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1618 Milburn Ave Duplex
B- Composite 67.95
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

1618 Milburn Ave · Toledo, OH 43606
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 990 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1976 4,500 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Excellent cash-flowing investment opportunity! This all-electric duplex features two 1 bed, 1 bath units and produces approximately $1,077/month in cash flow. Owner pays water. Both residents are on 12-month leases, with one recent move-in and the other in place since 2024, providing stable rental income. Strong rental performance and consistent income make this a great addition to any investor's portfolio. * * Showings only with an accepted offer. * *

Key facts

  • 4,500 sq ft lot
  • Built 1976
  • Listed 15 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: 2 total units (both currently leased); Tenants pay electricity; Owner pays water, snow removal, and lawn care

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Electricity connected; Water connected; Public water; Sanitary sewer
  • Home design: Residential income property (duplex); Single-story; One building
  • Construction: Brick construction; Crawl space foundation; Built as duplex
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Window unit cooling
  • Interior features: Other

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $770 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $385/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Robinson Elementary School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,580 of 1,584 statewide, top 100%, 358 students, 0% FRL); Jesup W. Scott High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #726 of 781 statewide, top 94%, 736 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 7% at this address vs 20% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Toledo City average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 93 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.3% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $68,851 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.23%
Cap rate
19.51%
Cash-on-cash
47.22%
DSCR
3.10
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.29% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
43.8%
Equity multiple
2.87×
Total profit
$36,625
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
49.5%
Equity multiple
5.63×
Total profit
$90,616
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43606

Home prices YoY
-15.5%
Rents YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
93
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,561 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$67 /mo · $809/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$328
Net cashflow
$770

Break-even live

Break-even rent $586
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $810 -5% $790 +0% $770 +5% $750 +10% $731
Rent -10% $647 -5% $708 +0% $770 +5% $832 +10% $893
Rate -1.0pp $805 -0.5pp $788 base $770 +0.5pp $752 +1.0pp $734

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,561

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2347 Rosedale Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 767 $875 $1.14 44d 1 0.09mi
1738 Milburn Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1016 $650 $0.64 24d 1 0.15mi
2322 Upton Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 44d 1 0.34mi
1919 Ottawa Dr Unit 7 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $800 $0.89 44d 1 0.41mi
2356 Torrey Hill Dr Unit 11 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1050 $800 $0.76 44d 1 0.47mi
2250 Torrey Hill Dr Unit 2254-5 Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 563 $770 $1.37 44d 1 0.48mi
2716 Hoehler Dr Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 720 $600 $0.83 44d 1 0.65mi
3803 Monroe St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 942 $850 $0.90 44d 1 0.68mi
3835 Monroe St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1002 $950 $0.95 44d 1 0.76mi
1804 Bigelow St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 995 $937 $0.94 44d 1 0.86mi
1718 Giant St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,395 $1.29 14d 1 0.89mi
1838 Giant St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 962 $1,200 $1.25 14d 1 0.94mi
2802 Gunckel Blvd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 860 $1,100 $1.28 44d 1 1.00mi
1026 Oakwood Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1100 $850 $0.77 44d 1 1.04mi
2445 W Bancroft St Unit 2445-15 Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 557 $625 $1.12 44d 1 1.08mi
2535 W Bancroft St Unit 8 Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $895 $0.99 44d 1 1.17mi
2030 Wyndhurst Rd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1042 $950 $0.91 44d 1 1.19mi
3150 Matson Unit 17 Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 567 $799 $1.41 21d 1 1.20mi
3160 Matson Apt 27 Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 567 $725 $1.28 21d 1 1.21mi
1705 Marlow Rd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 738 $1,000 $1.36 24d 1 1.22mi
625 Virginia St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $850 $0.85 14d 1 1.24mi
625 Virginia St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1000 $800 $0.80 44d 1 1.24mi
1133 Parkside Blvd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 960 $850 $0.89 44d 1 1.26mi
1919 Kensington Rd Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 680 $775 $1.14 21d 1 1.28mi
2637 Greenway St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1082 $900 $0.83 44d 1 1.30mi
3022 Letchworth Pkwy Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $970 $1.21 44d 1 1.31mi
2650 Christie St Toledo, OH 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $849 $1.06 44d 1 1.37mi
1846 Loxley Rd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 876 $900 $1.03 44d 1 1.38mi
2115 Collingwood Blvd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 676 $765 $1.13 24d 1 1.39mi
1732 Talbot St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 840 $995 $1.18 24d 1 1.41mi
1951 Loxley Rd Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 804 $975 $1.21 24d 1 1.41mi
3541 Willys Pkwy Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1113 $1,400 $1.26 44d 1 1.43mi
3683 Upton Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1119 $1,100 $0.98 44d 1 1.43mi
2704 Kenwood Blvd Toledo, OH 1.0–3.0 1.0 825 $1,196 $1.45 14d 71 1.47mi
425 W Bancroft St Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 711 $725 $1.02 44d 1 1.49mi
1489 Berdan Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1068 $1,250 $1.17 44d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $69,900 Active 11 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $69,900 Contingent 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Contingent 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Contingent 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Contingent 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    statusdays on market $69,900 Contingent 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    remarks 458-char remark
  12. 2026-06-03
    listed $69,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$809 · $67/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$950 · $79/mo
Expected delta
+$141/yr (+$12/mo · 17.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,732
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$809
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,499
− Management
−$1,499
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$8,628
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,071
After-tax cash flow
$7,171/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
24,898
Household income
$66,917
Rent vs Own
44.1% rent · 55.9% own
Severe rent burden
843.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 29% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
92% English-only · Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -41.19%
Current HPI
224.695
Rent YoY
▲ 2.29%
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+242.6% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $69,900 NORIS
  • 2026-04-13 Rental Removed $547 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-02-26 Listed for Rent $547 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-05-03 Rental Removed $570 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-04-02 Price Changed $570 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-02-12 Price Changed $600 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-01-04 Listed for Rent $650 APPFOLIO
  • 2024-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $67,500 Public Records
  • 2019-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 1985-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $20,400 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $809 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…