1513 Westlake Dr · Wichita Falls, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Worth the look. Yes, it is a great opportunity for a FLIPPER. The Barn is actually in pretty good shape, great workshop space. The house, well gut it and make it great! Gut to Great! You can do it. The family is working with an attorney to get the solar removed. The solar was more expensive and the value exceeds the value of the house. Quiet Street, Friendly Neighbors and Smart Purchase at this price!
Key facts
- Built 1944
- Listed 37 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in the Floral Heights subdivision
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Asbestos siding; Wood siding
- Exterior features: Composition roof
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood
- Heating & cooling: Space heater; Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Hardwood flooring; Window cooling units
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $709 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $24k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 40.3% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
- Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 40.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 121.57%
- DSCR
- 6.41
- GRM
- 1.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $72,916
- List price
- $25,000
- Delta
- -65.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1913 Tilden St | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,341 (-2%) | 3mo | $63,500 | $47 | 69 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.72×
- Total profit
- $47,032
- Equity at exit
- $3,728
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 19.01×
- Total profit
- $126,035
- Equity at exit
- $2,162
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76309
- Rents YoY
- 8.3%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 1.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,116 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$31 /mo · $375/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $709
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1901 Wenonah Ave Unit B Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 946 | $1,000 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1515 Fillmore St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 909 | $1,225 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 2003 Buchanan St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2912 Avenue L Unit L Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $895 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1507 Polk St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1316 | $1,050 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 1813 Polk St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,364 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 2304 Avenue K Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,050 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1301 Giddings St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,150 | $1.15 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 2500 Taylor St Unit 2500 Taylor A Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $800 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3706 Seymour Rd Wichita Falls, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1100 | $1,375 | $1.25 | 43d | 13 | 1.00mi |
| 2006 Bell St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,000 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1901 Giddings St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 909 | $1,175 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2130 Avenue K Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,390 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2812 Avenue R Unit R Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $925 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1916 7th St Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1226 | $1,050 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 1821 9th St Unit B Wichita Falls, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $795 | $0.66 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1714 7th St Wichita Falls, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1452 | $850 | $0.59 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $25,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $25,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $25,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $25,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $25,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $25,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $25,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $25,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $25,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $25,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $25,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $25,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $25,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $25,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $25,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $25,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-11$25,000 Active 404-char remark
-
2026-02-10price $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,396
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$375
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,072
- − Management
- −$1,072
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $8,625
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,070
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,440/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wichita Falls ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4845780
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,604
- Composite
- 27.06/100
- National rank
- #7051
- State rank
- #585 of 826 in TX
Livability — Wichita Falls
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #437
- US rank
- #8940
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wichita Falls, TX
- County
- Wichita County · 95,694 people
- City population
- 95,694
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,395
- Household income
- $54,159
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 469.0
Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 129,638 people
- By 2030
- 128,366 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 124,466 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 120,499 · -7.0%
- By 2075
- 113,884 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 101,818 · -21.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 12% Black 6% Asian 2% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 27%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 15% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wichita
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -88.35%
- Current HPI
- 137.2935
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.33%
- Metro
- Wichita Falls, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Listed $25,000 WFAOR
- 2026-02-10 Price Changed $25,000 WFAOR
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,596 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…