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D Composite 43.06
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.1/30.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$375,000

17409 E 95th Pl · Commerce City, CO 80022
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 63 Days on market
Built 2022 3,060 sqft lot Est $585k · 36% under $75/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 15% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 17409 E 95th Place in Commerce City. This 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional open-concept layout with comfortable living and dining spaces that flow well for everyday use. The kitchen overlooks the main living area and provides ample cabinet space, making it practical and easy to personalize. Upstairs features three well-sized bedrooms, including a primary suite with a private bath. An unfinished basement offers additional storage or future expansion potential for the next owner. The home is in good overall condition and presents a solid opportunity for buyers looking to add value over time. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, and with easy access to major highways, this property offers a great blend of space, location, and potential. A smart option for buyers seeking a well-located home with room to grow.

Key facts

  • Private bath
  • Unfinished basement
  • Ample cabinet space

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTAMPLE CABINET SPACEUNFINISHED BASEMENTPRIVATE BATHEASY ACCESS TO MAJOR HIGHWAYS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $375k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-216 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $337k (10.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $311k (17.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $311k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.9% in Commerce City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#137 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, cost of living F.
  • School District 27J (suburban): math 20% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #46 of 86 in CO (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Southlawn Elementary School (440 students, 39% FRL); Otho E Stuart Middle School (math 10% / reading 44%, grade F, #154 of 270 statewide, top 59%, 791 students, 42% FRL); Prairie View High School (math 15% / reading 38%, grade F, #262 of 381 statewide, top 69%, 1,821 students, 36% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 509 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,299 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (343 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($104k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Adams County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($352k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $310,655 (17.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
5.60%
Cash-on-cash
-2.47%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$584,672
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17943 E 94th Pl 0.40mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,851 (-4%) 3mo $559,900 $302 67
17935 E 94th Ave 0.45mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,851 (-4%) 2mo $562,900 $304 65
17950 E 94th Ave 0.48mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,851 (-4%) 0mo $569,900 $308 65
9454 Yampa St 0.51mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,851 (-4%) 5mo $559,900 $302 60
17883 E 94th Pl 0.35mi 3/3.0 1,660 (-14%) 1mo $549,900 $331 59
17981 E 96th Pl 0.35mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,753 (-10%) 0mo $525,000 $299 58
9679 Waco St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,753 (-10%) 8mo $485,000 $277 55
9182 Telluride Ct 0.56mi 3/2.0 2,130 (+10%) 3mo $534,950 $251 51
9456 Yampa Ct 0.52mi 3/3.0 1,660 (-14%) 6mo $540,000 $325 47
9061 Telluride Ct 0.67mi 3/2.0 2,130 (+10%) 7mo $524,950 $246 42
9072 Telluride Ct 0.67mi 3/2.0 2,130 (+10%) 8mo $499,950 $235 41
9095 Uravan Ct 0.69mi 3/2.0 2,122 (+10%) 8mo $580,000 $273 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.62% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.8%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-75,641
Equity at exit
$55,914
10-year hold
IRR
-15.0%
Equity multiple
0.16×
Total profit
$-88,051
Equity at exit
$32,423

Cash invested: $105,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
38 Tenant-Leaning
State Colorado
38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2023 reforms: 10-day cure, mandated notice, source-of-income protected. Courts backlogged in Denver.

ZIP-level market 80022

Home prices YoY
-5.5%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
509
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,107 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,967
Tax from tax record
$473 /mo · $5,674/yr
Insurance
$156
HOA
$75
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$652
Net cashflow
$-216

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,381
Max offer price $336,759
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-4 -5% $-110 +0% $-216 +5% $-323 +10% $-429
Rent -10% $-462 -5% $-339 +0% $-216 +5% $-94 +10% $29
Rate -1.0pp $-28 -0.5pp $-121 base $-216 +0.5pp $-314 +1.0pp $-413

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$93,750
Closing costs
$11,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17903 E 94th Pl Commerce City, CO 4.0 2.5 1851 $3,310 $1.79 6d 1 0.39mi
17892 E 94th Pl Commerce City, CO 4.0 2.5 1851 $3,310 $1.79 26d 1 0.40mi
9259 Rifle St Commerce City, CO 3.0 2.5 2484 $3,195 $1.29 23d 1 0.41mi
17912 E 94th Pl Commerce City, CO 3.0 2.5 1660 $3,022 $1.82 45d 1 0.42mi
17901 E 94th Ave Commerce City, CO 4.0 2.5 1851 $3,210 $1.73 22d 1 0.42mi
17915 E 94th Pl Commerce City, CO 4.0 2.5 1851 $3,190 $1.72 6d 1 0.44mi
17925 E 94th Ave Commerce City, CO 4.0 2.5 1851 $3,190 $1.72 45d 1 0.46mi
17940 E 94th Ave Commerce City, CO 4.0 2.5 1851 $3,190 $1.72 6d 1 0.48mi
9465 Yampa St Commerce City, CO 3.0 2.5 1660 $2,960 $1.78 26d 1 0.50mi
17945 E 94th Ave Commerce City, CO 4.0 2.5 1851 $3,190 $1.72 45d 1 0.50mi
17918 E 99th Pl Commerce City, CO 3.0 2.0 1442 $2,935 $2.04 45d 1 0.53mi
18009 E 99th Pl Commerce City, CO 3.0 2.0 2347 $3,000 $1.28 0d 1 0.58mi
9128 Salida St Commerce City, CO 4.0 3.0 2585 $3,950 $1.53 16d 1 0.64mi
9758 Laredo St Unit 30E Commerce City, CO 3.0 3.0 1568 $2,800 $1.79 6d 1 0.74mi
9760 Memphis St Commerce City, CO 3.0 2.5 1833 $2,995 $1.63 6d 1 0.75mi
9760 Memphis St Commerce City, CO 3.0 2.5 1833 $2,995 $1.63 0d 1 0.75mi
10239 Southlawn Cir Commerce City, CO 3.0 3.0 2427 $3,059 $1.26 4d 1 0.75mi
10261 Rifle St Commerce City, CO 4.0 3.0 2478 $3,149 $1.27 45d 1 0.78mi
9758 Laredo St Unit 5D Commerce City, CO 3.0 2.5 1450 $1,900 $1.31 23d 1 0.79mi
10156 Ventura St Commerce City, CO 3.0 3.0 1905 $3,000 $1.57 13d 1 0.83mi
15935 E 97th Ave Commerce City, CO 4.0 2.5 2569 $3,209 $1.25 4d 1 0.90mi
9813 Bahama St Commerce City, CO 3.0 2.5 1468 $3,300 $2.25 4d 1 0.90mi
17704 E 103rd Ave Commerce City, CO 3.0 3.0 1646 $2,650 $1.61 26d 1 0.92mi
17754 E 103rd Ave Commerce City, CO 3.0 3.0 1646 $2,800 $1.70 26d 1 0.93mi
18954 E 97th Pl Commerce City, CO 3.0 2.0 1741 $2,800 $1.61 45d 1 0.98mi
18366 E 102nd Pl Commerce City, CO 3.0 3.0 1958 $3,300 $1.69 18d 1 0.98mi
10243 Yampa Ct Commerce City, CO 3.0 2.5 1982 $2,995 $1.51 12d 1 0.99mi
10243 Yampa Ct Commerce City, CO 3.0 2.5 1982 $2,895 $1.46 0d 1 0.99mi
16569 E 102nd Pl Commerce City, CO 4.0 3.0 2080 $2,999 $1.44 6d 1 1.00mi
9443 Danube St Commerce City, CO 3.0 2.5 1679 $3,200 $1.91 45d 1 1.04mi
9900 Biscay St Commerce City, CO 4.0 2.5 2556 $3,000 $1.17 45d 1 1.06mi
9892 Cathay St Commerce City, CO 4.0 2.0 1850 $3,200 $1.73 13d 1 1.10mi
16700 E 104th Pl Commerce City, CO 3.0 2.5 2004 $2,700 $1.35 6d 1 1.12mi
15644 E 99th Ave Commerce City, CO 3.0 3.0 1508 $1,675 $1.11 14d 1 1.13mi
15612 E 96th Way Commerce City, CO 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1319 $2,700 $2.05 0d 2 1.13mi
15645 E 99th Ave Commerce City, CO 3.0 3.0 1508 $1,500 $0.99 6d 1 1.14mi
10049 Jasper St Commerce City, CO 3.0 2.0 1508 $2,695 $1.79 12d 1 1.19mi
15316 E 99th Pl Commerce City, CO 4.0 2.5 1972 $2,999 $1.52 3d 1 1.33mi
16183 E 104th Way Commerce City, CO 3.0 3.0 1834 $2,795 $1.52 26d 1 1.34mi
16360 E 106th Way Commerce City, CO 3.0 2.0 2149 $3,199 $1.49 6d 1 1.44mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$75 · $900/yr

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-03-26
    status Pending 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Welcome to 17409 E 95th Place in Commerce City. This 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional open-concept layout with comfortable living and dining spaces that flow well for everyday use. The kitchen overlooks the main living area and provides ample cabinet space, making it practical and easy to personalize. Upstairs features three well-sized bedrooms, including a primary suite with a private bath. An unfinished basement offers additional storage or future expansion potential for the next owner. The home is in good overall condition and presents a solid opportunity for buyers looking to add value over time. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, and with easy access to major highways, this property offers a great blend of space, location, and potential. A smart option for buyers seeking a well-located home with room to grow.

  2. 2026-03-26
    status Pending 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Welcome to 17409 E 95th Place in Commerce City. This 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional open-concept layout with comfortable living and dining spaces that flow well for everyday use. The kitchen overlooks the main living area and provides ample cabinet space, making it practical and easy to personalize. Upstairs features three well-sized bedrooms, including a primary suite with a private bath. An unfinished basement offers additional storage or future expansion potential for the next owner. The home is in good overall condition and presents a solid opportunity for buyers looking to add value over time. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, and with easy access to major highways, this property offers a great blend of space, location, and potential. A smart option for buyers seeking a well-located home with room to grow.

  3. 2026-03-16
    price $375,000 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Welcome to 17409 E 95th Place in Commerce City. This 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional open-concept layout with comfortable living and dining spaces that flow well for everyday use. The kitchen overlooks the main living area and provides ample cabinet space, making it practical and easy to personalize. Upstairs features three well-sized bedrooms, including a primary suite with a private bath. An unfinished basement offers additional storage or future expansion potential for the next owner. The home is in good overall condition and presents a solid opportunity for buyers looking to add value over time. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, and with easy access to major highways, this property offers a great blend of space, location, and potential. A smart option for buyers seeking a well-located home with room to grow.

  4. 2026-03-16
    price $375,000 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Welcome to 17409 E 95th Place in Commerce City. This 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional open-concept layout with comfortable living and dining spaces that flow well for everyday use. The kitchen overlooks the main living area and provides ample cabinet space, making it practical and easy to personalize. Upstairs features three well-sized bedrooms, including a primary suite with a private bath. An unfinished basement offers additional storage or future expansion potential for the next owner. The home is in good overall condition and presents a solid opportunity for buyers looking to add value over time. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, and with easy access to major highways, this property offers a great blend of space, location, and potential. A smart option for buyers seeking a well-located home with room to grow.

  5. 2026-02-24
    price $400,000 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Welcome to 17409 E 95th Place in Commerce City. This 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional open-concept layout with comfortable living and dining spaces that flow well for everyday use. The kitchen overlooks the main living area and provides ample cabinet space, making it practical and easy to personalize. Upstairs features three well-sized bedrooms, including a primary suite with a private bath. An unfinished basement offers additional storage or future expansion potential for the next owner. The home is in good overall condition and presents a solid opportunity for buyers looking to add value over time. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, and with easy access to major highways, this property offers a great blend of space, location, and potential. A smart option for buyers seeking a well-located home with room to grow.

  6. 2026-02-24
    price $400,000 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Welcome to 17409 E 95th Place in Commerce City. This 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional open-concept layout with comfortable living and dining spaces that flow well for everyday use. The kitchen overlooks the main living area and provides ample cabinet space, making it practical and easy to personalize. Upstairs features three well-sized bedrooms, including a primary suite with a private bath. An unfinished basement offers additional storage or future expansion potential for the next owner. The home is in good overall condition and presents a solid opportunity for buyers looking to add value over time. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, and with easy access to major highways, this property offers a great blend of space, location, and potential. A smart option for buyers seeking a well-located home with room to grow.

  7. 2026-02-09
    price $425,000 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Welcome to 17409 E 95th Place in Commerce City. This 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional open-concept layout with comfortable living and dining spaces that flow well for everyday use. The kitchen overlooks the main living area and provides ample cabinet space, making it practical and easy to personalize. Upstairs features three well-sized bedrooms, including a primary suite with a private bath. An unfinished basement offers additional storage or future expansion potential for the next owner. The home is in good overall condition and presents a solid opportunity for buyers looking to add value over time. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, and with easy access to major highways, this property offers a great blend of space, location, and potential. A smart option for buyers seeking a well-located home with room to grow.

  8. 2026-02-09
    price $425,000 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Welcome to 17409 E 95th Place in Commerce City. This 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional open-concept layout with comfortable living and dining spaces that flow well for everyday use. The kitchen overlooks the main living area and provides ample cabinet space, making it practical and easy to personalize. Upstairs features three well-sized bedrooms, including a primary suite with a private bath. An unfinished basement offers additional storage or future expansion potential for the next owner. The home is in good overall condition and presents a solid opportunity for buyers looking to add value over time. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, and with easy access to major highways, this property offers a great blend of space, location, and potential. A smart option for buyers seeking a well-located home with room to grow.

  9. 2026-01-22
    listed $440,000 Active 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Welcome to 17409 E 95th Place in Commerce City. This 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional open-concept layout with comfortable living and dining spaces that flow well for everyday use. The kitchen overlooks the main living area and provides ample cabinet space, making it practical and easy to personalize. Upstairs features three well-sized bedrooms, including a primary suite with a private bath. An unfinished basement offers additional storage or future expansion potential for the next owner. The home is in good overall condition and presents a solid opportunity for buyers looking to add value over time. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, and with easy access to major highways, this property offers a great blend of space, location, and potential. A smart option for buyers seeking a well-located home with room to grow.

  10. 2026-01-22
    listed $440,000 Active 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Welcome to 17409 E 95th Place in Commerce City. This 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers a functional open-concept layout with comfortable living and dining spaces that flow well for everyday use. The kitchen overlooks the main living area and provides ample cabinet space, making it practical and easy to personalize. Upstairs features three well-sized bedrooms, including a primary suite with a private bath. An unfinished basement offers additional storage or future expansion potential for the next owner. The home is in good overall condition and presents a solid opportunity for buyers looking to add value over time. Conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining, and with easy access to major highways, this property offers a great blend of space, location, and potential. A smart option for buyers seeking a well-located home with room to grow.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$5,674 · $473/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$5,674 · $473/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$37,279
− Mortgage interest
−$21,006
− Property taxes
−$5,674
− Insurance
−$1,875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,982
− Management
−$2,982
− HOA
−$900
− Depreciation
−$10,909
Taxable loss
−$9,050
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,172
After-tax cash flow
$-426/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
School District 27J
NCES district ID
0802580
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$79,576
Composite
27.72/100
National rank
#6904
State rank
#46 of 86 in CO

Livability — Commerce City

Score
66/100
State rank
#137
US rank
#11491

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B- Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Commerce City, CO
County
Adams County · 464,133 people
City population
13,818
Metro
Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO
Population (ZIP)
61,452
Household income
$104,396
Rent vs Own
23.9% rent · 76.1% own
Severe rent burden
1581.0

Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
598,184 people
By 2030
651,880 · +9.0%
By 2040
759,778 · +27.0%
By 2050
862,889 · +44.3%
By 2075
1,085,994 · +81.5%
By 2100
1,211,318 · +102.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 53% White 36% Two or more races 20% Black 5% Native American 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 45%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 29% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Adams

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.0) · D 53.2% · R 44.1% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
-9.3pp toward R · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 9.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.0 2020: D+16.3 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+15.1 2008: D+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.35%
Current HPI
643.12
Rent YoY
▲ 2.62%
Metro
Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.95%
F500 in state
14

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-26 Pending IRES
  • 2026-03-26 Pending REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $375,000 IRES
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $375,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $400,000 IRES
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $400,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $425,000 IRES
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $425,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $440,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-22 Listed $440,000 IRES

Property tax history

+81.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,674 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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