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Magnolia Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 35.97
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$331,900

Magnolia Plan · Sebastian, FL 32958
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,737 sqft · SingleFamily · 70 Days on market
Excellent condition 2-car garage

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome Home to the MagnoliaThe Magnolia by Maronda Homes is a stunning, single-story home design that spans 1,737 square feet, seamlessly blending functionality with modern style. Featuring four bedrooms, two bathrooms, and a 2-car garage, the Magnolia is the perfect place to call home for those seeking a spacious feel without the maintenance and upkeep of a larger space. With two different elevations available and the option to choose between a stone or brick facade on the exterior of your home, you can personalize the details to suit your design preferences perfectly.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Spa-like bathroom
  • Patio slab

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLANSPA-LIKE BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSETPATIO SLABLANAISTONE OR BRICK FACADE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $331,900 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $374,045.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $332k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-447 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $309k (6.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $271k (18.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $271k (18.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#89 in FL, #1,421 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities D-.
  • Indian River (other): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #35 of 73 in FL (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Sebastian Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,513 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 329 students, 72% FRL); Sebastian River Middle School (math 46% / reading 44%, grade D, #310 of 571 statewide, top 56%, 862 students, 65% FRL); Sebastian River High School (math 29% / reading 45%, grade F, #340 of 667 statewide, top 52%, 1,843 students, 52% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 567 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 564 units permitted in Indian River County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,707/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 16% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Indian River County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($312k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $270,654 (18.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
4.86%
Cash-on-cash
-5.12%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$374,045
List price
$331,900
Delta
-11.27%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
946 Roseland Rd 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,631 (-6%) 0mo $430,000 $264 73
865 Grandin Ave 0.07mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,533 (-12%) 1mo $366,000 $239 71
938 Riviera Ave 0.36mi 4/2.0 1,828 (+5%) 5mo $375,000 $205 71
707 Barber St 0.41mi 4/2.0 1,828 (+5%) 2mo $380,000 $208 70
1043 Landsdowne Dr 0.61mi 4/2.0 1,821 (+5%) 4mo $366,000 $201 60
919 Landsdowne Dr 0.52mi 4/3.0 1,854 (+7%) 1mo $357,500 $193 60
689 Layport Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,761 (+1%) 0mo $340,000 $193 58
843 Vocelle Ave 0.37mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,512 (-13%) 0mo $419,900 $278 56
938 Clearmont St 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,522 (-12%) 2mo $367,000 $241 52
710 Rose Ave 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,498 (-14%) 1mo $245,000 $164 49
717 Wentworth St 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,610 (-7%) 0mo $250,000 $155 48
1062 Laconia St 0.68mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,552 (-11%) 4mo $339,990 $219 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.5%
Equity multiple
0.24×
Total profit
$-79,975
Equity at exit
$55,771
10-year hold
IRR
-9.0%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-66,430
Equity at exit
$32,341

Cash invested: $104,733 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
47 active · 39 under contract
Months of supply
6.9 mo (15%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$359,900 ($204/sqft)
Median days on market
89 d
This list price
26% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+5.6% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 32958

Home prices YoY
-13.1%
Rents YoY
6.2%
Active inventory
567
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,707 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,962
Tax est. 1.5%
$468 /mo · $5,611/yr
Insurance
$156
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$568
Net cashflow
$-447

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,272
Max offer price $309,396
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-188 -5% $-318 +0% $-447 +5% $-576 +10% $-705
Rent -10% $-661 -5% $-554 +0% $-447 +5% $-340 +10% $-233
Rate -1.0pp $-258 -0.5pp $-352 base $-447 +0.5pp $-544 +1.0pp $-642

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$93,511
Closing costs
$11,221
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
865 Beard Ave Sebastian, FL 4.0 2.0 1934 $3,200 $1.65 6d 1 0.16mi
834 Jamaica Ave Sebastian, FL 3.0 2.0 1178 $2,400 $2.04 6d 1 0.26mi
882 Foster Ave Sebastian, FL 3.0 2.0 1080 $2,450 $2.27 6d 1 0.29mi
810 Jamaica Ave Sebastian, FL 4.0 2.0 1851 $3,000 $1.62 109d 1 0.29mi
757 Beard Ave Sebastian, FL 3.0 2.0 1232 $3,000 $2.44 6d 1 0.38mi
974 Riviera Ave Sebastian, FL 3.0 2.0 1799 $1,600 $0.89 6d 1 0.38mi
1018 Landsdowne Dr Sebastian, FL 3.0 2.0 1740 $2,000 $1.15 6d 1 0.60mi
511 Biscayne Ln Sebastian, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,150 $1.79 6d 1 0.74mi
1343 Shoreline Cir Sebastian, FL 3.0 2.0 2222 $3,650 $1.64 6d 1 0.76mi
486 Biscayne Ln Sebastian, FL 4.0 2.0 1769 $2,250 $1.27 109d 1 0.81mi
732 Wimbrow Dr Unit 2 Sebastian, FL 3.0 2.0 1224 $2,700 $2.21 6d 1 0.85mi
1110 Barber St Sebastian, FL 3.0 2.0 1324 $2,100 $1.59 6d 1 1.01mi
1242 Laconia St Sebastian, FL 3.0 2.0 1548 $2,200 $1.42 6d 1 1.04mi
832 Carnation Dr Sebastian, FL 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,500 $1.79 6d 1 1.07mi
990 Genesee Ave Sebastian, FL 3.0 2.0 1972 $3,000 $1.52 6d 1 1.15mi
462 Lloyd St Sebastian, FL 3.0 2.0 1564 $2,400 $1.53 116d 1 1.17mi
324 Seaside Ter Sebastian, FL 3.0 2.0 1733 $2,200 $1.27 6d 1 1.19mi
1192 Croquet Ln Sebastian, FL 4.0 2.0 2012 $2,640 $1.31 109d 1 1.23mi
632 Bayfront Ter Sebastian, FL 3.0 2.0 1885 $2,350 $1.25 109d 1 1.23mi
365 Fordham St Sebastian, FL 4.0 2.0 1893 $2,031 $1.07 3d 1 1.30mi
351 Del Monte Rd Unit B Sebastian, FL 3.0 2.0 1416 $1,900 $1.34 109d 1 1.34mi
351 Del Monte Rd Unit B Sebastian, FL 3.0 2.0 1416 $1,900 $1.34 116d 1 1.34mi
246 S Wimbrow Dr Sebastian, FL 3.0 2.0 1364 $3,000 $2.20 109d 1 1.47mi

Property features AI

Finance

Other
Address: 843 Roseland Rd, Sebastian FL 32958
Financial info
List price $319,000

Exterior

Parking
2 total parking spaces2-car garage
Home design
Single-family planActive listing
Exterior features
Living area approximately 1,737

Interior

Bedrooms
4 bedrooms
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms
Interior features
Plan: Magnolia (new construction plan)

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-04
    days on market $331,900 Active 70 DOM
  2. 2026-09-03
    pricedays on market $331,900 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-08-30
    days on market $326,900 Active 65 DOM
  4. 2026-08-29
    days on market $326,900 Active 64 DOM
  5. 2026-08-28
    days on market $326,900 Active 63 DOM
  6. 2026-08-27
    days on market $326,900 Active 62 DOM
  7. 2026-08-26
    days on market $326,900 Active 61 DOM
  8. 2026-08-25
    days on market $326,900 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-08-24
    days on market $326,900 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-08-23
    days on market $326,900 Active 58 DOM
  11. 2026-08-22
    days on market $326,900 Active 57 DOM
  12. 2026-08-21
    days on market $326,900 Active 56 DOM
  13. 2026-08-20
    days on market $326,900 Active 55 DOM
  14. 2026-08-19
    days on market $326,900 Active 54 DOM
  15. 2026-08-18
    days on market $326,900 Active 53 DOM
  16. 2026-08-17
    days on market $326,900 Active 52 DOM
  17. 2026-08-16
    days on market $326,900 Active 51 DOM
  18. 2026-08-15
    days on market $326,900 Active 50 DOM
  19. 2026-08-14
    days on market $326,900 Active 49 DOM
  20. 2026-08-13
    days on market $326,900 Active 48 DOM
  21. 2026-08-12
    days on market $326,900 Active 47 DOM
  22. 2026-08-11
    days on market $326,900 Active 46 DOM
  23. 2026-08-10
    days on market $326,900 Active 45 DOM
  24. 2026-08-09
    days on market $326,900 Active 44 DOM
  25. 2026-08-08
    days on market $326,900 Active 43 DOM
  26. 2026-08-07
    days on market $326,900 Active 42 DOM
  27. 2026-08-06
    days on market $326,900 Active 41 DOM
  28. 2026-08-05
    days on market $326,900 Active 40 DOM
  29. 2026-08-04
    days on market $326,900 Active 39 DOM
  30. 2026-08-03
    pricedays on market $326,900 Active 38 DOM
  31. 2026-07-31
    days on market $321,900 Active 35 DOM
  32. 2026-07-29
    days on market $321,900 Active 33 DOM
  33. 2026-07-27
    days on market $321,900 Active 31 DOM
  34. 2026-07-25
    days on market $321,900 Active 29 DOM
  35. 2026-07-23
    days on market $321,900 Active 27 DOM
  36. 2026-07-22
    days on market $321,900 Active 26 DOM
  37. 2026-07-22
    days on market $321,900 Active 25 DOM
  38. 2026-07-19
    days on market $321,900 Active 22 DOM
  39. 2026-07-16
    days on market $321,900 Active 20 DOM
  40. 2026-07-16
    days on market $321,900 Active 19 DOM
  41. 2026-07-14
    days on market $321,900 Active 18 DOM
  42. 2026-07-13
    days on market $321,900 Active 17 DOM
  43. 2026-07-12
    days on market $321,900 Active 16 DOM
  44. 2026-07-11
    days on market $321,900 Active 15 DOM
  45. 2026-07-10
    days on market $321,900 Active 14 DOM
  46. 2026-07-09
    days on market $321,900 Active 13 DOM
  47. 2026-07-08
    days on market $321,900 Active 12 DOM
  48. 2026-07-07
    days on market $321,900 Active 11 DOM
  49. 2026-07-06
    days on market $321,900 Active 10 DOM
  50. 2026-07-05
    days on market $321,900 Active 9 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,478
− Mortgage interest
−$20,952
− Property taxes
−$5,611
− Insurance
−$1,870
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,598
− Management
−$2,598
− Depreciation
−$10,881
Taxable loss
−$12,033
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,888
After-tax cash flow
$-2,473/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This Magnolia by Maronda Homes is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a spacious and modern floor plan, making it an ideal move-in-ready home for both resale and rental markets.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can improve convenience and attract tech-savvy buyers/renters.
  • Both Upgrading appliances — Modern appliances can make the home more appealing to buyers/renters.
  • Both Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort, attracting eco-conscious buyers/renters.
F Composite school gradezoned avg 40/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Sebastian Elementary School F FL #1,513/2,144 Nat'l #19,648/41,679 Middle Sebastian River Middle School D FL #310/571 Nat'l #4,622/14,009 High Sebastian River High School F FL #340/667 Nat'l #9,001/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Indian River
NCES district ID
1200930
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,597
Composite
42.45/100
National rank
#3218
State rank
#35 of 73 in FL
A Composite livability gradescore 81/100

Livability — Sebastian

Score
81/100
State rank
#89
US rank
#1421

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute B+ Cost of living A- Crime A Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sebastian, FL
County
Indian River County · 165,104 people
City population
30,023
Metro
Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
30,023
Household income
$66,840
Rent vs Own
14.5% rent · 85.5% own
Severe rent burden
16% of renters

Population outlook (Indian River County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
165,104 people
By 2030
172,869 · +4.7%
By 2040
185,640 · +12.4%
By 2050
194,465 · +17.8%
By 2075
211,115 · +27.9%
By 2100
211,781 · +28.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Indian River

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.4) · D 36.0% · R 63.4%
2008→2024 swing
-12.5pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -27.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.4 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+14.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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