1550 Rory Ln #184 · Simi Valley, CA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.47%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +4.9/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
1550 Rory Lane #184 (Gunner Lane), East Simi ValleyFamily friendly park - Enjoy space, privacy, and a peaceful backdrop in this 24' x 64' three-bedroom home, manufactured in 1974, located in desirable East Simi Valley, backing up to a private park within Simi Country Mobile Home Estates. Space rent to a new buyer $1850 and buyers sign a three-year lease at that rate. The floor plan offers comfortable separation of living spaces, featuring a bright living room, a formal dining area, and a spacious kitchen with a central breakfast islanda'perfect for everyday living and casual entertaining. A private indoor laundry/mud room adds practicality and extra storage. The home is in original conditi
Key facts
- Spacious kitchen
- Bright living room
- Formal dining area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Manager approval required for residency; Pets allowed with restrictions (size limit, breed restrictions, number limit; dogs OK)
- Financial info: Monthly land lease: $1,850 (park-provided amount)
- HOA & community: Located in Simi Country Mobile Home Estates (park); Community features include park and street lighting; Land lease applies (park-managed)
Exterior
- Parking: Covered parking; Tandem covered parking; Driveway parking; Attached carport; Two carport spaces (total 2 parking spaces)
- Security: Parking accessibility features
- Utilities: Public/district water; Public sewer; Sewer connected; Electricity available; Cable available; Underground utilities; Water available
- Home design: Mobile home (remains on site); Double-wide body type; Faces west; Single-story
- Construction: Frame and metal construction; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Year built information from public records
- Exterior features: Covered patio/deck; Awning; No pool; One shed; Lot is level/flat; Sprinklers not present; Park nearby; Street lighting in community
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Range/stove hood; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Formica counters
- Bedrooms: Single-level layout (one story)
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bath with double sinks; Soaking tub and separate shower features; Bathtub
- Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Forced air heating; Central furnace
- Interior features: Ceiling fan; Formica counters; Double-pane windows; Drapes/curtains; Deck entry
- Laundry & utility: Washer included; Dryer included; Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Indoor laundry room (individual room)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $179k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.5% vs local median 3.0% in Simi Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#456 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute D-, cost of living F.
- Simi Valley Unified (suburban): math 36% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #170 of 517 in CA (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 150 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,759 units permitted in Ventura County in 2024 (1,196 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($125k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ventura County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.06%
- DSCR
- 2.78
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $175,000
- List price
- $185,000
- Delta
- 5.71%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1550 Rory Ln #266 | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+2%) | 13mo | $275,000 | $176 | 86 |
| 1550 Rory Ln #215 | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-12%) | 0mo | $135,000 | $100 | 75 |
| 1550 Rory #197 | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (-2%) | 22mo | $260,000 | $173 | 67 |
| 1550 Rory Ln #70 | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-12%) | 11mo | $219,700 | $163 | 65 |
| 1550 Rory Ln #101 | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-12%) | 15mo | $224,000 | $167 | 64 |
| 6480 Katherine Rd #79 | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-6%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $118 | 60 |
| 6480 Katherine St #109 | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-6%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $125 | 58 |
| 1550 Rory Ln #76 | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-12%) | 20mo | $225,000 | $167 | 58 |
| 1550 Rory Ln #68 | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-12%) | 23mo | $250,000 | $186 | 55 |
| 6480 Katherine Rd #26 | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (-12%) | 12mo | $284,999 | $212 | 46 |
| 6480 Katherine Rd #135 | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,440 (-6%) | 13mo | $183,000 | $127 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $88,911
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 46.5%
- Equity multiple
- 5.96×
- Total profit
- $256,806
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93063
- Rents YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 150
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,807 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$231 /mo · $2,775/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$800
- Net cashflow
- $1,729
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,857 | -5% $1,793 | +0% $1,729 | +5% $1,665 | +10% $1,601 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,429 | -5% $1,579 | +0% $1,729 | +5% $1,880 | +10% $2,030 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,822 | -0.5pp $1,776 | base $1,729 | +0.5pp $1,681 | +1.0pp $1,633 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5960 Juniper Ct Simi Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1602 | $3,700 | $2.31 | 15d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 1930 Yosemite Ave Simi Valley, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $2,915 | $3.43 | 2d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1830 Rory Ln Simi Valley, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1437 | $3,288 | $2.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1700 Yosemite Ave Simi Valley, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $2,915 | $3.43 | 2d | 3 | 0.27mi |
| 1948 Rory Ln #4 Simi Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1583 | $3,900 | $2.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 5676 Bloomfield St Simi Valley, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $8,500 | $6.16 | 0d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 5664 Bloomfield St Simi Valley, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $9,998 | $5.55 | 0d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 911 Katherine Rd Simi Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1501 | $4,350 | $2.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2163 Timberlane Ave Simi Valley, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1826 | $4,300 | $2.35 | 22d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1768 Grover Cir Simi Valley, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1982 | $3,995 | $2.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 990 Alta Vista Rd Simi Valley, CA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1880 | $5,200 | $2.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 5312 Diane St Simi Valley, CA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1812 | $4,500 | $2.48 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 6769 Cowboy St Simi Valley, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1659 | $4,300 | $2.59 | 24d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 6769 Cowboy St Simi Valley, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1659 | $4,300 | $2.59 | 4d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 5727 Cochran St Simi Valley, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1976 | $4,200 | $2.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 5505 Cochran St Simi Valley, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 838 | $3,469 | $4.14 | 3d | 19 | 1.07mi |
| 5377 Cochran St Simi Valley, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 881 | $3,395 | $3.85 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 5065 Hidden Park Ct Simi Valley, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1004 | $3,276 | $3.26 | 3d | 16 | 1.17mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $185,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $185,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$185,000 Active 1628-char remark
-
2026-01-31historical
-
2026-01-09$185,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 47% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥101°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $45,688
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,775
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,655
- − Management
- −$3,655
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $18,933
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,544
- After-tax cash flow
- $16,208/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This manufactured home requires moderate repairs and updates to its kitchen and bathrooms, exterior siding, and interior walls to improve its condition and value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — outdated and worn
- Moderate exterior siding — moderate wear
Value-add opportunities
- Both update kitchen cabinets and fixtures — modernizes and increases appeal
- Both paint interior walls — enhances appearance and value
- Both repair and replace exterior siding — improves curb appeal and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · dated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · outdated and worn | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| exterior siding · moderate wear | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $9,000–45,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both update kitchen cabinets and fixtures — modernizes and increases appeal ↑
- Both paint interior walls — enhances appearance and value ↑
- Both repair and replace exterior siding — improves curb appeal and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Simi Valley Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0636840
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $88,818
- Composite
- 40.23/100
- National rank
- #3773
- State rank
- #170 of 517 in CA
Livability — Simi Valley
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #456
- US rank
- #15494
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Simi Valley, CA
- County
- Ventura County · 829,955 people
- City population
- 128,600
- Metro
- Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,066
- Household income
- $125,098
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1322.0
Population outlook (Ventura County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 895,754 people
- By 2030
- 912,134 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 931,454 · +4.0%
- By 2050
- 934,609 · +4.3%
- By 2075
- 924,899 · +3.3%
- By 2100
- 864,712 · -3.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 15% Asian 11% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 4% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ventura
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.1) · D 56.1% · R 41.0% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +2.8pp toward D · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: 15.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.1 2020: D+21.1 2016: D+16.8 2012: D+5.3 2008: D+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -910.70%
- Current HPI
- 297.7444
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.22%
- Metro
- Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $185,000 CRMLS
- 2026-01-31 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2026-01-09 Listed $185,000 CRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…