13 Bingham Ct · Rumson, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$2,580,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Bingham Park, awarded as New Jersey's Premier New Community of 2024. This exceptional 3 bed, 3.1 bath residence showcases elevated design and craftsmanship throughout, featuring Century handmade cabinetry paired w/ a full Thermador appliance package. The thoughtfully designed open floor plan offers soaring 10' ceilings on the 1st level and 9' ceilings on the 2nd, complemented by 8' doors, custom-selected trim, and a stunning vaulted great room. A 2 car garage, bluestone front porch, and rear bluestone patio with Hardi-Plank privacy wall enhanced by an outdoor kitchen with a 32'' grill. Modern comforts abound with Sonos in-ceiling speakers throughout, a whole-house water filtration system, a
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- 8' doors
- 10' ceilings
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area approximately 3418; Photos available (46); Listing status: Active
- HOA & community: HOA present; Monthly association fee of $852; HOA covers trash, common area, lawn maintenance, and snow removal; Community amenities include common area and landscaping
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Security: Security system
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Model: ABBEY; Level topography
- Construction: Basement: full, unfinished, heated with high ceilings
- Exterior features: Timberline roof; Insulated windows
Interior
- Kitchen: Countertop range; Gas cooking; Dishwasher; Microwave; Stove hood; Refrigerator; Freezer; Garbage disposal
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (two on second floor)
- Flooring: Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating with 2-zone heat; Central air conditioning with 2-zone AC; Heating and cooling present
- Interior features: Outdoor lighting; Timer thermostat; Security system; Self/cleaning oven; Light fixtures; Screens
- Laundry & utility: Garage door opener
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.5-bath condo listed at $2.58M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-34k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $2.08M (19.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.89M (26.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.89M (26.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.6% in Rumson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#326 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Rumson-Fair Haven Regional High School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #82 of 612 in NJ (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,840 units permitted in Monmouth County in 2024 (484 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $18k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $77k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monmouth County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($2.50M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.74%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 11.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.17×
- Total profit
- $-599,545
- Equity at exit
- $384,686
- IRR
- -19.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.05×
- Total profit
- $-755,044
- Equity at exit
- $223,071
Cash invested: $722,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 07760
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 11.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $18,895 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$13,530
- Tax from tax record
- −$2,324 /mo · $27,883/yr
- Insurance
- −$1,075
- HOA
- −$852
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$3,968
- Net cashflow
- $-2,853
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,393 | -5% $-2,123 | +0% $-2,853 | +5% $-3,584 | +10% $-4,314 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-4,346 | -5% $-3,600 | +0% $-2,853 | +5% $-2,107 | +10% $-1,361 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,554 | -0.5pp $-2,197 | base $-2,853 | +0.5pp $-3,522 | +1.0pp $-4,202 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $645,000
- Closing costs
- $77,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Rumson, NJ | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3688 | $35,000 | $9.49 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 22 Center St Rumson, NJ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3500 | $6,700 | $1.91 | 16d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 29 Lafayette St Rumson, NJ | 4.0 | 4.5 | 4033 | $14,000 | $3.47 | 0d | 1 | 0.68mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $852 · $10,224/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $2,580,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $2,580,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $2,580,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $2,580,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $2,580,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $2,580,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $2,580,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $2,580,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $2,580,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $2,580,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $2,580,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $2,580,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $2,580,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $2,580,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $2,580,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $2,580,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $2,580,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13$2,580,000 Active 754-char remark
-
2026-04-09$2,599,000 Active
-
2026-03-03price $2,699,000
-
2026-02-20$2,750,000 Active
-
2026-02-16historical
-
2023-12-01soldstatus $2,455,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $27,883 · $2,324/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $46,063 · $3,839/mo
- Expected delta
- +$18,179/yr (+$1,515/mo · 65.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $226,741
- − Mortgage interest
- −$144,520
- − Property taxes
- −$27,883
- − Insurance
- −$12,900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$18,139
- − Management
- −$18,139
- − HOA
- −$10,224
- − Depreciation
- −$75,055
- Taxable loss
- −$80,120
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$19,229
- After-tax cash flow
- $-15,011/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rumson-Fair Haven Regional High School District
- NCES district ID
- 3414400
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▲ 20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▲ 15.00%
- Median HH income
- $140,294
- Composite
- 68.77/100
- National rank
- #677
- State rank
- #82 of 612 in NJ
Livability — Rumson
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #326
- US rank
- #10228
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rumson, NJ
- City population
- 9,557
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,557
Population outlook (Monmouth County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 620,308 people
- By 2030
- 612,309 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 587,297 · -5.3%
- By 2050
- 551,342 · -11.1%
- By 2075
- 472,934 · -23.8%
- By 2100
- 381,534 · -38.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monmouth
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.4% · R 54.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -3.7pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: R+2.8 2016: R+9.5 2012: R+5.5 2008: R+3.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -567.27%
- Current HPI
- 369.2564
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+5.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $2,580,000 MOMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $2,599,000 MOMLS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $2,699,000 MOMLS
- 2026-02-20 Listed $2,750,000 MOMLS
- 2026-02-16 Coming Soon — MOMLS
- 2023-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $2,455,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $27,883 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…