515 Redd St · Reidsville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 10.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
HOUSE SOLD AS IS. GREAT INVESTOR HOME, OR SOMEONE LOOKING FOR A BEAUTIFUL OLER BRICK HOME TO RESTORE TO THEIR LIKING. HOUSE CURRENTLY HAS RADIATOR HEAT, WINDOW AC& apos; S. BEAUTIFULE HOME JUST NEEDS SOME TLC TO BRING IT BACK TO LIFE. ALSO, HAVE ANOTHER HOME THAT COULD BE ARRANGED AS PACKAGE DEAL FOR AN INVESTOR.
Key facts
- Built 1939
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $293 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.8% in Reidsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#553 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D-, crime F, amenities F.
- Rockingham County Schools (rural): math 38% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #120 of 178 in NC (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 251 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 344 units permitted in Rockingham County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rockingham County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $175k implies a 338% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.18%
- DSCR
- 1.32
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $309,840
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 710 S Main St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,656 (+3%) | 2mo | $319,900 | $120 | 76 |
| 319 Maple Ave | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 | 2,560 (-1%) | 4mo | $298,000 | $116 | 61 |
| 1301 Richardson Dr | 0.40mi | 4/3.0 | 2,470 (-4%) | 12mo | $337,500 | $137 | 57 |
| 1320 South Park Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,427 (-6%) | 8mo | $249,000 | $103 | 55 |
| 419 Piedmont St | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 | 2,629 (+2%) | 18mo | $240,000 | $91 | 55 |
| 825 Crescent Dr | 0.39mi | 4/3.5 | 2,469 (-4%) | 12mo | $105,000 | $43 | 54 |
| 1323 Pennrose Dr | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 2,346 (-9%) | 16mo | $367,000 | $156 | 47 |
| 1400 Pennrose Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,249 (-13%) | 11mo | $335,000 | $149 | 39 |
| 309 Maple Ave | 0.65mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,793 (+8%) | 12mo | $57,000 | $20 | 33 |
| 1841 Pennrose Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,301 (-11%) | 10mo | $425,000 | $185 | 30 |
| 1401 Courtland Ave | 0.66mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,848 (+10%) | 12mo | $350,000 | $123 | 29 |
| 501 Lindsey St | 0.71mi | 4/3.5 | 2,948 (+14%) | 16mo | $230,000 | $78 | 20 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-9,697
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $15,522
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27320
- Home prices YoY
- -30.8%
- Active inventory
- 251
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$138 /mo · $1,656/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $293
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $392 | -5% $343 | +0% $293 | +5% $244 | +10% $194 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $151 | -5% $222 | +0% $293 | +5% $364 | +10% $436 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $381 | -0.5pp $338 | base $293 | +0.5pp $248 | +1.0pp $202 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 Richardson Dr Reidsville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2272 | $1,800 | $0.79 | 15d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2006-08-28soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,656 · $138/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,656 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$1,656
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,728
- − Management
- −$1,728
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $719
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$173
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,347/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rockingham County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703990
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,914
- Composite
- 32.6/100
- National rank
- #5673
- State rank
- #120 of 178 in NC
Livability — Reidsville
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #553
- US rank
- #20359
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Reidsville, NC
- City population
- 38,610
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,610
Population outlook (Rockingham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 87,103 people
- By 2030
- 83,763 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 76,082 · -12.7%
- By 2050
- 68,106 · -21.8%
- By 2075
- 52,531 · -39.7%
- By 2100
- 39,871 · -54.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 23% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Rockingham
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.7% · R 67.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.9pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+32.0 2016: R+30.0 2012: R+21.3 2008: R+16.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.42%
- Current HPI
- 205.028
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2006-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,656 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…