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750 Lighthouse Dr #3201
D- Composite 37.95
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +10.7/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.2/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$296,990

750 Lighthouse Dr #3201 · Ocean Acres, NJ 08005
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 963 sqft · SingleFamily · 187 Days on market
Built 2025 Excellent condition $308/sqft · 7% below area Est $320k · 7% under $334/mo HOA · 14% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step into Coastal Woods, an exclusive community tailored for active adults aged 55 and above, where contemporary living takes on a fresh perspective. Nestled in the captivating landscapes of Barnegat, NJ, Coastal Woods offers a haven of sophistication and charm. Elevate your lifestyle by owning one of our 148 exceptional 1 and 2-bedroom condominiums, each designed to redefine not just your living space but your entire way of life. Experience the simplicity of hassle-free homeownership, turning every day into a rejuvenating escape. Immerse yourself in an array of community amenities meticulously crafted to enhance your daily routine. From peaceful walking trails to dynamic social spaces, we've carefully curated an atmosphere that nurtures connections and well-being. Revel in the coastal allure of Barnegat's surroundings, with the finest beaches and parks of the East Coast just moments away. Envision yourself soaking up the sun on pristine shores, discovering the wonders of nature, and returning to the serenity of Coastal Woods. Live the life you've always dreamed of - in a place where comfort, convenience, and the beauty of nature seamlessly intersect. Explore Coastal Woods and open a new chapter in your life, where each moment is a masterpiece. Welcome to your new home.

Key facts

  • Built 2025
  • Listed 186 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $297k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-276 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $248k (16.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (20.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $235k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.3% in Ocean Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#425 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Barnegat Township School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #285 of 472 in NJ (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Cecil S. Collins Elementary (784 students, 38% FRL); Russell O. Brackman Middle School (math 22% / reading 51%, grade F, #226 of 431 statewide, top 55%, 579 students, 33% FRL); Barnegat High School (math 20% / reading 45%, grade F, #265 of 399 statewide, top 67%, 983 students, 30% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 348 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 187 days — a 12% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $234,842 (20.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 187 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
5.18%
Cash-on-cash
-3.98%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$319,971
List price
$296,990
Delta
-7.18%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
750 Lighthouse Dr #1113 0.15mi 2/1.0 963 (0%) 9mo $269,990 $280 85
750 Lighthouse Dr #1201 0.11mi 2/1.0 963 (0%) 12mo $274,990 $286 84
750 Lighthouse Dr #1313 0.15mi 2/1.0 963 (0%) 11mo $279,990 $291 83
750 Lighthouse Dr #1108 0.14mi 2/2.0 1,095 (+14%) 1mo $311,990 $285 66
750 Lighthouse Dr #1302 0.06mi 1/1.0 (-1) 853 (-11%) 12mo $229,990 $270 64
750 Lighthouse Dr #1102 0.12mi 1/1.0 (-1) 853 (-11%) 9mo $234,990 $275 63
750 Lighthouse Dr #1202 0.12mi 1/1.0 (-1) 853 (-11%) 9mo $239,990 $281 63
750 Lighthouse Dr #1307 0.14mi 1/1.0 (-1) 853 (-11%) 10mo $239,990 $281 62
750 Lighthouse Dr #1207 0.13mi 1/1.0 (-1) 853 (-11%) 12mo $234,990 $275 60
750 Lighthouse Dr #1312 0.15mi 1/1.0 (-1) 853 (-11%) 12mo $239,990 $281 59
750 Lighthouse Dr #1306 0.30mi 2/2.0 1,095 (+14%) 11mo $314,990 $288 50
6 Avast Ave 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,103 (+14%) 1mo $460,000 $417 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-23.0%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-65,592
Equity at exit
$44,282
10-year hold
IRR
-17.3%
Equity multiple
0.05×
Total profit
$-79,375
Equity at exit
$25,678

Cash invested: $83,157 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
7 active · 13 under contract
Months of supply
8.4 mo (12%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$254,990 ($298/sqft)
Median days on market
93 d
This list price
86% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+11.4% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 08005

Active inventory
348
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,348 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,557
Tax from tax record
$116 /mo · $1,387/yr
Insurance
$124
HOA
$334
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$493
Net cashflow
$-276

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,697
Max offer price $248,312
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-107 -5% $-191 +0% $-276 +5% $-360 +10% $-444
Rent -10% $-461 -5% $-368 +0% $-276 +5% $-183 +10% $-90
Rate -1.0pp $-126 -0.5pp $-200 base $-276 +0.5pp $-353 +1.0pp $-431

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,248
Closing costs
$8,910
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
21 Potomac Ct Barnegat, NJ 2.0 1.0 900 $2,100 $2.33 54d 1 1.04mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $296,990 Active 187 DOM
  2. 2026-08-06
    days on market $296,990 Active 185 DOM
  3. 2026-08-05
    days on market $296,990 Active 184 DOM
  4. 2026-08-04
    days on market $296,990 Active 183 DOM
  5. 2026-08-03
    days on market $296,990 Active 182 DOM
  6. 2026-07-31
    days on market $296,990 Active 179 DOM
  7. 2026-07-30
    days on market $296,990 Active 178 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $296,990 Active 177 DOM
  9. 2026-07-28
    days on market $296,990 Active 176 DOM
  10. 2026-07-26
    days on market $296,990 Active 174 DOM
  11. 2026-07-24
    days on market $296,990 Active 172 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $296,990 Active 171 DOM
  13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $296,990 Active 170 DOM
  14. 2026-07-21
    days on market $296,990 Active 169 DOM
  15. 2026-07-20
    days on market $296,990 Active 168 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $296,990 Active 166 DOM
  17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $296,990 Active 165 DOM
  18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $296,990 Active 164 DOM
  19. 2026-07-15
    days on market $296,990 Active 163 DOM
  20. 2026-07-14
    days on market $296,990 Active 162 DOM
  21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $296,990 Active 161 DOM
  22. 2026-07-13
    days on market $296,990 Active 160 DOM
  23. 2026-07-11
    days on market $296,990 Active 159 DOM
  24. 2026-07-10
    days on market $296,990 Active 158 DOM
  25. 2026-07-09
    days on market $296,990 Active 157 DOM
  26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $296,990 Active 155 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $296,990 Active 154 DOM
  28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $296,990 Active 153 DOM
  29. 2026-07-05
    days on market $296,990 Active 152 DOM
  30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $296,990 Active 151 DOM
  31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $296,990 Active 150 DOM
  32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $296,990 Active 149 DOM
  33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $296,990 Active 148 DOM
  34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $296,990 Active 147 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $296,990 Active 146 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $296,990 Active 145 DOM
  37. 2026-06-26
    days on market $296,990 Active 144 DOM
  38. 2026-06-24
    days on market $296,990 Active 142 DOM
  39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $296,990 Active 140 DOM
  40. 2026-06-21
    days on market $296,990 Active 139 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $296,990 Active 136 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $296,990 Active 135 DOM
  43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $296,990 Active 134 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $296,990 Active 133 DOM
  45. 2026-06-13
    days on market $296,990 Active 131 DOM
  46. 2026-06-13
    days on market $296,990 Active 130 DOM
  47. 2026-06-09
    days on market $296,990 Active 127 DOM
  48. 2026-06-08
    days on market $296,990 Active 126 DOM
  49. 2026-06-07
    days on market $296,990 Active 125 DOM
  50. 2026-06-04
    days on market $296,990 Active 122 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,387 · $116/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,391 · $366/mo
Expected delta
+$3,004/yr (+$250/mo · 216.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,181
− Mortgage interest
−$16,636
− Property taxes
−$1,387
− Insurance
−$1,485
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,254
− Management
−$2,254
− HOA
−$4,008
− Depreciation
−$8,640
Taxable loss
−$8,484
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,036
After-tax cash flow
$-1,270/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This modern, move-in-ready condo in Coastal Woods, Barnegat, NJ, offers a pristine living environment with excellent curb appeal and minimal maintenance needs.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.
  • Both Painting exterior — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value.
  • Both Landscaping maintenance — Well-maintained landscaping can attract more potential buyers or renters.
F Composite school gradezoned avg 34/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Cecil S. Collins Elementary Middle Russell O. Brackman Middle School F NJ #226/431 Nat'l #7,065/14,009 High Barnegat High School F NJ #265/399 Nat'l #10,333/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Barnegat Township School District
NCES district ID
3416470
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$63,645
Composite
31.15/100
National rank
#6059
State rank
#285 of 472 in NJ
C Composite livability gradescore 63/100

Livability — Ocean Acres

Score
63/100
State rank
#425
US rank
#15187

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ocean Acres, NJ
County
Ocean County · 586,991 people
City population
25,936
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
26,866
Household income
$93,584
Rent vs Own
11.4% rent · 88.6% own
Severe rent burden
6% of renters

Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
586,991 people
By 2030
581,403 · -1.0%
By 2040
564,913 · -3.8%
By 2050
538,149 · -8.3%
By 2075
468,845 · -20.1%
By 2100
350,297 · -40.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ocean

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+3.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-02 Listed $296,990 MOMLS
  • 2025-08-27 Listed $286,990 MOMLS

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,387 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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