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3419 Bales Ave
A Composite 86.54
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$70,000

3419 Bales Ave · Kansas City, MO 64128
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,068 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1922 4,636 sqft lot $66/sqft · 25% below area Est $93k · 25% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

COMING SOON 1.5 STORY. 10min from the Country Club Plaza, 10min from downtown. Great fixer or investment property.

Key facts

  • 4,636 sq ft lot
  • Built 1922
  • Listed 7 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount reported

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; Other parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; 1.5 story layout; Residential property
  • Construction: Frame and stone-frame construction with wood siding; Composition roof; Approximately 101+ years old
  • Exterior features: City lot; Not in a flood plain; Public road maintenance

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $604 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Cap rate 16.7% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
  • Kansas City 33 (urban): math 12% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #308 of 324 in MO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 86 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $70,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.89%
Cap rate
16.65%
Cash-on-cash
37.00%
DSCR
2.65
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$93,498
List price
$70,000
Delta
-25.13%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3304 Askew Ave 0.16mi 3/1.0 1,066 (-0%) 3mo $45,000 $42 90
3536 College Ave 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,086 (+2%) 6mo $96,000 $88 82
3422 Askew Ave 0.03mi 3/1.0 1,226 (+15%) 4mo $114,900 $94 71
4015 E Linwood Blvd 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,036 (-3%) 4mo $79,000 $76 67
3711 Bellefontaine Ave 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,007 (-6%) 5mo $120,000 $119 66
3838 S Benton Ave 0.68mi 3/1.0 1,066 (-0%) 3mo $90,000 $84 66
3316 Cypress Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,100 (+3%) 3mo $90,000 $82 64
3306 Spruce Ave 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,156 (+8%) 5mo $79,900 $69 57
3025 Walrond Ave 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,172 (+10%) 4mo $216,500 $185 52
3335 Park Ave 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,115 (+4%) 4mo $115,000 $103 49
3031 Askew Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 928 (-13%) 3mo $40,000 $43 48
3920 S Benton Ave 0.74mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,160 (+9%) 5mo $65,000 $56 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.8%
Equity multiple
5.02×
Total profit
$78,832
Equity at exit
$63,062
10-year hold
IRR
48.0%
Equity multiple
11.55×
Total profit
$206,698
Equity at exit
$135,995

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64128

Home prices YoY
21.6%
Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,320 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $506/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$604

Break-even live

Break-even rent $555
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3305 Askew Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1428 $1,450 $1.02 24d 1 0.21mi
3310 College Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 874 $995 $1.14 44d 1 0.21mi
3524 Bellefontaine Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1228 $1,350 $1.10 44d 1 0.28mi
3346 Agnes Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,200 $0.86 8d 1 0.33mi
3330 Agnes Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,410 $1.41 44d 1 0.34mi
3304 Agnes Ave Unit Downstairs Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,095 $0.95 44d 1 0.36mi
3332 Norton Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1272 $1,350 $1.06 44d 1 0.39mi
3713 Cleveland Ave Kansas City, MO 4.0 1.0 1256 $1,250 $1.00 16d 1 0.40mi
3739 Bales Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,575 $1.12 24d 1 0.41mi
3630 Agnes Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1448 $1,500 $1.04 11d 1 0.41mi
3437 Jackson Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 700 $1,150 $1.64 16d 1 0.46mi
3818 Indiana Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1223 $1,147 $0.94 44d 1 0.48mi
3817 S Benton Ave Kansas City, MO 4.0 1.5 1380 $1,650 $1.20 24d 1 0.58mi
3840 Bellefontaine Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,500 $1.00 16d 1 0.59mi
3220 E 30th St Unit 1A Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 1214 $950 $0.78 44d 1 0.61mi
3414 Elmwood Ave Kansas City, MO 4.0 1.0 1109 $1,300 $1.17 16d 1 0.68mi
3710 Wabash Ave Unit 2S Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 875 $850 $0.97 24d 1 0.68mi
4005 Bales Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $1,050 $1.33 44d 1 0.69mi
3736 Cypress Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 8d 1 0.73mi
3233 Park Ave Unit 2 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 950 $1,000 $1.05 24d 1 0.75mi
3233 Park Ave Unit 1 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 950 $1,075 $1.13 44d 1 0.75mi
2637 E 29th St Unit 3 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 954 $1,050 $1.10 44d 1 0.78mi
4028 Myrtle Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,490 $1.35 44d 1 0.81mi
3841 Olive St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 792 $985 $1.24 15d 1 0.83mi
3902 Wabash Ave Kansas City, MO 4.0 2.0 1400 $1,850 $1.32 44d 1 0.84mi
3032 Elmwood Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1027 $1,275 $1.24 8d 1 0.84mi
4116 Bellefontaine Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1234 $1,000 $0.81 24d 1 0.88mi
3118 Chelsea Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 864 $980 $1.13 44d 1 0.88mi
2120 Linwood Blvd Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1326 $1,400 $1.06 44d 1 0.89mi
2002 E 35th St Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1426 $1,295 $0.91 8d 1 0.90mi
4144 College Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.0 1108 $1,095 $0.99 24d 1 0.91mi
4216 Cleveland Ave Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 780 $1,125 $1.44 16d 1 0.98mi
2701 Benton Blvd Unit 2705-3 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 8d 1 1.00mi
2701 Benton Blvd Unit 2703-2 Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 2d 1 1.00mi
4902 E 39th St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 820 $1,300 $1.59 16d 1 1.00mi
3009 Garfield Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1334 $1,425 $1.07 44d 1 1.01mi
4014 Park Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1271 $1,273 $1.00 44d 1 1.03mi
4107 Olive St Kansas City, MO 3.0 1.5 1271 $1,578 $1.24 8d 1 1.04mi
2305 E 41st St Kansas City, MO 2.0 1.0 750 $1,000 $1.33 8d 1 1.07mi
4309 College Ave Kansas City, MO 3.0 2.0 1040 $1,550 $1.49 16d 1 1.07mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    listed $70,000 Active 114-char remark
  2. 2026-05-12
    historical $70,000 114-char remark
  3. 2009-12-23
    soldstatus
  4. 1996-09-05
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$506 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$679 · $57/mo
Expected delta
+$173/yr (+$14/mo · 34.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,839
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$506
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,267
− Management
−$1,267
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$6,491
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,558
After-tax cash flow
$5,694/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kansas City 33
NCES district ID
2916400
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$35,227
Composite
14.8/100
National rank
#9387
State rank
#308 of 324 in MO

Livability — Kansas City

Score
78/100
State rank
#28
US rank
#2671

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kansas City, MO
County
Jackson County · 687,798 people
City population
439,467
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
11,912
Household income
$36,088
Rent vs Own
52.5% rent · 47.5% own
Severe rent burden
946.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
719,589 people
By 2030
731,456 · +1.6%
By 2040
746,689 · +3.8%
By 2050
749,289 · +4.1%
By 2075
736,227 · +2.3%
By 2100
668,210 · -7.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (79%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 8% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Swedish 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 73.41%
Current HPI
412.6862
Rent YoY
▲ 4.65%
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $70,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Coming Soon $70,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-12-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1996-09-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $506 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…