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1513 Westlake Dr
D+ Composite 45.74
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$25,000

1513 Westlake Dr · Wichita Falls, TX 76309
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,369 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1944 $18/sqft · 66% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Worth the look. Yes, it is a great opportunity for a FLIPPER. The Barn is actually in pretty good shape, great workshop space. The house, well gut it and make it great! Gut to Great! You can do it. The family is working with an attorney to get the solar removed. The solar was more expensive and the value exceeds the value of the house. Quiet Street, Friendly Neighbors and Smart Purchase at this price!

Key facts

  • Built 1944
  • Listed 37 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in the Floral Heights subdivision

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Asbestos siding; Wood siding
  • Exterior features: Composition roof

Interior

  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Heating & cooling: Space heater; Window unit(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Hardwood flooring; Window cooling units

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $709 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
  • Recommended offer: $24k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 40.3% vs local median 4.7% in Wichita Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#437 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools D.
  • Wichita Falls ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #585 of 826 in TX (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 231 units permitted in Wichita County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wichita County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $24,250 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.47%
Cap rate
40.33%
Cash-on-cash
121.57%
DSCR
6.41
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$72,916
List price
$25,000
Delta
-65.71%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1913 Tilden St 0.44mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,341 (-2%) 3mo $63,500 $47 69

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.72×
Total profit
$47,032
Equity at exit
$3,728
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
19.01×
Total profit
$126,035
Equity at exit
$2,162

Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76309

Rents YoY
8.3%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,116 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$131
Tax est. 1.5%
$31 /mo · $375/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$234
Net cashflow
$709

Break-even live

Break-even rent $219
Max offer price $25,000
Occupancy floor 31%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$6,250
Closing costs
$750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1901 Wenonah Ave Unit B Wichita Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 946 $1,000 $1.06 43d 1 0.43mi
1515 Fillmore St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 909 $1,225 $1.35 43d 1 0.54mi
2003 Buchanan St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 1118 $1,100 $0.98 43d 1 0.57mi
2912 Avenue L Unit L Wichita Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 1104 $895 $0.81 43d 1 0.63mi
1507 Polk St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 1.0 1316 $1,050 $0.80 43d 1 0.70mi
1813 Polk St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,364 $1.25 43d 1 0.74mi
2304 Avenue K Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 1040 $1,050 $1.01 43d 1 0.80mi
1301 Giddings St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 43d 1 0.89mi
2500 Taylor St Unit 2500 Taylor A Wichita Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 910 $800 $0.88 43d 1 0.99mi
3706 Seymour Rd Wichita Falls, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1100 $1,375 $1.25 43d 13 1.00mi
2006 Bell St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,000 $0.89 43d 1 1.05mi
1901 Giddings St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 909 $1,175 $1.29 43d 1 1.07mi
2130 Avenue K Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,390 $1.28 43d 1 1.09mi
2812 Avenue R Unit R Wichita Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 1044 $925 $0.89 43d 1 1.11mi
1916 7th St Wichita Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 1226 $1,050 $0.86 43d 1 1.16mi
1821 9th St Unit B Wichita Falls, TX 2.0 1.0 1200 $795 $0.66 43d 1 1.22mi
1714 7th St Wichita Falls, TX 3.0 1.0 1452 $850 $0.59 43d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $25,000 Active 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $25,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $25,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $25,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $25,000 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $25,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $25,000 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $25,000 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $25,000 Active 28 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $25,000 Active 27 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $25,000 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $25,000 Active 23 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $25,000 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $25,000 Active 20 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $25,000 Active 19 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $25,000 Active 18 DOM
  17. 2026-05-11
    listed $25,000 Active 404-char remark
  18. 2026-02-10
    price $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,396
− Mortgage interest
−$1,400
− Property taxes
−$375
− Insurance
−$125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,072
− Management
−$1,072
− Depreciation
−$727
Taxable income
$8,625
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,070
After-tax cash flow
$6,440/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wichita Falls ISD
NCES district ID
4845780
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,604
Composite
27.06/100
National rank
#7051
State rank
#585 of 826 in TX

Livability — Wichita Falls

Score
69/100
State rank
#437
US rank
#8940

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wichita Falls, TX
County
Wichita County · 95,694 people
City population
95,694
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
Population (ZIP)
13,395
Household income
$54,159
Rent vs Own
42.7% rent · 57.3% own
Severe rent burden
469.0

Population outlook (Wichita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
129,638 people
By 2030
128,366 · -1.0%
By 2040
124,466 · -4.0%
By 2050
120,499 · -7.0%
By 2075
113,884 · -12.2%
By 2100
101,818 · -21.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 12% Black 6% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 27%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 15% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wichita

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.0) · D 27.5% · R 71.5%
2008→2024 swing
-5.2pp toward R · 2008: -38.9pp · 2024: -44.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+49.7 2012: R+47.1 2008: R+38.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.35%
Current HPI
137.2935
Rent YoY
▲ 8.33%
Metro
Wichita Falls, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $25,000 WFAOR
  • 2026-02-10 Price Changed $25,000 WFAOR

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,596 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…