🏷️ Likely Rental
6561 Stillwater Dr · Fayetteville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$133,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Calling all investors! Beautiful three bed, two bath home in the desirable Jack Britt District. Currently tenant occupied with a monthly rent rate of $1350 and lease in place until April 2027. Recently painted outside, updates include a newer HVAC, fixture and painting updates inside. Large back yard, front porch and large carport with storage round off this terrific home. As-is, appraisal required repairs only.
Key facts
- Front porch
- Large back yard
- Newer hvac
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; 1 covered space; 1 carport space
- Utilities: Public water; Holding tank sewer; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Brick veneer construction
- Exterior features: Subdivision: EMERALD GDN
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 5 total rooms
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $134k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $288 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $134k).
- Recommended offer: $130k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.8% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: John R Griffin Middle (math 43% / reading 53%, grade C-, #134 of 475 statewide, top 29%, 1,091 students, 40% FRL); Jack Britt High (math 58% / reading 72%, grade B, #161 of 535 statewide, top 30%, 1,890 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools average 39% FRL vs 55% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 56% at this address vs 36% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Cumberland County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $926 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($130k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $47k; list at $134k implies a 185% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.23%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $185,130
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6560 Honeysuckle Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,084 (-0%) | 5mo | $197,001 | $182 | 84 |
| 2243 Delta Dr | 0.34mi | 3/1.5 | 1,071 (-2%) | 5mo | $152,000 | $142 | 75 |
| 2113 Coinjock Cir | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,114 (+2%) | 10mo | $198,500 | $178 | 68 |
| 6438 Applewhite Rd | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,093 (+0%) | 2mo | $212,000 | $194 | 67 |
| 6547 Amanda Cir | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,002 (-8%) | 10mo | $135,000 | $135 | 64 |
| 6342 Fisher Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,208 (+11%) | 6mo | $164,000 | $136 | 57 |
| 6466 Applewhite Rd | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (+1%) | 11mo | $211,500 | $192 | 57 |
| 6487 People St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,174 (+8%) | 2mo | $180,000 | $153 | 56 |
| 1591 Hazelcrest Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,149 (+6%) | 10mo | $194,000 | $169 | 56 |
| 6419 Green Meadow Rd | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,173 (+8%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $162 | 52 |
| 6314 Chartley Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,161 (+7%) | 8mo | $207,000 | $178 | 48 |
| 6439 Applewhite Rd | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,236 (+14%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $170 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.17% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-3,046
- Equity at exit
- $19,965
- IRR
- 7.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $22,187
- Equity at exit
- $11,577
Cash invested: $37,492 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28304
- Home prices YoY
- -21.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.2%
- Active inventory
- 308
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,543 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$702
- Tax from tax record
- −$173 /mo · $2,077/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$324
- Net cashflow
- $288
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $364 | -5% $326 | +0% $288 | +5% $250 | +10% $212 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $166 | -5% $227 | +0% $288 | +5% $349 | +10% $410 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $356 | -0.5pp $322 | base $288 | +0.5pp $254 | +1.0pp $218 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,475
- Closing costs
- $4,017
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1948 Nordic Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $1,400 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 2514 Gardner Park Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,595 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1644 Sweetgum Cir Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1446 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2012 Lakemeadow Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $1,800 | $1.35 | 15d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1411 Furnish Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 6338 Rhemish Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1201 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1879 Frankie Ave Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,375 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 6716 Sandfield Ct Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1296 | $1,575 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 6701 Vaughn Rd Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $1,700 | $1.38 | 15d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 6658 Vaughn Rd Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,575 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1701 Carter Baron Pl Unit 211 Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1295 | $1,700 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 6408 Dunham Dr Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 15d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1811 Balmoral Dr #202 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,275 | $1.02 | 15d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1800 Balmoral Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1328 | $1,250 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1761 Renwick Dr #204 Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1331 | $1,300 | $0.98 | 15d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2920 Cosmo Dr Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 918 | $1,505 | $1.64 | 15d | 9 | 1.12mi |
| 1508 Darvel Ave Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1269 | $1,700 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3001 Stone Carriage Cir Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1098 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 15d | 12 | 1.20mi |
| 2640 Latrobe Ave Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1079 | $1,815 | $1.68 | 15d | 30 | 1.21mi |
| 1715 Arrow Ridge Way Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $1,550 | $1.27 | 15d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1443 Larkhall Dr Fayetteville, NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1382 | $1,600 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1437 Artesian Ct Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 850 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 6333 Marykirk Dr Unit A Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,075 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1066 Strickland Bridge Rd Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1427 | $2,050 | $1.44 | 15d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1222 Southwood Dr Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 801 | $875 | $1.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 6332 Marykirk Dr Unit A Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 925 | $1,150 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 6324 Marykirk Dr Unit A Fayetteville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 792 | $900 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5744 Randleman St Fayetteville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1171 | $1,395 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1916 Rayconda Rd Fayetteville, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 989 | $1,450 | $1.47 | 24d | 3 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $133,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $133,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $133,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $133,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $133,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $133,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $133,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $133,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $133,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $133,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $133,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $133,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $133,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $133,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $133,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $133,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-04$133,900 Active
-
2026-04-11historical $1,390
-
2026-04-02status Active
-
2026-03-21price $1,390
-
2026-03-18status Pending
-
2026-03-12price $149,900
-
2025-12-10$1,490
-
2025-11-13$159,900 Active
-
2025-10-16status Active
-
2025-10-04status Pending
-
2025-09-22price $159,900
-
2025-09-10price $161,900
-
2025-08-28price $164,900
-
2025-08-12price $169,900
-
2025-07-18$174,900 Active
-
2021-02-18soldstatus $47,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,077 · $173/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,077 · $173/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,521
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,500
- − Property taxes
- −$2,077
- − Insurance
- −$670
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,482
- − Management
- −$1,482
- − Depreciation
- −$3,895
- Taxable income
- $1,416
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$340
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,119/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cumberland County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700011
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,168
- Composite
- 31.0/100
- National rank
- #6096
- State rank
- #126 of 178 in NC
Livability — Fayetteville
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #45
- US rank
- #4031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fayetteville, NC
- County
- Cumberland County · 265,314 people
- City population
- 226,118
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,140
- Household income
- $58,563
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1667.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 330,855 people
- By 2030
- 333,523 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 335,583 · +1.4%
- By 2050
- 335,325 · +1.4%
- By 2075
- 342,853 · +3.6%
- By 2100
- 340,698 · +3.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 39% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.90%
- Current HPI
- 215.927
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.17%
- Metro
- Fayetteville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+184.9% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Listed $133,900 LPRMLS
- 2026-04-11 Rental Removed $1,390 TMLS
- 2026-04-02 Relisted — LPRMLS
- 2026-03-21 Price Changed $1,390 TMLS
- 2026-03-18 Pending — LPRMLS
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $149,900 LPRMLS
- 2025-12-10 Listed for Rent $1,490 TMLS
- 2025-11-13 Listed $159,900 LPRMLS
- 2025-10-16 Relisted — LPRMLS
- 2025-10-04 Pending — LPRMLS
- 2025-09-22 Price Changed $159,900 LPRMLS
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed $161,900 LPRMLS
- 2025-08-28 Price Changed $164,900 LPRMLS
- 2025-08-12 Price Changed $169,900 LPRMLS
- 2025-07-18 Listed $174,900 LPRMLS
- 2021-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,077 · +44.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…