🏗️ New Construction
Magnolia Plan · Sebastian, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$331,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome Home to the MagnoliaThe Magnolia by Maronda Homes is a stunning, single-story home design that spans 1,737 square feet, seamlessly blending functionality with modern style. Featuring four bedrooms, two bathrooms, and a 2-car garage, the Magnolia is the perfect place to call home for those seeking a spacious feel without the maintenance and upkeep of a larger space. With two different elevations available and the option to choose between a stone or brick facade on the exterior of your home, you can personalize the details to suit your design preferences perfectly.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Spa-like bathroom
- Patio slab
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $332k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-447 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $309k (6.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $271k (18.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $271k (18.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#89 in FL, #1,421 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, crime A, health & safety A; Watch: amenities D-.
- Indian River (other): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #35 of 73 in FL (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Sebastian Elementary School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,513 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 329 students, 72% FRL); Sebastian River Middle School (math 46% / reading 44%, grade D, #310 of 571 statewide, top 56%, 862 students, 65% FRL); Sebastian River High School (math 29% / reading 45%, grade F, #340 of 667 statewide, top 52%, 1,843 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 567 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 564 units permitted in Indian River County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,707/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 16% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Indian River County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($312k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.12%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $374,045
- List price
- $331,900
- Delta
- -11.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 946 Roseland Rd | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,631 (-6%) | 0mo | $430,000 | $264 | 73 |
| 865 Grandin Ave | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,533 (-12%) | 1mo | $366,000 | $239 | 71 |
| 938 Riviera Ave | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 | 1,828 (+5%) | 5mo | $375,000 | $205 | 71 |
| 707 Barber St | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 | 1,828 (+5%) | 2mo | $380,000 | $208 | 70 |
| 1043 Landsdowne Dr | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 1,821 (+5%) | 4mo | $366,000 | $201 | 60 |
| 919 Landsdowne Dr | 0.52mi | 4/3.0 | 1,854 (+7%) | 1mo | $357,500 | $193 | 60 |
| 689 Layport Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,761 (+1%) | 0mo | $340,000 | $193 | 58 |
| 843 Vocelle Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,512 (-13%) | 0mo | $419,900 | $278 | 56 |
| 938 Clearmont St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,522 (-12%) | 2mo | $367,000 | $241 | 52 |
| 710 Rose Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,498 (-14%) | 1mo | $245,000 | $164 | 49 |
| 717 Wentworth St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,610 (-7%) | 0mo | $250,000 | $155 | 48 |
| 1062 Laconia St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,552 (-11%) | 4mo | $339,990 | $219 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.22% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-79,975
- Equity at exit
- $55,771
- IRR
- -9.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-66,430
- Equity at exit
- $32,341
Cash invested: $104,733 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 47 active · 39 under contract
- Months of supply
- 6.9 mo (15%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $359,900 ($204/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 89 d
- This list price
- 26% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +5.6% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 32958
- Home prices YoY
- -13.1%
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 567
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,707 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,962
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$468 /mo · $5,611/yr
- Insurance
- −$156
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$568
- Net cashflow
- $-447
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-188 | -5% $-318 | +0% $-447 | +5% $-576 | +10% $-705 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-661 | -5% $-554 | +0% $-447 | +5% $-340 | +10% $-233 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-258 | -0.5pp $-352 | base $-447 | +0.5pp $-544 | +1.0pp $-642 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $93,511
- Closing costs
- $11,221
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 865 Beard Ave Sebastian, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1934 | $3,200 | $1.65 | 6d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 834 Jamaica Ave Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1178 | $2,400 | $2.04 | 6d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 882 Foster Ave Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $2,450 | $2.27 | 6d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 810 Jamaica Ave Sebastian, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1851 | $3,000 | $1.62 | 109d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 757 Beard Ave Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $3,000 | $2.44 | 6d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 974 Riviera Ave Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1799 | $1,600 | $0.89 | 6d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1018 Landsdowne Dr Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1740 | $2,000 | $1.15 | 6d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 511 Biscayne Ln Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,150 | $1.79 | 6d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1343 Shoreline Cir Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2222 | $3,650 | $1.64 | 6d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 486 Biscayne Ln Sebastian, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1769 | $2,250 | $1.27 | 109d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 732 Wimbrow Dr Unit 2 Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $2,700 | $2.21 | 6d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1110 Barber St Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $2,100 | $1.59 | 6d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1242 Laconia St Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1548 | $2,200 | $1.42 | 6d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 832 Carnation Dr Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,500 | $1.79 | 6d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 990 Genesee Ave Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1972 | $3,000 | $1.52 | 6d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 462 Lloyd St Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1564 | $2,400 | $1.53 | 116d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 324 Seaside Ter Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1733 | $2,200 | $1.27 | 6d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1192 Croquet Ln Sebastian, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2012 | $2,640 | $1.31 | 109d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 632 Bayfront Ter Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1885 | $2,350 | $1.25 | 109d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 365 Fordham St Sebastian, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1893 | $2,031 | $1.07 | 3d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 351 Del Monte Rd Unit B Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $1,900 | $1.34 | 109d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 351 Del Monte Rd Unit B Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1416 | $1,900 | $1.34 | 116d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 246 S Wimbrow Dr Sebastian, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $3,000 | $2.20 | 109d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Address: 843 Roseland Rd, Sebastian FL 32958
- Financial info
- List price $319,000
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 total parking spaces2-car garage
- Home design
- Single-family planActive listing
- Exterior features
- Living area approximately 1,737
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 4 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features
- Plan: Magnolia (new construction plan)
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-04days on market $331,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-09-03pricedays on market $331,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $326,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $326,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $326,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $326,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $326,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $326,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $326,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $326,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $326,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $326,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $326,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $326,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $326,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $326,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $326,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $326,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $326,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $326,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $326,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $326,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $326,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $326,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $326,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $326,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $326,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $326,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $326,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-08-03pricedays on market $326,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $321,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $321,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $321,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $321,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $321,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $321,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $321,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-07-19days on market $321,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $321,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $321,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $321,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $321,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $321,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $321,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $321,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $321,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-07-08days on market $321,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $321,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $321,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $321,900 Active 9 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,478
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,952
- − Property taxes
- −$5,611
- − Insurance
- −$1,870
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,598
- − Management
- −$2,598
- − Depreciation
- −$10,881
- Taxable loss
- −$12,033
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,888
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,473/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This Magnolia by Maronda Homes is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a spacious and modern floor plan, making it an ideal move-in-ready home for both resale and rental markets.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Well-maintained landscaping can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can improve convenience and attract tech-savvy buyers/renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading appliances — Modern appliances can make the home more appealing to buyers/renters. ↑
- Both Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and comfort, attracting eco-conscious buyers/renters. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River
- NCES district ID
- 1200930
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,597
- Composite
- 42.45/100
- National rank
- #3218
- State rank
- #35 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sebastian
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #89
- US rank
- #1421
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sebastian, FL
- County
- Indian River County · 165,104 people
- City population
- 30,023
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,023
- Household income
- $66,840
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 16% of renters
Population outlook (Indian River County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 165,104 people
- By 2030
- 172,869 · +4.7%
- By 2040
- 185,640 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 194,465 · +17.8%
- By 2075
- 211,115 · +27.9%
- By 2100
- 211,781 · +28.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 4% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Indian River
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 36.0% · R 63.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+14.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.85%
- Current HPI
- 330.1691
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.22%
- Metro
- Sebastian-Vero Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…