3624 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit K-303 · South Bradenton, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Extremely Economical living in this very well maintained 2 bedroom 2 bath condo in West Bradenton. Spacious living/dining room area flows into a small den perfect for your computer set up or as an extra sleeping area for guests. Lanai is very large andprivate with the view of tree tops and offers the relaxing sound of a fountain beyond the trees. Laundry hookups have been installed in the storage area of the lanai for owner's use, so utilizing the buildings public facility isn't necessary. The A/C unit was new in 2006. The master bedroom is very large and includes a dressing area, tiled bath and walk-in closet. The unit is turnkey furnished so buyer can move in and head straight to the beach located approximately 15 minutes away. Bayshore on the Lake is a large complex with heated pools, clubhouses, numerous activities, a large lake for fishing, and within walking distance of restaurants, stores and churches. Owner will look at any realistic offer!
Key facts
- Active clubhouse
- Furnished condo
- Fishing lake
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Furnished; Directions: From Cortez Rd West, go North on 36th St., turn Right on 38th Ave West, then turn Left at the end of the street to building K
- Financial info: Total monthly fees (HOA/Condo): $596; Total annual fees: $7,152; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Association name: Christina; Monthly condo/association fee: $596 (includes pool, structure maintenance, grounds maintenance, pest control); Buyer approval required; Clubhouse; Senior community
Exterior
- Parking: No truck/RV/motorcycle parking (community restriction)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Condominium; Residential property; One story; Faces east; Located on third floor (unit K-303)
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Building identified as K
- Exterior features: Balcony; Sliding doors; In-ground heated gunite pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living room/dining room combo; Elevator in building
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-100 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $104k (12.2% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $119k).
- Recommended offer: $104k (12.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 4.0% in South Bradenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in FL, #3,092 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime D+, commute F.
- Manatee (suburban): math 54% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #26 of 73 in FL (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.4%/yr); 319 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,472 units permitted in Manatee County in 2024 (1,782 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Manatee County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $119k implies a 226% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 36% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.61%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -28.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-30,169
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- -68.6%
- Equity multiple
- -0.55×
- Total profit
- $-51,803
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34205
- Rents YoY
- -2.4%
- Active inventory
- 319
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,668 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$149 /mo · $1,785/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$596
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $-100
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-18 | -5% $-59 | +0% $-100 | +5% $-141 | +10% $-183 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-232 | -5% $-166 | +0% $-100 | +5% $-34 | +10% $32 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-40 | -0.5pp $-70 | base $-100 | +0.5pp $-131 | +1.0pp $-163 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3064 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit 115 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 3124 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit 219 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $2,300 | $2.01 | 25d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 4444 17th St W Unit B Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $2,200 | $2.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 4204 Heron Way Unit B304 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,400 | $1.54 | 4d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 4515 26th St W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 806 | $1,510 | $1.87 | 3d | 14 | 0.30mi |
| 2305 46th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1005 | $1,837 | $1.83 | 3d | 10 | 0.34mi |
| 4607 21st St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $2,500 | $2.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3963 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit F-414 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 16d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 4121 Heron Way #108 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,340 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 4129 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit C501 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 4d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3635 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit J410 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,700 | $1.49 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3737 Lake Bayshore Dr Unit 213 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,150 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 4109 Lake Bayshore Dr Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,250 | $1.63 | 25d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 3506 14th St W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 874 | $1,725 | $1.97 | 25d | 5 | 0.55mi |
| 1308 36th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $1,199 | $1.68 | 25d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2004 49th Ave W Unit 2002 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1021 | $1,950 | $1.91 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4906 21st St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 918 | $1,700 | $1.85 | 17d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4705 27th St W Unit A Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,325 | $1.77 | 4d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4916 18th St W Unit B Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,650 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5001 22nd St W Unit B Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 729 | $1,700 | $2.33 | 17d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4906 25th St W #101 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1070 | $1,550 | $1.45 | 25d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4812 27th St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,599 | $1.75 | 13d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 4812 27th St W Unit 4812 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,545 | $1.69 | 13d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 919 34th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,599 | $1.68 | 13d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5016 22nd St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 4d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 907 34th Ave W Unit B Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,795 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 907 34th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 985 | $1,599 | $1.62 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2306 30th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $1,700 | $1.80 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 2835 50th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,610 | $1.89 | 4d | 16 | 0.82mi |
| 655 Park Cir Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 816 | $1,100 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2901 26th St W #807 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 940 | $1,525 | $1.62 | 4d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3512 32nd St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 4d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 915 50th Avenue Plz W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 4630 5th St W Ste 6 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 13d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5059 Live Oak Cir Unit 5059 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $1,900 | $2.12 | 17d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 707 50th Ave W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,150 | $1.58 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 304 47th Avenue Dr W #112 Bradenton, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,200 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4810 Ho Wil Ln Unit 4810 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 784 | $1,600 | $2.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5062 Live Oak Cir Unit 5026 Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 896 | $1,545 | $1.72 | 17d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5103 29th St W Bradenton, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1258 | $2,600 | $2.07 | 25d | 1 | 0.99mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $596 · $7,152/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $119,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $119,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $119,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-03-17$119,000 Active
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2011-11-16soldstatus $36,500 963-char remark
Show marketing remark (963 chars)
Extremely Economical living in this very well maintained 2 bedroom 2 bath condo in West Bradenton. Spacious living/dining room area flows into a small den perfect for your computer set up or as an extra sleeping area for guests. Lanai is very large andprivate with the view of tree tops and offers the relaxing sound of a fountain beyond the trees. Laundry hookups have been installed in the storage area of the lanai for owner's use, so utilizing the buildings public facility isn't necessary. The A/C unit was new in 2006. The master bedroom is very large and includes a dressing area, tiled bath and walk-in closet. The unit is turnkey furnished so buyer can move in and head straight to the beach located approximately 15 minutes away. Bayshore on the Lake is a large complex with heated pools, clubhouses, numerous activities, a large lake for fishing, and within walking distance of restaurants, stores and churches. Owner will look at any realistic offer!
-
2011-10-10$39,900 963-char remark
Show marketing remark (963 chars)
Extremely Economical living in this very well maintained 2 bedroom 2 bath condo in West Bradenton. Spacious living/dining room area flows into a small den perfect for your computer set up or as an extra sleeping area for guests. Lanai is very large andprivate with the view of tree tops and offers the relaxing sound of a fountain beyond the trees. Laundry hookups have been installed in the storage area of the lanai for owner's use, so utilizing the buildings public facility isn't necessary. The A/C unit was new in 2006. The master bedroom is very large and includes a dressing area, tiled bath and walk-in closet. The unit is turnkey furnished so buyer can move in and head straight to the beach located approximately 15 minutes away. Bayshore on the Lake is a large complex with heated pools, clubhouses, numerous activities, a large lake for fishing, and within walking distance of restaurants, stores and churches. Owner will look at any realistic offer!
-
2011-02-04$49,900
-
2010-05-10$53,900
-
2009-03-24$79,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,022
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$1,785
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,602
- − Management
- −$1,602
- − HOA
- −$7,152
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable loss
- −$2,842
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$682
- After-tax cash flow
- $-522/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Manatee
- NCES district ID
- 1201230
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,607
- Composite
- 44.43/100
- National rank
- #2806
- State rank
- #26 of 73 in FL
Livability — South Bradenton
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3092
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Bradenton, FL
- County
- Manatee County · 416,364 people
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,946
- Household income
- $52,525
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1736.0
Population outlook (Manatee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 447,342 people
- By 2030
- 488,911 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 567,934 · +27.0%
- By 2050
- 637,995 · +42.6%
- By 2075
- 781,970 · +74.8%
- By 2100
- 848,272 · +89.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 18% Black 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Manatee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.5) · D 37.9% · R 61.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.5pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -23.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.5 2020: R+16.1 2016: R+17.1 2012: R+12.5 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -310.18%
- Current HPI
- 369.8239
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.43%
- Metro
- North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+50.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Listed $119,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-11-16 Sold (MLS) $36,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-10-10 Listed $39,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-02-04 Listed $49,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-05-10 Listed $53,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-03-24 Listed $79,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…