501 Longhorn Trl · Perry, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a quiet neighborhood in Perry. This well-maintained single-story home offers approximately 1,368 square feet of living space with a comfortable and functional layout. The spacious living area flows into the kitchen and dining space, making it perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The home features a bright kitchen, and a split-bedroom layout for added privacy. The primary suite offers a private bath, while the additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, family, or a home office. Outside, enjoy a large 0.35-acre lot with mature trees and plenty of room to relax or entertain. The property also includes an attached two-car garage, central heating and cooling, and a durable asphalt shingle roof. Conveniently located just minutes from shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home offers the perfect balance of peaceful living and everyday convenience.
Key facts
- Split-bedroom layout
- Attached garage
- Large lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $215 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $194k (7.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $194k (7.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.5% in Perry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#149 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Houston County (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #23 of 174 in GA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Langston Road Elementary School (math 58% / reading 53%, grade C, #173 of 1,228 statewide, top 14%, 867 students, 49% FRL); Mossy Creek Middle School (math 57% / reading 61%, grade B, #45 of 470 statewide, top 10%, 741 students, 36% FRL); Perry High School (math 31% / reading 39%, grade F, #84 of 424 statewide, top 20%, 1,478 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 471 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,545 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (336 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Houston County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.39%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $227,088
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 204 Chimney Rock Rd | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,372 (+0%) | 5mo | $210,000 | $153 | 92 |
| 102 Steerwood Trl | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,442 (+5%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $166 | 85 |
| 313 Longhorn Trl | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,332 (-3%) | 4mo | $219,900 | $165 | 84 |
| 419 Longhorn Trl | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,418 (+4%) | 12mo | $235,000 | $166 | 83 |
| 204 Greylock Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (-6%) | 2mo | $227,900 | $178 | 80 |
| 108 Chimney Rock Rd | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,445 (+6%) | 2mo | $253,930 | $176 | 77 |
| 108 Tahoma Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,414 (+3%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $159 | 77 |
| 207 Greylock Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (-6%) | 7mo | $210,000 | $164 | 76 |
| 103 Denali Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,280 (-6%) | 3mo | $226,000 | $177 | 73 |
| 210 Shasta Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,413 (+3%) | 14mo | $215,500 | $153 | 71 |
| 216 Shasta Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,252 (-8%) | 13mo | $225,096 | $180 | 65 |
| 2360 Hwy 41 N | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,444 (+6%) | 6mo | $249,500 | $173 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-20,363
- Equity at exit
- $31,297
- IRR
- -0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-308
- Equity at exit
- $18,148
Cash invested: $58,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31069
- Active inventory
- 471
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,935 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$125 /mo · $1,505/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$406
- Net cashflow
- $215
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $334 | -5% $275 | +0% $215 | +5% $156 | +10% $96 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $62 | -5% $139 | +0% $215 | +5% $292 | +10% $368 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $321 | -0.5pp $269 | base $215 | +0.5pp $161 | +1.0pp $105 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,475
- Closing costs
- $6,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114 Shasta Dr Perry, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 241 Overton Dr Perry, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1763 | $2,400 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 423 Haddenham Ct Perry, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1554 | $1,950 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 423 Haddenham Ct Perry, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1554 | $2,000 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-04-28soldstatus $209,000
-
2026-04-24soldstatus $209,900 Sold 943-char remark
Show marketing remark (943 chars)
Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a quiet neighborhood in Perry. This well-maintained single-story home offers approximately 1,368 square feet of living space with a comfortable and functional layout. The spacious living area flows into the kitchen and dining space, making it perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The home features a bright kitchen, and a split-bedroom layout for added privacy. The primary suite offers a private bath, while the additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, family, or a home office. Outside, enjoy a large 0.35-acre lot with mature trees and plenty of room to relax or entertain. The property also includes an attached two-car garage, central heating and cooling, and a durable asphalt shingle roof. Conveniently located just minutes from shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home offers the perfect balance of peaceful living and everyday convenience.
-
2026-03-20status Under Contract 943-char remark
Show marketing remark (943 chars)
Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a quiet neighborhood in Perry. This well-maintained single-story home offers approximately 1,368 square feet of living space with a comfortable and functional layout. The spacious living area flows into the kitchen and dining space, making it perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The home features a bright kitchen, and a split-bedroom layout for added privacy. The primary suite offers a private bath, while the additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, family, or a home office. Outside, enjoy a large 0.35-acre lot with mature trees and plenty of room to relax or entertain. The property also includes an attached two-car garage, central heating and cooling, and a durable asphalt shingle roof. Conveniently located just minutes from shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home offers the perfect balance of peaceful living and everyday convenience.
-
2026-03-20status Pending
Show marketing remark (943 chars)
Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a quiet neighborhood in Perry. This well-maintained single-story home offers approximately 1,368 square feet of living space with a comfortable and functional layout. The spacious living area flows into the kitchen and dining space, making it perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The home features a bright kitchen, and a split-bedroom layout for added privacy. The primary suite offers a private bath, while the additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, family, or a home office. Outside, enjoy a large 0.35-acre lot with mature trees and plenty of room to relax or entertain. The property also includes an attached two-car garage, central heating and cooling, and a durable asphalt shingle roof. Conveniently located just minutes from shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home offers the perfect balance of peaceful living and everyday convenience.
-
2026-03-17$209,900 Active
-
2026-03-13$209,900 New 943-char remark
Show marketing remark (943 chars)
Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home located in a quiet neighborhood in Perry. This well-maintained single-story home offers approximately 1,368 square feet of living space with a comfortable and functional layout. The spacious living area flows into the kitchen and dining space, making it perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The home features a bright kitchen, and a split-bedroom layout for added privacy. The primary suite offers a private bath, while the additional bedrooms provide flexibility for guests, family, or a home office. Outside, enjoy a large 0.35-acre lot with mature trees and plenty of room to relax or entertain. The property also includes an attached two-car garage, central heating and cooling, and a durable asphalt shingle roof. Conveniently located just minutes from shopping, dining, and major roadways, this home offers the perfect balance of peaceful living and everyday convenience.
-
2021-06-25soldstatus $158,000
-
2016-03-25soldstatus $87,000 162-char remark
Show marketing remark (162 chars)
Sold “As-Is” Nice 3 BR/2 BA open floorplan w/ vaulted ceilings. Trey ceiling in Master BR and Garden Tub w/ backsplash in Master BA. Case # 105-365860
-
2015-12-16$102,600 162-char remark
Show marketing remark (162 chars)
Sold “As-Is” Nice 3 BR/2 BA open floorplan w/ vaulted ceilings. Trey ceiling in Master BR and Garden Tub w/ backsplash in Master BA. Case # 105-365860
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,505 · $125/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,931 · $161/mo
- Expected delta
- +$426/yr (+$35/mo · 28.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,223
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,758
- − Property taxes
- −$1,505
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,858
- − Management
- −$1,858
- − Depreciation
- −$6,106
- Taxable loss
- −$912
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$219
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,801/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston County
- NCES district ID
- 1302880
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,823
- Composite
- 38.68/100
- National rank
- #4144
- State rank
- #23 of 174 in GA
Livability — Perry
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #149
- US rank
- #9757
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Perry, GA
- County
- Houston County · 157,321 people
- City population
- 22,953
- Metro
- Warner Robins, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,953
- Household income
- $74,501
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 666.0
Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 169,502 people
- By 2030
- 178,486 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 194,642 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 207,119 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 231,480 · +36.6%
- By 2100
- 235,034 · +38.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Black 24% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Houston
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.3) · D 44.0% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: -20.2pp · 2024: -11.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.3 2020: R+12.4 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+20.7 2008: R+20.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -162.01%
- Current HPI
- 240.9327
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Warner Robins, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+103.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $209,000 Public Records
- 2026-04-24 Sold (MLS) $209,900 GAMLS
- 2026-03-20 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-03-20 Pending — CGMLS
- 2026-03-17 Listed $209,900 CGMLS
- 2026-03-13 Listed $209,900 GAMLS
- 2021-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $158,000 Public Records
- 2016-03-25 Sold (MLS) $87,000 CGMLS
- 2015-12-16 Listed $102,600 CGMLS
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,505 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…