8015 SW 107th Ave #119 · Kendall, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 29 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great Opportunity! 3-Bedroom Corner Unit in Horizons East – Kendall. This first-floor corner unit in Horizons East Condominium offers 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a spacious layout with plenty of natural light. The well-kept interior provides a comfortable living space, while the primary suite features a private bath. The community offers great amenities, including a pool, gym, tennis courts, and more. Conveniently located in Kendall, with easy access to schools, shopping, dining, and major highways. A great find at a great price—schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Private bath
- Community amenities
- Corner unit
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $265k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-86 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (5.7% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $265k).
- Recommended offer: $250k (5.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.8% in Kendall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#190 in FL, #3,010 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Sunset Park Elementary School (math 57% / reading 64%, grade B-, #664 of 2,144 statewide, top 32%, 402 students, 66% FRL); Glades Middle School (math 53% / reading 56%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 645 students, 56% FRL); Miami Killian Senior High School (math 23% / reading 37%, grade F, #441 of 667 statewide, top 67%, 1,069 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools at 61% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($88k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($257k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.32%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-56,915
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- -35.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.20×
- Total profit
- $-89,333
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33173
- Rents YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 168
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,051 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax from tax record
- −$343 /mo · $4,112/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$587
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$641
- Net cashflow
- $-86
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $64 | -5% $-11 | +0% $-86 | +5% $-161 | +10% $-236 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-327 | -5% $-207 | +0% $-86 | +5% $34 | +10% $155 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $47 | -0.5pp $-19 | base $-86 | +0.5pp $-155 | +1.0pp $-225 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8015 SW 107th Ave Miami, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1002 | $2,550 | $2.54 | 3d | 2 | 0.04mi |
| 8015 SW 107th Ave Miami, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 872 | $2,550 | $2.92 | 5d | 3 | 0.04mi |
| 8015 SW 107th Ave Miami, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 872 | $2,550 | $2.92 | 0d | 3 | 0.04mi |
| 8025 SW 107th Ave Miami, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 872 | $2,600 | $2.98 | 7d | 2 | 0.06mi |
| 8025 SW 107th Ave Miami, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 872 | $2,600 | $2.98 | 26d | 2 | 0.06mi |
| 8025 SW 107th Ave Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,600 | $2.50 | 9d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 8415 SW 107th Ave Unit 206 Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,600 | $2.00 | 26d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 8401 SW 107th Ave Miami, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1768 | $2,995 | $1.69 | 13d | 8 | 0.30mi |
| 8401 SW 107th Ave Miami, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1768 | $2,995 | $1.69 | 20d | 8 | 0.30mi |
| 8401 SW 107th Ave Miami, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1852 | $2,995 | $1.62 | 0d | 6 | 0.30mi |
| 8401 SW 107th Ave Miami, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1768 | $2,995 | $1.69 | 13d | 8 | 0.30mi |
| 10944 SW 75th Ter Miami, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1336 | $3,300 | $2.47 | 26d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 7121 SW 102nd Ct Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1137 | $3,400 | $2.99 | 7d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 7121 SW 102nd Ct Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1137 | $3,400 | $2.99 | 26d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 10794 N Kendall Dr Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $2,538 | $2.25 | 26d | 2 | 0.62mi |
| 10794 N Kendall Dr Unit B23 Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $2,575 | $2.28 | 0d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 7502 SW 109th Pl Miami, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1336 | $3,300 | $2.47 | 4d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 10907 N Kendall Dr Unit 313 Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1330 | $2,600 | $1.95 | 0d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 10907 N Kendall Dr Unit 313 Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1330 | $2,600 | $1.95 | 26d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 9770 SW 77th Ter Miami, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1340 | $3,900 | $2.91 | 22d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 7104 SW 110th Ave Unit 7104 Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $3,396 | $2.46 | 6d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 7104 SW 110th Ave Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $3,300 | $2.39 | 26d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 7104 SW 110th Ave Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $3,399 | $2.47 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 7115 SW 111th Pl Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1365 | $3,000 | $2.20 | 0d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 7531 SW 95th Pl Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1413 | $4,150 | $2.94 | 16d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 7112 SW 113th Ct Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $3,200 | $2.32 | 16d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 7101 SW 113th Ct Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $3,000 | $2.02 | 26d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 11449 SW 84th Ln Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1359 | $3,600 | $2.65 | 9d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 11449 SW 84th Ln Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1359 | $3,600 | $2.65 | 16d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 10700 SW 63rd St Unit 10700 Miami, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $4,200 | $3.05 | 26d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 6371 SW 109th Ct Miami, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1344 | $4,500 | $3.35 | 22d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 11472 SW 87th Ter Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1359 | $3,375 | $2.48 | 7d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 6521 SW 114th Ave Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $2,950 | $2.14 | 7d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 6606 SW 115th Ct Unit H Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,950 | $1.97 | 26d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 11820 SW 80th St #312 Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1495 | $3,000 | $2.01 | 26d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 6517 SW 116th Pl Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $3,500 | $2.61 | 26d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 6435 SW 116th Pl Unit G Miami, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1330 | $3,200 | $2.41 | 26d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $587 · $7,044/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 11 events
-
2025-12-29soldstatus $237,100
-
2025-10-13status Pending
-
2025-09-10$265,000 Active
-
2025-08-26historical
-
2025-05-06price $285,000
-
2025-02-26$299,999 Active
-
2003-10-31soldstatus $125,000
-
2002-01-10soldstatus $95,000
-
1999-06-28soldstatus $70,000
-
1994-10-12soldstatus $64,000
-
1991-05-14soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,112 · $343/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,112 · $343/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,609
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$4,112
- − Insurance
- −$2,122
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,929
- − Management
- −$2,929
- − HOA
- −$7,044
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable loss
- −$5,081
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,219
- After-tax cash flow
- $185/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Kendall
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #190
- US rank
- #3010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kendall, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 52,190
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,778
- Household income
- $88,271
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 932.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 75% Two or more races 45% White 17% Asian 3% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 46% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 51% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 25% English-only · Spanish 70% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -507.27%
- Current HPI
- 419.2614
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.60%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+374.2% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-29 Sold (Public Records) $237,100 Public Records
- 2025-10-13 Pending — MARMLS
- 2025-09-10 Listed $265,000 MARMLS
- 2025-08-26 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-05-06 Price Changed $285,000 MARMLS
- 2025-02-26 Listed $299,999 MARMLS
- 2003-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2002-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
- 1999-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1994-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
- 1991-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.0%/yrLatest (2025): $4,112 · +5.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…