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29999 Miles Rd
A- Composite 80.84
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,000

29999 Miles Rd · Orange, OH 44022
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1948 0.74 ac lot $137/sqft · 45% below area Est $360k · 45% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A Diamond in the Rough Some TLC is needed and a great opportunity to own in Orange School District at a great price. .

Key facts

  • 0.74 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1948

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage with direct access; 1-car carport
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story entry; 2 total stories; Attached property
  • Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Block foundation; Built (year per assessor)
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Porch; Back yard fencing; Wooded lot; Has a view

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Aluminum framed windows; Unfinished walk-up basement; Fireplace (1)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $199k).
  • Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 1.2% in Orange — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#452 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Orange City (suburban): math 76% / reading 83% proficiency, ranked #32 of 656 in OH (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $199,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.89%
Cap rate
15.59%
Cash-on-cash
33.19%
DSCR
2.48
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$360,000
List price
$199,000
Delta
-44.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5120 Lake Vista Dr 0.27mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,485 (+2%) 2mo $250,000 $168 72
5090 Lake Vista Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,650 (+13%) 12mo $245,000 $148 54
28525 Hidden Valley Dr 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,336 (-8%) 4mo $250,000 $187 48
5225 Harper Rd 0.45mi 3/3.0 1,617 (+11%) 8mo $299,999 $186 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.4%
Equity multiple
2.18×
Total profit
$66,005
Equity at exit
$29,672
10-year hold
IRR
35.9%
Equity multiple
4.31×
Total profit
$184,232
Equity at exit
$17,206

Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44022

Active inventory
125
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,754 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,044
Tax from tax record
$298 /mo · $3,578/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$788
Net cashflow
$1,541

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,803
Max offer price $199,000
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,654 -5% $1,598 +0% $1,541 +5% $1,485 +10% $1,429
Rent -10% $1,245 -5% $1,393 +0% $1,541 +5% $1,690 +10% $1,838
Rate -1.0pp $1,641 -0.5pp $1,592 base $1,541 +0.5pp $1,490 +1.0pp $1,437

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,750
Closing costs
$5,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5090 Lake Vista Dr Solon, OH 3.0 2.0 1650 $2,400 $1.45 2d 1 0.22mi
28649 Jackson Rd Unit 1496119P Chagrin Falls, OH 4.0 3.5 1603 $10,974 $6.85 24d 1 1.22mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 185-char remark
  2. 2026-04-29
    listed $199,000 Active 185-char remark
  3. 2010-08-19
    soldstatus $100,000 118-char remark
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    A Diamond in the Rough Some TLC is needed and a great opportunity to own in Orange School District at a great price. .

  4. 2010-08-19
    soldstatus $100,000
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    A Diamond in the Rough Some TLC is needed and a great opportunity to own in Orange School District at a great price. .

  5. 2010-04-28
    listed $128,000 118-char remark
    Show marketing remark (118 chars)

    A Diamond in the Rough Some TLC is needed and a great opportunity to own in Orange School District at a great price. .

  6. 2009-12-09
    historical
  7. 2009-12-04
    listed $148,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,578 · $298/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,578 · $298/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$45,052
− Mortgage interest
−$11,147
− Property taxes
−$3,578
− Insurance
−$995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,604
− Management
−$3,604
− Depreciation
−$5,789
Taxable income
$16,335
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,920
After-tax cash flow
$14,575/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Orange City
NCES district ID
3910016
Math proficiency
76% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
83% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$114,295
Composite
73.37/100
National rank
#182
State rank
#32 of 656 in OH

Livability — Orange

Score
70/100
State rank
#452
US rank
#7361

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Orange, OH
County
Cuyahoga · 1,045,444 people
Metro
Cleveland, OH
Population (ZIP)
16,559
Household income
$152,213
Rent vs Own
8.5% rent · 91.5% own
Severe rent burden
13.7

Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,244,621 people
By 2030
1,230,093 · -1.2%
By 2040
1,189,108 · -4.5%
By 2050
1,145,706 · -7.9%
By 2075
1,076,557 · -13.5%
By 2100
978,987 · -21.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga

2024 margin
Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -336.08%
Current HPI
205.3055
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+37.8% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $204,000 Public Records
  • 2026-05-05 Pending MLSNOW
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $199,000 MLSNOW
  • 2010-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
  • 2010-08-19 Sold (MLS) $100,000 MLSNOW
  • 2010-04-28 Listed $128,000 MLSNOW
  • 2009-12-09 Listing Removed MLSNOW
  • 2009-12-04 Listed $148,000 MLSNOW

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,578 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…