77 Old Stone Hill Rd · Scotts Corners, NY 10576

$2,150,000

5 bd · 3.5 ba · 5,652 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market

Built 2003 3.04 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +12.7/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +6.9/10.0
• Schools +5.3/10.0
• 1% rule +3.8/10.0
• DSCR +3.8/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Fabulous New Construction By Renowned Builder On Magnificent Level Homesite With Panoramic Sunset Western Views Over The Pound Ridge Reservation. Quality Fixtures, Detailing And Craftmanship Are This Builder's Hallmark. Additional 1400 Sqft Available To Finish On 3rd Floor. Ready For Occupancy!(a Href=http://Tours. 360house. Com/Viewer_blank. Cfm?house=121328)click Here For A Virtual Tour!(/A)

Key facts

• 3.04 acre lot
• 3 garage spots
• Built 2003

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Garage; 3 garage spaces
• Utilities: Septic tank; Electricity connected; Propane; Underground utilities; Water connected
• Home design: Single family residence
• Construction: Frame construction
• Exterior features: Frame construction; Not waterfront

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas cooktop; Oven; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; Kitchen island; Eat-in kitchen; Granite counters; Open kitchen
• Flooring: Hardwood floors
• Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Oil heating; Central air conditioning; Wood-burning fireplaces (3)
• Interior features: Built-in features; Eat-in kitchen; Formal dining room; Granite counters; Kitchen island; Open kitchen; Primary bathroom; Storage; Tray ceilings; Walk-in closets; Wet bar; Finished basement; Unfinished walkup attic; 14 total rooms
• Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $2.15M.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-246 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $2.11M (2.0% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.90M (11.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $1.90M (11.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.6% in Scotts Corners — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#810 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
• Bedford Central School District (rural): math 54% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #211 of 590 in NY (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Pound Ridge Elementary School (math 52% / reading 77%, grade B, #591 of 2,108 statewide, top 31%, 238 students, 10% FRL); Fox Lane Middle School (math 42% / reading 55%, grade C-, #300 of 729 statewide, top 41%, 765 students, 38% FRL); Fox Lane High School (math 97% / reading 82%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 1,241 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools average 28% FRL vs 10% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $97k of equity ($15k loan paydown + $83k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
• Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$157k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($2.12M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $1,901,770 (11.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.88% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.16%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.49%
• DSCR: 0.98
• GRM: 9.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $4,696,812
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
54 Old Stone Hill Rd	0.30mi	4/5.0 (-1)	4,964 (-12%)	6mo	$4,125,000	$831	50
36 Lyndel Rd	0.69mi	5/4.5	5,386 (-5%)	20mo	$4,000,000	$743	40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.84% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 9.4%
• Equity multiple: 1.57×
• Total profit: $340,733
• Equity at exit: $1,069,788

10-year hold

• IRR: 11.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.86×
• Total profit: $1,120,417
• Equity at exit: $1,733,728

Cash invested: $602,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 10576

• Home prices YoY: 1.6%
• Active inventory: 69
• Price-to-rent: 9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $19,018 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$11,275
• Tax from tax record: −$3,099 /mo · $37,194/yr
• Insurance: −$896
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$3,994
• Net cashflow: $-246

Break-even live

Break-even rent $19,329

Max offer price $2,106,515

Occupancy floor 96%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $537,500
• Closing costs: $64,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
106 Old Stone Hill Rd Pound Ridge, NY	5.0	5.5	4534	$18,000	$3.97	2d	1	0.29mi
269 Stone Hill Rd Pound Ridge, NY	5.0	5.5	4910	$20,000	$4.07	21d	1	0.58mi
269 Stone Hill Rd Pound Ridge, NY	5.0	5.5	4910	$20,000	$4.07	2d	1	0.65mi

Listing history 13 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $2,150,000 Active 15 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $2,150,000 Active 14 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $2,150,000 Active 13 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $2,150,000 Active 12 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $2,150,000 Active 10 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $2,150,000 Active 9 DOM
7. 2026-06-10
   days on market $2,150,000 Active 7 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $2,150,000 Active 6 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $2,150,000 Active 5 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $2,150,000 Active 4 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    status $2,150,000 Active 1 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    remarks 699-char remark
13. 2026-06-03
    listed $2,150,000 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $37,194 · $3,099/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $37,194 · $3,099/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $228,212
• − Mortgage interest: −$120,433
• − Property taxes: −$37,194
• − Insurance: −$10,750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$18,257
• − Management: −$18,257
• − Depreciation: −$62,545
• Taxable loss: −$39,224
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$9,414
• After-tax cash flow: $6,460/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Bedford Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3619950
• Math proficiency: 54% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 60% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $98,055
• Composite: 53.17/100
• National rank: #1508
• State rank: #211 of 590 in NY

Livability — Scotts Corners

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #810
• US rank: #15702

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 4,904

Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,028,035 people
• By 2030: 1,051,636 · +2.3%
• By 2040: 1,098,520 · +6.9%
• By 2050: 1,136,044 · +10.5%
• By 2075: 1,196,925 · +16.4%
• By 2100: 1,175,147 · +14.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (90%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 90% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Black 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 4% Italian 3%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, China, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Other Indo-European 5% Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Westchester

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 3.84%
• Current HPI: 239.5803
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+9.5% since first listed

8 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-04 Listed $2,150,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-06-03 Coming Soon $2,150,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2014-01-27 Price Changed $1,885,000 HGMLS
• 2005-03-24 Sold (MLS) $1,963,000 HGMLS
• 2005-02-13 Delisted — HGMLS
• 2003-11-24 Delisted — HGMLS
• 2003-11-24 Listed $1,963,000 HGMLS
• 2003-07-08 Listed — HGMLS

Property tax history

-0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $37,194 · -11.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.