750 Lighthouse Dr #3201 · Ocean Acres, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +10.7/15.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$296,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into Coastal Woods, an exclusive community tailored for active adults aged 55 and above, where contemporary living takes on a fresh perspective. Nestled in the captivating landscapes of Barnegat, NJ, Coastal Woods offers a haven of sophistication and charm. Elevate your lifestyle by owning one of our 148 exceptional 1 and 2-bedroom condominiums, each designed to redefine not just your living space but your entire way of life. Experience the simplicity of hassle-free homeownership, turning every day into a rejuvenating escape. Immerse yourself in an array of community amenities meticulously crafted to enhance your daily routine. From peaceful walking trails to dynamic social spaces, we've carefully curated an atmosphere that nurtures connections and well-being. Revel in the coastal allure of Barnegat's surroundings, with the finest beaches and parks of the East Coast just moments away. Envision yourself soaking up the sun on pristine shores, discovering the wonders of nature, and returning to the serenity of Coastal Woods. Live the life you've always dreamed of - in a place where comfort, convenience, and the beauty of nature seamlessly intersect. Explore Coastal Woods and open a new chapter in your life, where each moment is a masterpiece. Welcome to your new home.
Key facts
- Built 2025
- Listed 186 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $297k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-276 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $248k (16.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (20.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $235k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 3.3% in Ocean Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#425 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Barnegat Township School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #285 of 472 in NJ (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cecil S. Collins Elementary (784 students, 38% FRL); Russell O. Brackman Middle School (math 22% / reading 51%, grade F, #226 of 431 statewide, top 55%, 579 students, 33% FRL); Barnegat High School (math 20% / reading 45%, grade F, #265 of 399 statewide, top 67%, 983 students, 30% FRL).
- Market conditions: 348 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($94k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 187 days — a 12% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 187 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.18%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.98%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $319,971
- List price
- $296,990
- Delta
- -7.18%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 750 Lighthouse Dr #1113 | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 963 (0%) | 9mo | $269,990 | $280 | 85 |
| 750 Lighthouse Dr #1201 | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 963 (0%) | 12mo | $274,990 | $286 | 84 |
| 750 Lighthouse Dr #1313 | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 963 (0%) | 11mo | $279,990 | $291 | 83 |
| 750 Lighthouse Dr #1108 | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 1,095 (+14%) | 1mo | $311,990 | $285 | 66 |
| 750 Lighthouse Dr #1302 | 0.06mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 853 (-11%) | 12mo | $229,990 | $270 | 64 |
| 750 Lighthouse Dr #1102 | 0.12mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 853 (-11%) | 9mo | $234,990 | $275 | 63 |
| 750 Lighthouse Dr #1202 | 0.12mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 853 (-11%) | 9mo | $239,990 | $281 | 63 |
| 750 Lighthouse Dr #1307 | 0.14mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 853 (-11%) | 10mo | $239,990 | $281 | 62 |
| 750 Lighthouse Dr #1207 | 0.13mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 853 (-11%) | 12mo | $234,990 | $275 | 60 |
| 750 Lighthouse Dr #1312 | 0.15mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 853 (-11%) | 12mo | $239,990 | $281 | 59 |
| 750 Lighthouse Dr #1306 | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 | 1,095 (+14%) | 11mo | $314,990 | $288 | 50 |
| 6 Avast Ave | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,103 (+14%) | 1mo | $460,000 | $417 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-65,592
- Equity at exit
- $44,282
- IRR
- -17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.05×
- Total profit
- $-79,375
- Equity at exit
- $25,678
Cash invested: $83,157 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 7 active · 13 under contract
- Months of supply
- 8.4 mo (12%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $254,990 ($298/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 93 d
- This list price
- 86% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +11.4% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 08005
- Active inventory
- 348
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,348 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,557
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,387/yr
- Insurance
- −$124
- HOA
- −$334
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$493
- Net cashflow
- $-276
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-107 | -5% $-191 | +0% $-276 | +5% $-360 | +10% $-444 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-461 | -5% $-368 | +0% $-276 | +5% $-183 | +10% $-90 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-126 | -0.5pp $-200 | base $-276 | +0.5pp $-353 | +1.0pp $-431 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,248
- Closing costs
- $8,910
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Potomac Ct Barnegat, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,100 | $2.33 | 54d | 1 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $296,990 Active 187 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $296,990 Active 185 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $296,990 Active 184 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $296,990 Active 183 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $296,990 Active 182 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $296,990 Active 179 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $296,990 Active 178 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $296,990 Active 177 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $296,990 Active 176 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $296,990 Active 174 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $296,990 Active 172 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $296,990 Active 171 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $296,990 Active 170 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $296,990 Active 169 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $296,990 Active 168 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $296,990 Active 166 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $296,990 Active 165 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $296,990 Active 164 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $296,990 Active 163 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $296,990 Active 162 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $296,990 Active 161 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $296,990 Active 160 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $296,990 Active 159 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $296,990 Active 158 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $296,990 Active 157 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $296,990 Active 155 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $296,990 Active 154 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $296,990 Active 153 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $296,990 Active 152 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $296,990 Active 151 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $296,990 Active 150 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $296,990 Active 149 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $296,990 Active 148 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $296,990 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $296,990 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $296,990 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $296,990 Active 144 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $296,990 Active 142 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $296,990 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $296,990 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $296,990 Active 136 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $296,990 Active 135 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $296,990 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $296,990 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $296,990 Active 131 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $296,990 Active 130 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $296,990 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $296,990 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $296,990 Active 125 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $296,990 Active 122 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,387 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,391 · $366/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,004/yr (+$250/mo · 216.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,181
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,636
- − Property taxes
- −$1,387
- − Insurance
- −$1,485
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,254
- − Management
- −$2,254
- − HOA
- −$4,008
- − Depreciation
- −$8,640
- Taxable loss
- −$8,484
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,036
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,270/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This modern, move-in-ready condo in Coastal Woods, Barnegat, NJ, offers a pristine living environment with excellent curb appeal and minimal maintenance needs.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property. ↑
- Both Painting exterior — Fresh paint can improve the home's appearance and value. ↑
- Both Landscaping maintenance — Well-maintained landscaping can attract more potential buyers or renters. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Barnegat Township School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416470
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,645
- Composite
- 31.15/100
- National rank
- #6059
- State rank
- #285 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Ocean Acres
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #425
- US rank
- #15187
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ocean Acres, NJ
- County
- Ocean County · 586,991 people
- City population
- 25,936
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,866
- Household income
- $93,584
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6% of renters
Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 586,991 people
- By 2030
- 581,403 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 564,913 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 538,149 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 468,845 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 350,297 · -40.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ocean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -204.01%
- Current HPI
- 344.3189
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+3.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-02 Listed $296,990 MOMLS
- 2025-08-27 Listed $286,990 MOMLS
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,387 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…