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51 Henderson St
B Composite 70.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

51 Henderson St · Pontiac, MI 48341
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,309 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 63 Days on market
Built 1910 5,227 sqft lot $92/sqft · 13% below area Est $137k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* Back on market due to buyer financing * Welcome to this spacious, colonial home with the lot next door at 55 Henderson being included in the sale. This home is waiting for a handy first time homebuyer or an experienced investor to put the finishing touches. Along with being located close to major freeways and downtown, this home is just what you need. Schedule your showing today.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1910

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $455 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $113k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 6.7% in Pontiac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
  • Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $120k implies a 216% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $112,800 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
10.85%
Cash-on-cash
16.27%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$137,312
List price
$120,000
Delta
-12.61%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
143 Thorpe St 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,247 (-5%) 2mo $174,900 $140 77
75 Green St 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,218 (-7%) 2mo $113,000 $93 74
105 Augusta Ave 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,231 (-6%) 3mo $114,000 $93 73
27 Crawford St 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,302 (-0%) 4mo $94,000 $72 73
69 Lincoln St 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,211 (-8%) 7mo $175,000 $145 70
63 Mark Ave 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,444 (+10%) 1mo $61,000 $42 68
176 Chippewa Rd 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,288 (-2%) 1mo $199,900 $155 62
167 Mark Ave 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,415 (+8%) 4mo $162,000 $114 62
140 W Howard St 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,288 (-2%) 5mo $105,000 $82 57
175 S Johnson St 0.47mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,313 (+0%) 13mo $155,000 $118 54
24 Utica Rd 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,370 (+5%) 10mo $90,500 $66 53
160 Chippewa Rd 0.72mi 3/2.5 1,500 (+15%) 0mo $250,000 $167 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$9,540
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
2.36×
Total profit
$45,567
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48341

Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,532 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $907/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$322
Net cashflow
$455

Break-even live

Break-even rent $956
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
23 Henry Clay Ave Unit 1 Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,450 $1.21 17d 1 0.32mi
38 Spokane Dr Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 43d 1 0.53mi
60 Waldo St Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 4d 1 0.55mi
74 E Iroquois Rd Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1661 $1,695 $1.02 24d 1 0.59mi
99 Chippewa Rd Pontiac, MI 4.0 1.0 1315 $1,750 $1.33 24d 1 0.66mi
223 Tucker St Pontiac, MI 2.0 2.5 1295 $1,700 $1.31 17d 1 0.73mi
5 Wenonah Dr Pontiac, MI 4.0 1.5 1749 $2,000 $1.14 43d 1 0.83mi
27 Sylvan Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.5 1370 $1,175 $0.86 12d 1 1.02mi
949 Boston Ave Waterford Twp, MI 2.0 1.0 1320 $1,150 $0.87 43d 1 1.05mi
949 Boston Ave Unit 1 Waterford Township, MI 2.0 1.0 1220 $1,150 $0.94 21d 1 1.05mi
4000 Winston Dr Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.5 1032 $515 $0.50 2d 1 1.11mi
49 Oakhill St Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,575 $1.31 24d 1 1.11mi
995 Lakeview St Waterford, MI 2.0 1.5 884 $1,375 $1.56 24d 1 1.18mi
65 Whitfield St Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 924 $1,175 $1.27 43d 1 1.23mi
249 W Wilson Ave Unit 1 Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,540 $1.71 43d 1 1.34mi
91 Waterly Ave Waterford, MI 3.0 1.5 1550 $1,660 $1.07 1d 1 1.39mi
59 N Lynn Ave Waterford, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $2,100 $1.62 2d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $120,000 Pending 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active Under Contract 61 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $120,000 Active Under Contract 60 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active Under Contract 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $120,000 Active Under Contract 56 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active Under Contract 55 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active Under Contract 54 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active Under Contract 53 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active Under Contract 52 DOM
  10. 2026-04-28
    status Active 385-char remark
    Show marketing remark (385 chars)

    * Back on market due to buyer financing * Welcome to this spacious, colonial home with the lot next door at 55 Henderson being included in the sale. This home is waiting for a handy first time homebuyer or an experienced investor to put the finishing touches. Along with being located close to major freeways and downtown, this home is just what you need. Schedule your showing today.

  11. 2026-04-28
    status Active 385-char remark
    Show marketing remark (385 chars)

    * Back on market due to buyer financing * Welcome to this spacious, colonial home with the lot next door at 55 Henderson being included in the sale. This home is waiting for a handy first time homebuyer or an experienced investor to put the finishing touches. Along with being located close to major freeways and downtown, this home is just what you need. Schedule your showing today.

  12. 2026-04-24
    historical Accepting Backup Offers 385-char remark
    Show marketing remark (385 chars)

    * Back on market due to buyer financing * Welcome to this spacious, colonial home with the lot next door at 55 Henderson being included in the sale. This home is waiting for a handy first time homebuyer or an experienced investor to put the finishing touches. Along with being located close to major freeways and downtown, this home is just what you need. Schedule your showing today.

  13. 2026-04-24
    historical Active Under Contract 385-char remark
    Show marketing remark (385 chars)

    * Back on market due to buyer financing * Welcome to this spacious, colonial home with the lot next door at 55 Henderson being included in the sale. This home is waiting for a handy first time homebuyer or an experienced investor to put the finishing touches. Along with being located close to major freeways and downtown, this home is just what you need. Schedule your showing today.

  14. 2026-04-10
    listed $120,000 Active 385-char remark
    Show marketing remark (385 chars)

    * Back on market due to buyer financing * Welcome to this spacious, colonial home with the lot next door at 55 Henderson being included in the sale. This home is waiting for a handy first time homebuyer or an experienced investor to put the finishing touches. Along with being located close to major freeways and downtown, this home is just what you need. Schedule your showing today.

  15. 2026-04-10
    listed $120,000 Active 385-char remark
    Show marketing remark (385 chars)

    * Back on market due to buyer financing * Welcome to this spacious, colonial home with the lot next door at 55 Henderson being included in the sale. This home is waiting for a handy first time homebuyer or an experienced investor to put the finishing touches. Along with being located close to major freeways and downtown, this home is just what you need. Schedule your showing today.

  16. 2026-04-07
    historical $120,000 385-char remark
    Show marketing remark (385 chars)

    * Back on market due to buyer financing * Welcome to this spacious, colonial home with the lot next door at 55 Henderson being included in the sale. This home is waiting for a handy first time homebuyer or an experienced investor to put the finishing touches. Along with being located close to major freeways and downtown, this home is just what you need. Schedule your showing today.

  17. 2017-12-12
    soldstatus $38,000 Sold
  18. 2017-12-12
    soldstatus $38,000 Closed
  19. 2017-11-27
    status Pending
  20. 2017-11-27
    status Pending
  21. 2017-11-13
    listed $39,900 Active
  22. 2017-11-13
    listed $39,900 Active
  23. 2015-04-13
    soldstatus $25,000
  24. 1998-12-30
    soldstatus $25,400
  25. 1989-11-20
    soldstatus $13,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$907 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,377 · $115/mo
Expected delta
+$471/yr (+$39/mo · 51.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,384
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$907
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,471
− Management
−$1,471
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$3,723
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$894
After-tax cash flow
$4,572/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pontiac City School District
NCES district ID
2628740
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$33,888
Composite
10.12/100
National rank
#9802
State rank
#514 of 540 in MI

Livability — Pontiac

Score
64/100
State rank
#499
US rank
#14703

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pontiac, MI
County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
City population
44,593
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
18,924
Household income
$51,390
Rent vs Own
46.6% rent · 53.4% own
Severe rent burden
833.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Swiss 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -204.11%
Current HPI
257.8941
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+823.1% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-24 Contingent MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Contingent REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $120,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Coming Soon $120,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-12-12 Sold (MLS) $38,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-12-12 Sold (MLS) $38,000 REALCOMP
  • 2017-11-27 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-11-27 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2017-11-13 Listed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2017-11-13 Listed $39,900 REALCOMP
  • 2015-04-13 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 1998-12-30 Sold (Public Records) $25,400 Public Records
  • 1989-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $907 · -9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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