Duplex
153 E Fulton St · Long Beach, NY
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.6/30.0
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Schools +5.9/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$799,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Welcome to one of Long Beach's most compelling real estate opportunities — a fully legal two-family home that delivers exceptional versatility, strong income potential, and a lifestyle most only dream about. Whether you're a savvy investor seeking immediate cash flow or an owner-occupant looking to have your mortgage paid for you, 153 E Fulton Street is the property you've been waiting for. This generously proportioned home spans three levels — upper two units offer 3 spacious bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms each, giving you a total of 6 bedrooms and 4 bathrooms across the property. Both units are thoughtfully laid out with comfortable living spaces, making them highly attractive
Key facts
- Full basement
- Two family home
- Boutique shopping
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: No investor or income/expense details provided
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; On-street parking; No carport
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Duplex
- Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Back yard and front yard; Garden; Fenced; Near public transit, schools and shops; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: Two 3-bedroom units
- Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Ductless cooling and wall/window units
- Interior features: Primary bathroom; Deck, porch and terrace
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $799k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $902 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $451/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $799k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 2.1% in Long Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#84 in NY, #1,285 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Long Beach City School District (suburban): math 66% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #150 of 590 in NY (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: East Elementary School (math 67% / reading 72%, grade A-, #447 of 2,108 statewide, top 24%, 312 students, 31% FRL); Long Beach Middle School (math 39% / reading 61%, grade C, #261 of 729 statewide, top 36%, 721 students, 25% FRL); Long Beach High School (math 91% / reading 75%, grade A, #440 of 1,100 statewide, top 40%, 1,314 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools at 29% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 353 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $9,187/mo this rent would consume 78% of the median local household income ($142k/yr) (locally 1284% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $289k; list at $799k implies a 176% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.31%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $914,380
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 272 E Harrison St | 0.15mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,710 (+3%) | 4mo | $950,000 | $351 | 75 |
| 26 Lancaster Rd | 0.55mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,524 (-4%) | 1mo | $750,000 | $297 | 59 |
| 429 E Park Ave | 0.42mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,791 (+6%) | 8mo | $975,000 | $349 | 54 |
| 565 E Hudson St | 0.59mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,407 (-8%) | 12mo | $999,000 | $415 | 40 |
| 259 W Hudson St | 0.70mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 2,352 (-10%) | 4mo | $775,000 | $330 | 38 |
| 615 E Olive St | 0.73mi | 5/4.0 (-1) | 2,979 (+14%) | 8mo | $935,000 | $314 | 31 |
| 161 W Walnut St | 0.61mi | 7/6.0 (+1) | 3,000 (+14%) | 10mo | $1,243,750 | $415 | 26 |
| 149 W Chester St | 0.55mi | 7/2.0 (+1) | 2,925 (+12%) | 20mo | $762,000 | $261 | 25 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-54,033
- Equity at exit
- $119,133
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $103,388
- Equity at exit
- $69,083
Cash invested: $223,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11561
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 353
- Price-to-rent
- 14.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $9,187 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,190
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,372 /mo · $16,465/yr
- Insurance
- −$333
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,929
- Net cashflow
- $902
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,355 | -5% $1,128 | +0% $902 | +5% $676 | +10% $450 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $177 | -5% $539 | +0% $902 | +5% $1,265 | +10% $1,628 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,305 | -0.5pp $1,106 | base $902 | +0.5pp $695 | +1.0pp $485 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $9,188 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $4,594 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $4,594 |
| Total (2 units) | $9,187 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $199,750
- Closing costs
- $23,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 302 W Hudson St Long Beach, NY | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $6,500 | $3.25 | 20d | 1 | 0.74mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $799,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $799,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $799,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $799,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $799,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 687-char remark
-
2026-06-13$799,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $16,465 · $1,372/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $16,465 · $1,372/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $110,244
- − Mortgage interest
- −$44,756
- − Property taxes
- −$16,465
- − Insurance
- −$9,520
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,820
- − Management
- −$8,820
- − Depreciation
- −$23,244
- Taxable loss
- −$1,380
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$331
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,159/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Long Beach City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3617730
- Math proficiency
- 66% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $86,938
- Composite
- 59.18/100
- National rank
- #947
- State rank
- #150 of 590 in NY
Livability — Long Beach
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #84
- US rank
- #1285
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Long Beach, NY
- County
- Nassau County · 653,051 people
- City population
- 38,708
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,708
- Household income
- $141,629
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1284.0
Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,409,302 people
- By 2030
- 1,431,482 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 1,471,607 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 1,502,845 · +6.6%
- By 2075
- 1,575,403 · +11.8%
- By 2100
- 1,554,356 · +10.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7% Asian 5% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Nassau
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.2 2020: D+9.5 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1067.69%
- Current HPI
- 309.3598
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.84%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+176.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $799,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-10 Coming Soon $799,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1991-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $289,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2024): $16,465 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…