29999 Miles Rd · Orange, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A Diamond in the Rough Some TLC is needed and a great opportunity to own in Orange School District at a great price. .
Key facts
- 0.74 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1948
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage with direct access; 1-car carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story entry; 2 total stories; Attached property
- Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Block foundation; Built (year per assessor)
- Exterior features: Private yard; Porch; Back yard fencing; Wooded lot; Has a view
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Aluminum framed windows; Unfinished walk-up basement; Fireplace (1)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $199k).
- Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 1.2% in Orange — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#452 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D, health & safety D, amenities F.
- Orange City (suburban): math 76% / reading 83% proficiency, ranked #32 of 656 in OH (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.89% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.19%
- DSCR
- 2.48
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $360,000
- List price
- $199,000
- Delta
- -44.72%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5120 Lake Vista Dr | 0.27mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,485 (+2%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $168 | 72 |
| 5090 Lake Vista Dr | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,650 (+13%) | 12mo | $245,000 | $148 | 54 |
| 28525 Hidden Valley Dr | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,336 (-8%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $187 | 48 |
| 5225 Harper Rd | 0.45mi | 3/3.0 | 1,617 (+11%) | 8mo | $299,999 | $186 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.18×
- Total profit
- $66,005
- Equity at exit
- $29,672
- IRR
- 35.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.31×
- Total profit
- $184,232
- Equity at exit
- $17,206
Cash invested: $55,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44022
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,754 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,044
- Tax from tax record
- −$298 /mo · $3,578/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$788
- Net cashflow
- $1,541
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,654 | -5% $1,598 | +0% $1,541 | +5% $1,485 | +10% $1,429 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,245 | -5% $1,393 | +0% $1,541 | +5% $1,690 | +10% $1,838 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,641 | -0.5pp $1,592 | base $1,541 | +0.5pp $1,490 | +1.0pp $1,437 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,750
- Closing costs
- $5,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5090 Lake Vista Dr Solon, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,400 | $1.45 | 2d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 28649 Jackson Rd Unit 1496119P Chagrin Falls, OH | 4.0 | 3.5 | 1603 | $10,974 | $6.85 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending 185-char remark
-
2026-04-29$199,000 Active 185-char remark
-
2010-08-19soldstatus $100,000 118-char remark
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
A Diamond in the Rough Some TLC is needed and a great opportunity to own in Orange School District at a great price. .
-
2010-08-19soldstatus $100,000
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
A Diamond in the Rough Some TLC is needed and a great opportunity to own in Orange School District at a great price. .
-
2010-04-28$128,000 118-char remark
Show marketing remark (118 chars)
A Diamond in the Rough Some TLC is needed and a great opportunity to own in Orange School District at a great price. .
-
2009-12-09historical
-
2009-12-04$148,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,578 · $298/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,578 · $298/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 6 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,052
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,147
- − Property taxes
- −$3,578
- − Insurance
- −$995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,604
- − Management
- −$3,604
- − Depreciation
- −$5,789
- Taxable income
- $16,335
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,920
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,575/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange City
- NCES district ID
- 3910016
- Math proficiency
- 76% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 83% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $114,295
- Composite
- 73.37/100
- National rank
- #182
- State rank
- #32 of 656 in OH
Livability — Orange
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #452
- US rank
- #7361
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Orange, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga · 1,045,444 people
- Metro
- Cleveland, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,559
- Household income
- $152,213
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13.7
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Scotch-Irish 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -336.08%
- Current HPI
- 205.3055
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+37.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $204,000 Public Records
- 2026-05-05 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-29 Listed $199,000 MLSNOW
- 2010-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2010-08-19 Sold (MLS) $100,000 MLSNOW
- 2010-04-28 Listed $128,000 MLSNOW
- 2009-12-09 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2009-12-04 Listed $148,000 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $3,578 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…