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422 Shetland Rd
C Composite 57.92
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

422 Shetland Rd · Darby, PA 19023
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,230 sqft · Townhouse public records · 40 Days on market
Built 1950 1,742 sqft lot $102/sqft · 23% below area Est $163k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming Fixer- Upper with Great Potential! Discover this cozy 2 bedroom, 1 bath home in a desirable, family friendly neighborhood. This property is brimming with potential and awaits your personal touch to restore it to its full glory. With a beautiful spacious backyard. Great for the fur babies & backyard BBQ. This home offers a fantastic opportunity for those looking to customize their dream home or invest in a renovation project. Don't miss the chance to make this diamond in the rough your own!! Property being sold as is.

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 40 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (front entry) with 1 garage space; Driveway with space for 2 vehicles (3 total garage/parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas for heating and hot water
  • Home design: Interior townhouse/rowhouse; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Other structures above and below grade; Year built reported as estimated
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; No tidal water on the property

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Natural gas heating and hot water
  • Interior features: Full, heated basement with interior access; Living area reported as estimated

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $111 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#485 in PA, #4,468 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D+, employment D, crime F.
  • William Penn SD (suburban): math 11% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #491 of 539 in PA (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Bell Avenue School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,468 of 1,518 statewide, top 98%, 265 students, 100% FRL); Penn Wood Ms (math 5% / reading 28%, grade F, #463 of 512 statewide, top 91%, 683 students, 100% FRL); Penn Wood Hs (math 25% / reading 15%, grade F, #387 of 437 statewide, top 89%, 1,170 students, 95% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 69% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.1%/yr); 98 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 299 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $105k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $121,250 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
7.36%
Cash-on-cash
3.82%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$163,182
List price
$125,000
Delta
-23.40%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
217 N 7th St 0.20mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,188 (-3%) 1mo $140,000 $118 75
902 Maple Ter 0.42mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,234 (+0%) 0mo $114,000 $92 75
306 Berbro St 0.10mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,342 (+9%) 2mo $165,000 $123 72
104 S 3rd St 0.30mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,312 (+7%) 1mo $150,000 $114 69
420 S 2nd St 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,216 (-1%) 0mo $115,000 $95 66
1300 Wycombe Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,190 (-3%) 1mo $129,000 $108 58
234 Spring Valley Rd 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,120 (-9%) 0mo $130,000 $116 51
1232 Edgehill Rd 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,120 (-9%) 1mo $214,000 $191 50
123 Spring Valley Rd 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,120 (-9%) 1mo $180,000 $161 48
1339 Park Ln 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,120 (-9%) 2mo $230,000 $205 45
456 S 2nd St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,072 (-13%) 2mo $189,000 $176 42
219 Laurel Rd 0.75mi 2/1.0 1,068 (-13%) 2mo $160,000 $150 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-5,715
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
11.1%
Equity multiple
2.09×
Total profit
$37,982
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19023

Rents YoY
13.1%
Active inventory
98
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,390 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$279 /mo · $3,345/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$292
Net cashflow
$111

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,249
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $182 -5% $147 +0% $111 +5% $76 +10% $41
Rent -10% $2 -5% $57 +0% $111 +5% $166 +10% $221
Rate -1.0pp $174 -0.5pp $143 base $111 +0.5pp $79 +1.0pp $46

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 34 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1607 Patricia Dr Lansdowne, PA 1.0 1.0 757 $925 $1.22 45d 1 0.11mi
106 N 6th St Darby, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 45d 1 0.18mi
300 N Front St Darby, PA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,395 $1.64 45d 1 0.20mi
109 Main St Unit A Darby, PA 1.0 3.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 20d 1 0.27mi
109 Main St Unit A Darby, PA 1.0 3.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 21d 1 0.27mi
109 Main St Unit B Darby, PA 1.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 20d 1 0.27mi
109 Main St Unit B Darby, PA 1.0 1.0 1480 $1,100 $0.74 16d 1 0.27mi
109 Main St Unit A Darby, PA 1.0 3.0 1480 $1,100 $0.74 19d 1 0.27mi
109 Main St Unit B Darby, PA 1.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 21d 1 0.27mi
69 S 7th St Darby, PA 3.0 2.0 1446 $1,700 $1.18 45d 1 0.41mi
924 Maple Ter Darby, PA 3.0 1.5 1190 $2,000 $1.68 7d 1 0.44mi
935 Maple Ter Darby, PA 3.0 1.0 1266 $1,585 $1.25 7d 1 0.44mi
935 Maple Ter Darby, PA 3.0 1.0 1266 $1,585 $1.25 12d 1 0.44mi
700 Pine St Unit 2F Darby, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 19d 1 0.57mi
412 S 2nd St Darby, PA 3.0 1.0 1190 $1,100 $0.92 7d 1 0.57mi
417 S 2nd St Darby, PA 3.0 1.0 1190 $1,020 $0.86 7d 1 0.60mi
909 Springfield Rd Unit B Darby, PA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,000 $1.43 45d 1 0.63mi
534 S 4th St Darby, PA 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,695 $1.13 0d 1 0.74mi
1300 Main St Unit Basement Darby, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 26d 1 0.78mi
1300 Main St Unit Basement Darby, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,450 $1.81 12d 1 0.78mi
810 Rundale Ave Lansdowne, PA 2.0 1.0 868 $1,500 $1.73 26d 1 0.78mi
37 Concord Rd Darby, PA 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,795 $1.60 45d 1 0.89mi
601 Poplar St Sharon Hill, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 787 $1,599 $2.03 16d 5 0.90mi
2 Winthrop Rd Darby, PA 3.0 1.5 1224 $1,900 $1.55 23d 1 0.93mi
826 Guenther Ave Lansdowne, PA 2.0 1.0–2.0 800 $1,699 $2.12 26d 1 0.96mi
608 Yeadon Ave Unit 1st Floor Yeadon, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 19d 1 1.09mi
608 Yeadon Ave Unit 2nd Floor Yeadon, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 14d 1 1.09mi
619 Baily Rd Lansdowne, PA 3.0 1.0 1288 $1,850 $1.44 20d 1 1.10mi
504 S Lansdowne Ave Lansdowne, PA 2.0 1.0 815 $1,545 $1.90 0d 4 1.19mi
772 E Providence Rd Aldan, PA 1.0 1.0 725 $1,497 $2.06 45d 1 1.25mi
118 Felton Ave Darby, PA 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,750 $1.52 23d 1 1.31mi
112 Juliana Ter Darby, PA 3.0 1.0 1020 $2,350 $2.30 46d 1 1.35mi
112 Juliana Ter Darby, PA 3.0 1.0 1020 $2,450 $2.40 26d 1 1.35mi
146 S Lansdowne Ave Apt A9 Lansdowne, PA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,469 $1.55 0d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $125,000 Active 40 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $125,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $125,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
  16. 2026-05-18
    status Active
  17. 2026-05-18
    historical
  18. 2026-05-12
    listed $125,000 Active
  19. 2024-08-06
    soldstatus $105,000 Closed 537-char remark
    Show marketing remark (537 chars)

    Charming Fixer- Upper with Great Potential! Discover this cozy 2 bedroom, 1 bath home in a desirable, family friendly neighborhood. This property is brimming with potential and awaits your personal touch to restore it to its full glory. With a beautiful spacious backyard. Great for the fur babies & backyard BBQ. This home offers a fantastic opportunity for those looking to customize their dream home or invest in a renovation project. Don't miss the chance to make this diamond in the rough your own!! Property being sold as is.

  20. 2024-07-07
    status Pending 537-char remark
    Show marketing remark (537 chars)

    Charming Fixer- Upper with Great Potential! Discover this cozy 2 bedroom, 1 bath home in a desirable, family friendly neighborhood. This property is brimming with potential and awaits your personal touch to restore it to its full glory. With a beautiful spacious backyard. Great for the fur babies & backyard BBQ. This home offers a fantastic opportunity for those looking to customize their dream home or invest in a renovation project. Don't miss the chance to make this diamond in the rough your own!! Property being sold as is.

  21. 2024-06-15
    listed $115,000 Active 537-char remark
    Show marketing remark (537 chars)

    Charming Fixer- Upper with Great Potential! Discover this cozy 2 bedroom, 1 bath home in a desirable, family friendly neighborhood. This property is brimming with potential and awaits your personal touch to restore it to its full glory. With a beautiful spacious backyard. Great for the fur babies & backyard BBQ. This home offers a fantastic opportunity for those looking to customize their dream home or invest in a renovation project. Don't miss the chance to make this diamond in the rough your own!! Property being sold as is.

  22. 1985-09-04
    soldstatus $37,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,345 · $279/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,345 · $279/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,676
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$3,345
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,334
− Management
−$1,334
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$601
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$144
After-tax cash flow
$1,482/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
William Penn SD
NCES district ID
4226390
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$48,543
Composite
17.29/100
National rank
#9086
State rank
#491 of 539 in PA

Livability — Darby

Score
74/100
State rank
#485
US rank
#4468

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Darby, PA
County
Delaware County · 399,863 people
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
22,247
Household income
$46,463
Rent vs Own
47.4% rent · 52.6% own
Severe rent burden
1468.0

Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
577,490 people
By 2030
581,243 · +0.6%
By 2040
584,700 · +1.2%
By 2050
586,581 · +1.6%
By 2075
598,706 · +3.7%
By 2100
590,823 · +2.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 76% White 15% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Swiss 5% Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Delaware

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.7) · D 61.4% · R 37.6% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+2.3pp toward D · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 23.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.7 2020: D+26.7 2016: D+22.0 2012: D+21.8 2008: D+21.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -190.50%
Current HPI
277.7034
Rent YoY
▲ 13.10%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+229.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-18 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $125,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-08-06 Sold (MLS) $105,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-07-07 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-06-15 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1985-09-04 Sold (Public Records) $37,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,345 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…