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215 W Fulton Ave
C- Composite 54.7
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$140,000

215 W Fulton Ave · Fulton, MI 48874
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,289 sqft · SingleFamily · 8 Days on market
Built 1900 0.25 ac lot Est $150k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 215 W Fulton St in the peaceful countryside of Pompeii, Michigan. Set on a generous quarter acre lot, this single family property offers the perfect blend of rural tranquility and small town living. With mature surroundings and wide open space, the setting provides privacy, comfort, and room to grow.

Key facts

  • Privacy
  • Room to grow
  • Quarter acre lot

Tags

QUARTER ACRE LOTWIDE OPEN SPACEPRIVACYROOM TO GROW

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; No attached garage
  • Utilities: Electric with circuit breakers; Public sewer; TV antenna present
  • Home design: Traditional style; One and one-half levels; Entry level: 1; City street frontage
  • Construction: Built in 1900; Vinyl and wood siding; Shingle roof; Combination and stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Partial fencing; Back yard; City lot with a few trees; Deck/patio; Neighborhood view; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary on main level)
  • Flooring: Combination flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom located downstairs; Storage space; Enclosed porch
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (13.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $121k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Ithaca Public Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #221 of 540 in MI (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Gratiot County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Gratiot County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $70k; list at $140k implies a 101% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $121,453 (13.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
7.51%
Cash-on-cash
4.36%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$149,524
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
129 E Fulton St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,308 (+2%) 1mo $152,000 $116 88

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.5%
Equity multiple
1.66×
Total profit
$25,857
Equity at exit
$62,950
10-year hold
IRR
13.7%
Equity multiple
3.02×
Total profit
$79,263
Equity at exit
$97,014

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48874

Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,215 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$25 /mo · $295/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$255
Net cashflow
$142

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,034
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $222 -5% $182 +0% $142 +5% $103 +10% $-105
Rent -10% $46 -5% $94 +0% $142 +5% $190 +10% $238
Rate -1.0pp $213 -0.5pp $178 base $142 +0.5pp $106 +1.0pp $69

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    remarks 312-char remark
  7. 2026-06-12
    listed $140,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$295 · $25/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,226 · $102/mo
Expected delta
+$930/yr (+$78/mo · 314.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,574
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$295
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,166
− Management
−$1,166
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable loss
−$668
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$160
After-tax cash flow
$1,868/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ithaca Public Schools
NCES district ID
2619580
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$45,626
Composite
33.6/100
National rank
#5412
State rank
#221 of 540 in MI

Livability — Fulton

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
160

Population outlook (Gratiot County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,991 people
By 2030
38,944 · -2.6%
By 2040
36,694 · -8.2%
By 2050
34,314 · -14.2%
By 2075
27,693 · -30.8%
By 2100
20,809 · -48.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Iranian 21% Slovak 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Gratiot

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.3) · D 33.7% · R 65.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-35.7pp toward R · 2008: 4.4pp · 2024: -31.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.3 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+25.6 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+4.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+101.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $140,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $140,000 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2006-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $69,500 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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