CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1550 Rory Ln #184
B- Composite 68.16
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.9/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

1550 Rory Ln #184 · Simi Valley, CA 93063
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · Manufactured · 37 Days on market
Built 1974 Fair condition 3,536 sqft lot $120/sqft · 6% above area Est $175k · 6% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

1550 Rory Lane #184 (Gunner Lane), East Simi ValleyFamily friendly park - Enjoy space, privacy, and a peaceful backdrop in this 24' x 64' three-bedroom home, manufactured in 1974, located in desirable East Simi Valley, backing up to a private park within Simi Country Mobile Home Estates. Space rent to a new buyer $1850 and buyers sign a three-year lease at that rate. The floor plan offers comfortable separation of living spaces, featuring a bright living room, a formal dining area, and a spacious kitchen with a central breakfast islanda'perfect for everyday living and casual entertaining. A private indoor laundry/mud room adds practicality and extra storage. The home is in original conditi

Key facts

  • Spacious kitchen
  • Bright living room
  • Formal dining area

Tags

PRIVATE PARKBRIGHT LIVING ROOMFORMAL DINING AREASPACIOUS KITCHENCENTRAL BREAKFAST ISLANDPRIVATE INDOOR LAUNDRY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Manager approval required for residency; Pets allowed with restrictions (size limit, breed restrictions, number limit; dogs OK)
  • Financial info: Monthly land lease: $1,850 (park-provided amount)
  • HOA & community: Located in Simi Country Mobile Home Estates (park); Community features include park and street lighting; Land lease applies (park-managed)

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking; Tandem covered parking; Driveway parking; Attached carport; Two carport spaces (total 2 parking spaces)
  • Security: Parking accessibility features
  • Utilities: Public/district water; Public sewer; Sewer connected; Electricity available; Cable available; Underground utilities; Water available
  • Home design: Mobile home (remains on site); Double-wide body type; Faces west; Single-story
  • Construction: Frame and metal construction; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Year built information from public records
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/deck; Awning; No pool; One shed; Lot is level/flat; Sprinklers not present; Park nearby; Street lighting in community

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Range/stove hood; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Formica counters
  • Bedrooms: Single-level layout (one story)
  • Flooring: Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bath with double sinks; Soaking tub and separate shower features; Bathtub
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Forced air heating; Central furnace
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan; Formica counters; Double-pane windows; Drapes/curtains; Deck entry
  • Laundry & utility: Washer included; Dryer included; Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Indoor laundry room (individual room)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $185k).
  • Recommended offer: $179k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.5% vs local median 3.0% in Simi Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#456 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute D-, cost of living F.
  • Simi Valley Unified (suburban): math 36% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #170 of 517 in CA (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 150 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,759 units permitted in Ventura County in 2024 (1,196 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($125k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ventura County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $179,450 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.06%
Cap rate
17.51%
Cash-on-cash
40.06%
DSCR
2.78
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$175,000
List price
$185,000
Delta
5.71%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1550 Rory Ln #266 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,560 (+2%) 13mo $275,000 $176 86
1550 Rory Ln #215 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-12%) 0mo $135,000 $100 75
1550 Rory #197 0.12mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,500 (-2%) 22mo $260,000 $173 67
1550 Rory Ln #70 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-12%) 11mo $219,700 $163 65
1550 Rory Ln #101 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-12%) 15mo $224,000 $167 64
6480 Katherine Rd #79 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-6%) 3mo $170,000 $118 60
6480 Katherine St #109 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,440 (-6%) 6mo $180,000 $125 58
1550 Rory Ln #76 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-12%) 20mo $225,000 $167 58
1550 Rory Ln #68 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-12%) 23mo $250,000 $186 55
6480 Katherine Rd #26 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,344 (-12%) 12mo $284,999 $212 46
6480 Katherine Rd #135 0.63mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (-6%) 13mo $183,000 $127 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.9%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$88,911
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
46.5%
Equity multiple
5.96×
Total profit
$256,806
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93063

Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
150
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,807 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax est. 1.5%
$231 /mo · $2,775/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$800
Net cashflow
$1,729

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,618
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 50%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,857 -5% $1,793 +0% $1,729 +5% $1,665 +10% $1,601
Rent -10% $1,429 -5% $1,579 +0% $1,729 +5% $1,880 +10% $2,030
Rate -1.0pp $1,822 -0.5pp $1,776 base $1,729 +0.5pp $1,681 +1.0pp $1,633

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5960 Juniper Ct Simi Valley, CA 3.0 2.5 1602 $3,700 $2.31 15d 1 0.15mi
1930 Yosemite Ave Simi Valley, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 850 $2,915 $3.43 2d 1 0.25mi
1830 Rory Ln Simi Valley, CA 2.0 2.5 1437 $3,288 $2.29 44d 1 0.26mi
1700 Yosemite Ave Simi Valley, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 850 $2,915 $3.43 2d 3 0.27mi
1948 Rory Ln #4 Simi Valley, CA 3.0 2.5 1583 $3,900 $2.46 24d 1 0.30mi
5676 Bloomfield St Simi Valley, CA 4.0 2.0 1380 $8,500 $6.16 0d 1 0.46mi
5664 Bloomfield St Simi Valley, CA 4.0 2.0 1800 $9,998 $5.55 0d 1 0.47mi
911 Katherine Rd Simi Valley, CA 3.0 2.0 1501 $4,350 $2.90 44d 1 0.60mi
2163 Timberlane Ave Simi Valley, CA 4.0 2.0 1826 $4,300 $2.35 22d 1 0.65mi
1768 Grover Cir Simi Valley, CA 3.0 3.0 1982 $3,995 $2.02 24d 1 0.66mi
990 Alta Vista Rd Simi Valley, CA 3.0 3.5 1880 $5,200 $2.77 44d 1 0.72mi
5312 Diane St Simi Valley, CA 4.0 2.0 1812 $4,500 $2.48 44d 1 0.90mi
6769 Cowboy St Simi Valley, CA 3.0 2.5 1659 $4,300 $2.59 24d 1 0.92mi
6769 Cowboy St Simi Valley, CA 3.0 3.0 1659 $4,300 $2.59 4d 1 0.92mi
5727 Cochran St Simi Valley, CA 4.0 3.0 1976 $4,200 $2.13 44d 1 0.93mi
5505 Cochran St Simi Valley, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 838 $3,469 $4.14 3d 19 1.07mi
5377 Cochran St Simi Valley, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 881 $3,395 $3.85 44d 1 1.16mi
5065 Hidden Park Ct Simi Valley, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1004 $3,276 $3.26 3d 16 1.17mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $185,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $185,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $185,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $185,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 19 DOM
  16. 2026-05-12
    listed $185,000 Active 1628-char remark
  17. 2026-01-31
    historical
  18. 2026-01-09
    listed $185,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 47% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥101°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$45,688
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$2,775
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,655
− Management
−$3,655
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable income
$18,933
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,544
After-tax cash flow
$16,208/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This manufactured home requires moderate repairs and updates to its kitchen and bathrooms, exterior siding, and interior walls to improve its condition and value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate kitchen cabinets — dated and worn
  • Moderate bathroom fixtures — outdated and worn
  • Moderate exterior siding — moderate wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and fixtures — modernizes and increases appeal
  • Both paint interior walls — enhances appearance and value
  • Both repair and replace exterior siding — improves curb appeal and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
kitchen cabinets · dated and worn Moderate $3,000–15,000
bathroom fixtures · outdated and worn Moderate $3,000–15,000
exterior siding · moderate wear Moderate $3,000–15,000
Total estimated repair cost · 3 items $9,000–45,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both update kitchen cabinets and fixtures — modernizes and increases appeal
  • Both paint interior walls — enhances appearance and value
  • Both repair and replace exterior siding — improves curb appeal and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Simi Valley Unified
NCES district ID
0636840
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$88,818
Composite
40.23/100
National rank
#3773
State rank
#170 of 517 in CA

Livability — Simi Valley

Score
63/100
State rank
#456
US rank
#15494

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D- Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing B Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Simi Valley, CA
County
Ventura County · 829,955 people
City population
128,600
Metro
Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
Population (ZIP)
55,066
Household income
$125,098
Rent vs Own
26.2% rent · 73.8% own
Severe rent burden
1322.0

Population outlook (Ventura County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
895,754 people
By 2030
912,134 · +1.8%
By 2040
931,454 · +4.0%
By 2050
934,609 · +4.3%
By 2075
924,899 · +3.3%
By 2100
864,712 · -3.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 15% Asian 11% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 4% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ventura

2024 margin
D (+15.1) · D 56.1% · R 41.0% · Other 2.9%
2008→2024 swing
+2.8pp toward D · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: 15.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.1 2020: D+21.1 2016: D+16.8 2012: D+5.3 2008: D+12.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -910.70%
Current HPI
297.7444
Rent YoY
▲ 5.22%
Metro
Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $185,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-01-31 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $185,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…