dr 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,149 (+6%) 10mo $194,000 $169 56
6419 Green Meadow Rd 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,173 (+8%) 3mo $190,000 $162 52
6314 Chartley Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,161 (+7%) 8mo $207,000 $178 48
6439 Applewhite Rd 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,236 (+14%) 1mo $210,000 $170 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.17% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.1%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-3,046
Equity at exit
$19,965
10-year hold
IRR
7.7%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$22,187
Equity at exit
$11,577

Cash invested: $37,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28304

Home prices YoY
-21.7%
Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
308
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,543 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$702
Tax from tax record
$173 /mo · $2,077/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$324
Net cashflow
$288

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,179
Max offer price $133,900
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $364 -5% $326 +0% $288 +5% $250 +10% $212
Rent -10% $166 -5% $227 +0% $288 +5% $349 +10% $410
Rate -1.0pp $356 -0.5pp $322 base $288 +0.5pp $254 +1.0pp $218

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,475
Closing costs
$4,017
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1948 Nordic Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1131 $1,400 $1.24 24d 1 0.24mi
2514 Gardner Park Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.5 1480 $1,595 $1.08 24d 1 0.28mi
1644 Sweetgum Cir Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1446 $1,750 $1.21 24d 1 0.70mi
2012 Lakemeadow Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1332 $1,800 $1.35 15d 1 0.79mi
1411 Furnish Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 24d 1 0.84mi
6338 Rhemish Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1201 $1,500 $1.25 24d 1 0.88mi
1879 Frankie Ave Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,375 $1.25 24d 1 0.88mi
6716 Sandfield Ct Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1296 $1,575 $1.22 24d 1 0.89mi
6701 Vaughn Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1236 $1,700 $1.38 15d 1 0.95mi
6658 Vaughn Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1280 $1,575 $1.23 24d 1 1.03mi
1701 Carter Baron Pl Unit 211 Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1295 $1,700 $1.31 24d 1 1.06mi
6408 Dunham Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,500 $1.07 15d 1 1.07mi
1811 Balmoral Dr #202 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,275 $1.02 15d 1 1.07mi
1800 Balmoral Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1328 $1,250 $0.94 24d 1 1.09mi
1761 Renwick Dr #204 Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0 1331 $1,300 $0.98 15d 1 1.09mi
2920 Cosmo Dr Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 918 $1,505 $1.64 15d 9 1.12mi
1508 Darvel Ave Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1269 $1,700 $1.34 24d 1 1.17mi
3001 Stone Carriage Cir Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1098 $1,700 $1.55 15d 12 1.20mi
2640 Latrobe Ave Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1079 $1,815 $1.68 15d 30 1.21mi
1715 Arrow Ridge Way Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1220 $1,550 $1.27 15d 1 1.23mi
1443 Larkhall Dr Fayetteville, NC 4.0 2.0 1382 $1,600 $1.16 24d 1 1.28mi
1437 Artesian Ct Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 850 $1,000 $1.18 15d 1 1.33mi
6333 Marykirk Dr Unit A Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 1080 $1,075 $1.00 24d 1 1.38mi
1066 Strickland Bridge Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1427 $2,050 $1.44 15d 1 1.38mi
1222 Southwood Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 801 $875 $1.09 24d 1 1.42mi
6332 Marykirk Dr Unit A Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 925 $1,150 $1.24 24d 1 1.42mi
6324 Marykirk Dr Unit A Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 792 $900 $1.14 24d 1 1.44mi
5744 Randleman St Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1171 $1,395 $1.19 24d 1 1.45mi
1916 Rayconda Rd Fayetteville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 989 $1,450 $1.47 24d 3 1.46mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $133,900 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $133,900 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $133,900 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $133,900 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $133,900 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $133,900 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $133,900 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $133,900 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $133,900 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $133,900 Active 35 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $133,900 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $133,900 Active 30 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $133,900 Active 29 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $133,900 Active 28 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $133,900 Active 27 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $133,900 Active 26 DOM
  17. 2026-05-04
    listed $133,900 Active
  18. 2026-04-11
    historical $1,390
  19. 2026-04-02
    status Active
  20. 2026-03-21
    price $1,390
  21. 2026-03-18
    status Pending
  22. 2026-03-12
    price $149,900
  23. 2025-12-10
    listed $1,490
  24. 2025-11-13
    listed $159,900 Active
  25. 2025-10-16
    status Active
  26. 2025-10-04
    status Pending
  27. 2025-09-22
    price $159,900
  28. 2025-09-10
    price $161,900
  29. 2025-08-28
    price $164,900
  30. 2025-08-12
    price $169,900
  31. 2025-07-18
    listed $174,900 Active
  32. 2021-02-18
    soldstatus $47,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,077 · $173/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,077 · $173/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,521
− Mortgage interest
−$7,500
− Property taxes
−$2,077
− Insurance
−$670
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,482
− Management
−$1,482
− Depreciation
−$3,895
Taxable income
$1,416
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$340
After-tax cash flow
$3,119/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Fayetteville

Score
75/100
State rank
#45
US rank
#4031

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fayetteville, NC
County
Cumberland County · 265,314 people
City population
226,118
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
Population (ZIP)
37,140
Household income
$58,563
Rent vs Own
44.6% rent · 55.4% own
Severe rent burden
1667.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Black 39% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -59.90%
Current HPI
215.927
Rent YoY
▲ 3.17%
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+184.9% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $133,900 LPRMLS
  • 2026-04-11 Rental Removed $1,390 TMLS
  • 2026-04-02 Relisted LPRMLS
  • 2026-03-21 Price Changed $1,390 TMLS
  • 2026-03-18 Pending LPRMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $149,900 LPRMLS
  • 2025-12-10 Listed for Rent $1,490 TMLS
  • 2025-11-13 Listed $159,900 LPRMLS
  • 2025-10-16 Relisted LPRMLS
  • 2025-10-04 Pending LPRMLS
  • 2025-09-22 Price Changed $159,900 LPRMLS
  • 2025-09-10 Price Changed $161,900 LPRMLS
  • 2025-08-28 Price Changed $164,900 LPRMLS
  • 2025-08-12 Price Changed $169,900 LPRMLS
  • 2025-07-18 Listed $174,900 LPRMLS
  • 2021-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,077 · +44.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…