1377 W 3rd St · Winona, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$88,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Build your equity here! This quaint property can be easily missed but has a convenient west location in Winona. This property has good bones, has all living on one level, making it a practical choice for a wide range of buyers. The home is ready for someone with vision to add updates and bring fresh life into the space. Whether you're looking for a hands-on project or seeking an investment opportunity, this property could be the one! Subject to 3rd Party Approval. Being SOLD "As-Is".
Key facts
- Living on one level
- Sold as-is
- 4,617 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking; Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas; Electric service with circuit breakers (100 amp); Xcel Energy
- Home design: One-story residential home; Main-level living; Entry level on main floor
- Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof (over 8 years old); Partial basement; Foundation dimensions approximately 20x46
- Exterior features: Screened side porch (15x4); City street frontage; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen (15x11); Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level (12x7 and 12x11)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level (8x7)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Main floor primary bedroom; All living facilities on one level; Eat-in kitchen and living/dining room layout
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Washer/Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $88k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $314 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.9% in Winona — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#63 in MN, #1,558 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-.
- Winona Area Public School District (town): math 33% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #244 of 301 in MN (top 81%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+18.0%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 37 units permitted in Winona County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $608 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Winona County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.31%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $210,432
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1871 4th Street St W | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 948 (-14%) | 2mo | $182,000 | $192 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $12,772
- Equity at exit
- $13,121
- IRR
- 25.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.79×
- Total profit
- $68,758
- Equity at exit
- $7,609
Cash invested: $24,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55987
- Rents YoY
- 18.0%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,309 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$461
- Tax from tax record
- −$222 /mo · $2,662/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $314
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $364 | -5% $339 | +0% $314 | +5% $289 | +10% $265 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $211 | -5% $263 | +0% $314 | +5% $366 | +10% $418 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $359 | -0.5pp $337 | base $314 | +0.5pp $292 | +1.0pp $268 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,000
- Closing costs
- $2,640
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-16status Pending
-
2026-04-09$88,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,662 · $222/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,662 · $222/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,712
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,929
- − Property taxes
- −$2,662
- − Insurance
- −$440
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,257
- − Management
- −$1,257
- − Depreciation
- −$2,560
- Taxable income
- $2,607
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$626
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,147/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Winona Area Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2744070
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,678
- Composite
- 31.15/100
- National rank
- #6058
- State rank
- #244 of 301 in MN
Livability — Winona
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #1558
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Winona, MN
- County
- Winona County · 34,072 people
- City population
- 34,072
- Metro
- Winona, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,072
- Household income
- $61,624
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1525.0
Population outlook (Winona County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 50,614 people
- By 2030
- 50,243 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 48,142 · -4.9%
- By 2050
- 45,872 · -9.4%
- By 2075
- 42,416 · -16.2%
- By 2100
- 40,031 · -20.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 14% Romanian 12% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Winona
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.5% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.0pp toward R · 2008: 19.1pp · 2024: -4.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.9 2020: D+0.4 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+12.9 2008: D+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -166.61%
- Current HPI
- 193.7509
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 17.99%
- Metro
- Winona, MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Listed $88,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+12.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,662 · +236.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…