🏷️ Likely Rental
29 Oak St · Bucksport, ME
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $669 – $1,243
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 29 Oak Street. Great intown location that is minutes from everything. This home has lots of space and a good-sized yard. The home does need some work inside and out. This is an opportunity to build some equity. Tenant occupied. Being sold ''as-is'' Will likely not qualify for FHA / VA or other government financing types.
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1890
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $119k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $698 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 3.9% in Bucksport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#94 in ME) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
- RSU 25 (rural): math 81% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #72 of 112 in ME (top 64%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 270 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hancock County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.13%
- DSCR
- 2.12
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $281,658
- List price
- $119,000
- Delta
- -57.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Pond St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,500 (+2%) | 6mo | $307,000 | $205 | 83 |
| 15 Franklin St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,572 (+6%) | 19mo | $370,000 | $235 | 69 |
| 32 Forest Hl | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,544 (+5%) | 14mo | $385,000 | $249 | 65 |
| 39 Pine St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,362 (-8%) | 15mo | $205,000 | $151 | 63 |
| 29 Pine St | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,641 (+11%) | 24mo | $239,900 | $146 | 50 |
| 11 Maple St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,600 (+8%) | 7mo | $273,351 | $171 | 50 |
| 141 Central St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,624 (+10%) | 24mo | $325,000 | $200 | 36 |
| 73 Forest Hl | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,664 (+13%) | 16mo | $327,500 | $197 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $25,193
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- 27.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.38×
- Total profit
- $79,289
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Maine
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 04416
- Home prices YoY
- -8.4%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,924 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$149 /mo · $1,785/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$404
- Net cashflow
- $698
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $780 | -5% $739 | +0% $698 | +5% $657 | +10% $616 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $546 | -5% $622 | +0% $698 | +5% $774 | +10% $850 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $758 | -0.5pp $728 | base $698 | +0.5pp $667 | +1.0pp $636 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $119,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $119,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-01-28$149,000 Active 334-char remark
Show marketing remark (334 chars)
Welcome to 29 Oak Street. Great intown location that is minutes from everything. This home has lots of space and a good-sized yard. The home does need some work inside and out. This is an opportunity to build some equity. Tenant occupied. Being sold ''as-is'' Will likely not qualify for FHA / VA or other government financing types.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,092
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$1,785
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,847
- − Management
- −$1,847
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable income
- $6,890
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,654
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,721/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home requires moderate renovations to the kitchen and bathrooms, as well as some landscaping improvements. The property has a good-sized yard and is in a desirable location, making it an opportunity to build equity.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — dated and worn
- Minor landscaping — overgrown areas
Value-add opportunities
- Both kitchen renovation — modernizing the kitchen would improve both resale and rental value
- Both bathroom renovation — modernizing the bathrooms would improve both resale and rental value
- Both landscaping — improving the landscaping would enhance curb appeal and potentially increase property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| landscaping · overgrown areas | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both kitchen renovation — modernizing the kitchen would improve both resale and rental value ↑
- Both bathroom renovation — modernizing the bathrooms would improve both resale and rental value ↑
- Both landscaping — improving the landscaping would enhance curb appeal and potentially increase property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- RSU 25
- NCES district ID
- 2314796
- Math proficiency
- 81% ▲ 55.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 84% ▲ 28.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,283
- Composite
- 69.46/100
- National rank
- #308
- State rank
- #72 of 112 in ME
Livability — Bucksport
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #94
- US rank
- #10578
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bucksport, ME
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,503
Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,608 people
- By 2030
- 52,594 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 49,556 · -7.6%
- By 2050
- 46,152 · -13.9%
- By 2075
- 39,678 · -26.0%
- By 2100
- 33,690 · -37.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% German 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hancock
- 2024 margin
- D (+11.8) · D 54.7% · R 42.9% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.5pp toward R · 2008: 19.3pp · 2024: 11.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+11.8 2020: D+12.4 2016: D+7.6 2012: D+16.7 2008: D+19.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -19.93%
- Current HPI
- 217.0101
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-01-28 Listed $149,000 MREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…