215 W Fulton Ave · Fulton, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +10.4/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 215 W Fulton St in the peaceful countryside of Pompeii, Michigan. Set on a generous quarter acre lot, this single family property offers the perfect blend of rural tranquility and small town living. With mature surroundings and wide open space, the setting provides privacy, comfort, and room to grow.
Key facts
- Privacy
- Room to grow
- Quarter acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; No attached garage
- Utilities: Electric with circuit breakers; Public sewer; TV antenna present
- Home design: Traditional style; One and one-half levels; Entry level: 1; City street frontage
- Construction: Built in 1900; Vinyl and wood siding; Shingle roof; Combination and stone foundation
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Back yard; City lot with a few trees; Deck/patio; Neighborhood view; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary on main level)
- Flooring: Combination flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Primary bedroom located downstairs; Storage space; Enclosed porch
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $121k (13.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $121k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Ithaca Public Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #221 of 540 in MI (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in Gratiot County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Gratiot County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $140k implies a 101% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.36%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $149,524
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 129 E Fulton St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,308 (+2%) | 1mo | $152,000 | $116 | 88 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $25,857
- Equity at exit
- $62,950
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.02×
- Total profit
- $79,263
- Equity at exit
- $97,014
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48874
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,215 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$25 /mo · $295/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $142
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $222 | -5% $182 | +0% $142 | +5% $103 | +10% $-105 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $46 | -5% $94 | +0% $142 | +5% $190 | +10% $238 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $213 | -0.5pp $178 | base $142 | +0.5pp $106 | +1.0pp $69 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 312-char remark
-
2026-06-12$140,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $295 · $25/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,226 · $102/mo
- Expected delta
- +$930/yr (+$78/mo · 314.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,574
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$295
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,166
- − Management
- −$1,166
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$668
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$160
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,868/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ithaca Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2619580
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,626
- Composite
- 33.6/100
- National rank
- #5412
- State rank
- #221 of 540 in MI
Livability — Fulton
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 160
Population outlook (Gratiot County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,991 people
- By 2030
- 38,944 · -2.6%
- By 2040
- 36,694 · -8.2%
- By 2050
- 34,314 · -14.2%
- By 2075
- 27,693 · -30.8%
- By 2100
- 20,809 · -48.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 21% Slovak 11%
Political lean MEDSL · Gratiot
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.3) · D 33.7% · R 65.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.7pp toward R · 2008: 4.4pp · 2024: -31.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.3 2020: R+28.3 2016: R+25.6 2012: R+3.9 2008: D+4.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+101.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $140,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-06-10 Listed $140,000 Greater Lansing AoR
- 2006-05-30 Sold (Public Records) $69,500 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…