CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
807 S Hardy Ave Duplex
B- Composite 67.18
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.7/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$190,000

807 S Hardy Ave · Independence, MO 64053
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,472 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 138 Days on market
Built 1915 5,016 sqft lot $129/sqft · 15% below area Est $205k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Investors, don’t miss this turn-key opportunity at 807 S Hardy in Independence, MO—a FULLY REMODELED duplex that is fully occupied. Each unit features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, new plank flooring, gorgeous cermanic tile in kitchens and bathrooms. Each unit is approximately 700 sq ft. Both have modern mini-split HVAC systems for efficient comfort. The property features a nice-sized front porch for one unit and a spacious backyard for the other, all in a desirable Independence neighborhood. This beautifully renovated duplex is now low-maintenance and ideal for investors seeking strong rental demand! Agents - please contact listing agent direct to schedule a showing!

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • New plank flooring
  • 5,016 sq ft lot

Tags

FULLY REMODELED DUPLEXNEW PLANK FLOORINGGORGEOUS CERAMIC TILEMODERN MINI-SPLIT HVAC SYSTEMSNICE-SIZED FRONT PORCHSPACIOUS BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $324 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $162/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (1.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $167k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 5.0% in Independence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 82/100 on livability (#10 in MO, #1,296 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, crime F.
  • Independence 30 (suburban): math 26% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #252 of 324 in MO (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,867/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 330% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 138 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $167,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 138 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.34%
Cash-on-cash
7.30%
DSCR
1.32
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$204,522
List price
$190,000
Delta
-7.10%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10501 E 8th St 0.14mi 4/2.0 1,516 (+3%) 15mo $190,000 $125 76

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.6%
Equity multiple
3.33×
Total profit
$124,020
Equity at exit
$171,167
10-year hold
IRR
25.7%
Equity multiple
7.56×
Total profit
$348,868
Equity at exit
$369,128

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 64053

Home prices YoY
17.9%
Active inventory
46
Price-to-rent
17.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,867 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $909/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$392
Net cashflow
$324

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,457
Max offer price $190,000
Occupancy floor 78%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,867

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10104 E Golf Ave Independence, MO 3.0 2.0 1205 $1,395 $1.16 15d 1 0.22mi
1109 S Appleton Ave Independence, MO 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,195 $1.00 16d 1 0.34mi
1416 S Hardy Ave Independence, MO 5.0 2.0 1328 $1,625 $1.22 44d 1 0.51mi
9528 E Winner Rd Independence, MO 1.0–3.0 1.0 730 $1,099 $1.51 44d 1 0.58mi
554 S Arlington Ave Independence, MO 4.0 1.0 1161 $1,395 $1.20 15d 1 0.59mi
1425 S Northern Blvd Independence, MO 3.0 1.5 1275 $1,200 $0.94 8d 1 0.62mi
600 S Glenwood Ave Unit G-2 Independence, MO 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,650 $1.03 21d 1 0.66mi
600 S Glenwood Ave Unit G Independence, MO 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,675 $1.05 44d 1 0.66mi
576 S Oxford Ave Independence, MO 3.0 2.0 1098 $1,400 $1.28 44d 1 0.72mi
10622 E Scarritt Ave Sugar Creek, MO 4.0 1.0 1560 $1,445 $0.93 44d 1 0.86mi
11323 E Thompson St Sugar Creek, MO 3.0 2.5 1794 $1,800 $1.00 12d 1 0.86mi
100 S Oxford Ave Independence, MO 3.0 2.0 1141 $1,425 $1.25 44d 1 0.97mi
11500 E Anderson St Independence, MO 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,599 $1.33 17d 1 0.97mi
182 Novak St Sugar Creek, MO 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,800 $1.33 17d 1 1.04mi
10817 E 19th Ter S Independence, MO 3.0 1.0 1428 $1,801 $1.26 16d 1 1.11mi
10323 E 20th St S Independence, MO 3.0 1.0 936 $1,400 $1.50 44d 1 1.12mi
2110 S Sterling Ave Independence, MO 3.0 2.0 1722 $1,849 $1.07 16d 1 1.28mi
11709 E Winner Rd Independence, MO 3.0 1.5 1300 $1,195 $0.92 16d 1 1.33mi
2256 S Sterling Ave Independence, MO 3.0 1.5 1284 $1,399 $1.09 16d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $190,000 Active 138 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $190,000 Active 137 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $190,000 Active 136 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $190,000 Active 135 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $190,000 Active 133 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $190,000 Active 129 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $190,000 Active 128 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $190,000 Active 127 DOM
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $190,000 Active 124 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $190,000 Active 123 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $190,000 Active 122 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $190,000 Active 121 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $190,000 Active 120 DOM
  14. 2026-03-28
    price $190,000 685-char remark
    Show marketing remark (685 chars)

    Investors, don’t miss this turn-key opportunity at 807 S Hardy in Independence, MO—a FULLY REMODELED duplex that is fully occupied. Each unit features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, new plank flooring, gorgeous cermanic tile in kitchens and bathrooms. Each unit is approximately 700 sq ft. Both have modern mini-split HVAC systems for efficient comfort. The property features a nice-sized front porch for one unit and a spacious backyard for the other, all in a desirable Independence neighborhood. This beautifully renovated duplex is now low-maintenance and ideal for investors seeking strong rental demand! Agents - please contact listing agent direct to schedule a showing!

  15. 2026-01-31
    listed $195,000 Active 685-char remark
    Show marketing remark (685 chars)

    Investors, don’t miss this turn-key opportunity at 807 S Hardy in Independence, MO—a FULLY REMODELED duplex that is fully occupied. Each unit features 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, new plank flooring, gorgeous cermanic tile in kitchens and bathrooms. Each unit is approximately 700 sq ft. Both have modern mini-split HVAC systems for efficient comfort. The property features a nice-sized front porch for one unit and a spacious backyard for the other, all in a desirable Independence neighborhood. This beautifully renovated duplex is now low-maintenance and ideal for investors seeking strong rental demand! Agents - please contact listing agent direct to schedule a showing!

  16. 2023-07-21
    soldstatus Closed 87-char remark
    Show marketing remark (87 chars)

    Up/down duplex, 2 bed, 1 ba each unit. Needs full rehab. Motivated sellers, make offer.

  17. 2023-07-06
    status Pending 87-char remark
    Show marketing remark (87 chars)

    Up/down duplex, 2 bed, 1 ba each unit. Needs full rehab. Motivated sellers, make offer.

  18. 2023-07-06
    status Active 87-char remark
    Show marketing remark (87 chars)

    Up/down duplex, 2 bed, 1 ba each unit. Needs full rehab. Motivated sellers, make offer.

  19. 2023-06-28
    historical 87-char remark
    Show marketing remark (87 chars)

    Up/down duplex, 2 bed, 1 ba each unit. Needs full rehab. Motivated sellers, make offer.

  20. 2023-06-12
    status Active 87-char remark
    Show marketing remark (87 chars)

    Up/down duplex, 2 bed, 1 ba each unit. Needs full rehab. Motivated sellers, make offer.

  21. 2023-06-12
    price $80,000 87-char remark
    Show marketing remark (87 chars)

    Up/down duplex, 2 bed, 1 ba each unit. Needs full rehab. Motivated sellers, make offer.

  22. 2023-06-03
    status Pending 87-char remark
    Show marketing remark (87 chars)

    Up/down duplex, 2 bed, 1 ba each unit. Needs full rehab. Motivated sellers, make offer.

  23. 2023-05-23
    status Active 87-char remark
    Show marketing remark (87 chars)

    Up/down duplex, 2 bed, 1 ba each unit. Needs full rehab. Motivated sellers, make offer.

  24. 2023-05-21
    status Pending 87-char remark
    Show marketing remark (87 chars)

    Up/down duplex, 2 bed, 1 ba each unit. Needs full rehab. Motivated sellers, make offer.

  25. 2023-05-15
    listed $124,000 Active 87-char remark
    Show marketing remark (87 chars)

    Up/down duplex, 2 bed, 1 ba each unit. Needs full rehab. Motivated sellers, make offer.

  26. 2001-11-30
    soldstatus
  27. 2001-11-28
    soldstatus
  28. 2001-08-10
    listed $59,000
  29. 1997-06-16
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$909 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,843 · $154/mo
Expected delta
+$934/yr (+$78/mo · 102.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,404
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$909
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,792
− Management
−$1,792
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable income
$790
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$190
After-tax cash flow
$3,694/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Independence 30
NCES district ID
2915480
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$41,843
Composite
27.04/100
National rank
#7054
State rank
#252 of 324 in MO

Livability — Independence

Score
82/100
State rank
#10
US rank
#1296

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Independence, MO
County
Jackson County · 687,798 people
City population
117,675
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
Population (ZIP)
6,775
Household income
$47,285
Rent vs Own
47.3% rent · 52.7% own
Severe rent burden
330.0

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
719,589 people
By 2030
731,456 · +1.6%
By 2040
746,689 · +3.8%
By 2050
749,289 · +4.1%
By 2075
736,227 · +2.3%
By 2100
668,210 · -7.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 14% Black 9% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Common ancestry
Italian 12% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, China
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 21%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 52.69%
Current HPI
347.9512
Rent YoY
Metro
Kansas City, MO-KS
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+222.0% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-28 Price Changed $190,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-31 Listed $195,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-21 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-06 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-06 Relisted Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-28 Listing Removed Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-12 Relisted Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-12 Price Changed $80,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-03 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-23 Relisted Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-21 Pending Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-15 Listed $124,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-11-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2001-11-28 Sold (MLS) Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-08-10 Listed $59,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1997-06-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2015): $909 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…