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224 SW Newark Dr
F Composite 33.28
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.4/30.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.6/15.0

$274,500

224 SW Newark Dr · Fort White, FL 32038
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,620 sqft · Manufactured public records · 248 Days on market
Built 1997 2.66 ac lot Est $238k · 15% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Ready for Paradise? This property was rescued only a short time ago and has undergone lots of improvements including, 42K in tree work, Over 100 feet of Double Crushed milled 15ft wide driveway, New well pump, New Air, New 17x12 rear deck. Awesome new water filltration outside and reverse osmosis under sink. After gliding down the world famous Itchetucknee River take a dip in the pool with sand filter. There is also a new Fridge, 10 X 16 lofted shed and a Pergola. 30 amp RV Hookup. Entire property fenced. 3 security cameras, smoke water heat sensors go to security company and dispatch. The home is well maintained. With a nominal annual fee, you will have access to to the lower end of river which connects to Santa Fe River which connects to the Suwannee which connects to Gulf and boat ramp. Must see to appreciate all this perfect home has to offer.

Key facts

  • Well pump
  • 10x16 lofted shed
  • Rear deck

Tags

FRESHLY PAINTED KITCHEN10X16 LOFTED SHEDREVERSE OSMOSIS UNDER SINKPOOL WITH UPGRADED FILTERREAR DECKWELL PUMP

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: No additional financial or amenity details available
  • Financial info: Financial details not provided
  • HOA & community: HOA and community details not provided

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking details not provided
  • Security: Security details not provided
  • Utilities: Utility details not provided
  • Home design: Single-family house; Living area approximately 1620
  • Construction: Construction details not provided
  • Exterior features: Property sits on a 2.66-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen details not provided
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom details not provided
  • Flooring: Flooring details not provided
  • Bathrooms: Bathroom details not provided
  • Heating & cooling: Heating and cooling details not provided
  • Interior features: No interior feature details available
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry and utility details not provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $274k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-359 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $211k (23.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (41.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $161k (41.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.9% in Fort White — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#463 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Columbia (town): math 53% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #25 of 73 in FL (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 110 active listings in the ZIP; 178 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Columbia County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 248 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $160,940 (41.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 248 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.59%
Cap rate
4.72%
Cash-on-cash
-5.61%
DSCR
0.75
GRM
14.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$238,140
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
448 SW Central Ter 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,512 (-7%) 1mo $180,000 $119 79
843 SW Central Ter 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,560 (-4%) 2mo $229,900 $147 66
679 SW Nebraska Ter 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,768 (+9%) 15mo $259,900 $147 50
992 SW Newark Dr 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,836 (+13%) 9mo $175,000 $95 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
2.65×
Total profit
$126,495
Equity at exit
$247,291
10-year hold
IRR
18.5%
Equity multiple
6.08×
Total profit
$390,211
Equity at exit
$533,293

Cash invested: $76,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32038

Home prices YoY
17.7%
Active inventory
110
Price-to-rent
14.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,609 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,440
Tax from tax record
$77 /mo · $919/yr
Insurance
$114
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$338
Net cashflow
$-359

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,064
Max offer price $211,080
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,625
Closing costs
$8,235
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $274,500 Active 248 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $274,500 Active 247 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $274,500 Active 246 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $274,500 Active 245 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $274,500 Active 244 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $274,500 Active 242 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $274,500 Active 241 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $274,500 Active 238 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $274,500 Active 237 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $274,500 Active 236 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $274,500 Active 233 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $274,500 Active 232 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $274,500 Active 231 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $274,500 Active 230 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $274,500 Active 229 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $274,500 Active 228 DOM
  17. 2026-03-23
    soldstatus $258,000 Closed 859-char remark
    Show marketing remark (859 chars)

    Ready for Paradise? This property was rescued only a short time ago and has undergone lots of improvements including, 42K in tree work, Over 100 feet of Double Crushed milled 15ft wide driveway, New well pump, New Air, New 17x12 rear deck. Awesome new water filltration outside and reverse osmosis under sink. After gliding down the world famous Itchetucknee River take a dip in the pool with sand filter. There is also a new Fridge, 10 X 16 lofted shed and a Pergola. 30 amp RV Hookup. Entire property fenced. 3 security cameras, smoke water heat sensors go to security company and dispatch. The home is well maintained. With a nominal annual fee, you will have access to to the lower end of river which connects to Santa Fe River which connects to the Suwannee which connects to Gulf and boat ramp. Must see to appreciate all this perfect home has to offer.

  18. 2026-03-08
    price $270,500 859-char remark
    Show marketing remark (859 chars)

    Ready for Paradise? This property was rescued only a short time ago and has undergone lots of improvements including, 42K in tree work, Over 100 feet of Double Crushed milled 15ft wide driveway, New well pump, New Air, New 17x12 rear deck. Awesome new water filltration outside and reverse osmosis under sink. After gliding down the world famous Itchetucknee River take a dip in the pool with sand filter. There is also a new Fridge, 10 X 16 lofted shed and a Pergola. 30 amp RV Hookup. Entire property fenced. 3 security cameras, smoke water heat sensors go to security company and dispatch. The home is well maintained. With a nominal annual fee, you will have access to to the lower end of river which connects to Santa Fe River which connects to the Suwannee which connects to Gulf and boat ramp. Must see to appreciate all this perfect home has to offer.

  19. 2026-02-09
    price $278,900 859-char remark
    Show marketing remark (859 chars)

    Ready for Paradise? This property was rescued only a short time ago and has undergone lots of improvements including, 42K in tree work, Over 100 feet of Double Crushed milled 15ft wide driveway, New well pump, New Air, New 17x12 rear deck. Awesome new water filltration outside and reverse osmosis under sink. After gliding down the world famous Itchetucknee River take a dip in the pool with sand filter. There is also a new Fridge, 10 X 16 lofted shed and a Pergola. 30 amp RV Hookup. Entire property fenced. 3 security cameras, smoke water heat sensors go to security company and dispatch. The home is well maintained. With a nominal annual fee, you will have access to to the lower end of river which connects to Santa Fe River which connects to the Suwannee which connects to Gulf and boat ramp. Must see to appreciate all this perfect home has to offer.

  20. 2026-01-05
    price $284,900 859-char remark
    Show marketing remark (859 chars)

    Ready for Paradise? This property was rescued only a short time ago and has undergone lots of improvements including, 42K in tree work, Over 100 feet of Double Crushed milled 15ft wide driveway, New well pump, New Air, New 17x12 rear deck. Awesome new water filltration outside and reverse osmosis under sink. After gliding down the world famous Itchetucknee River take a dip in the pool with sand filter. There is also a new Fridge, 10 X 16 lofted shed and a Pergola. 30 amp RV Hookup. Entire property fenced. 3 security cameras, smoke water heat sensors go to security company and dispatch. The home is well maintained. With a nominal annual fee, you will have access to to the lower end of river which connects to Santa Fe River which connects to the Suwannee which connects to Gulf and boat ramp. Must see to appreciate all this perfect home has to offer.

  21. 2025-10-23
    listed $289,000 Active 859-char remark
    Show marketing remark (859 chars)

    Ready for Paradise? This property was rescued only a short time ago and has undergone lots of improvements including, 42K in tree work, Over 100 feet of Double Crushed milled 15ft wide driveway, New well pump, New Air, New 17x12 rear deck. Awesome new water filltration outside and reverse osmosis under sink. After gliding down the world famous Itchetucknee River take a dip in the pool with sand filter. There is also a new Fridge, 10 X 16 lofted shed and a Pergola. 30 amp RV Hookup. Entire property fenced. 3 security cameras, smoke water heat sensors go to security company and dispatch. The home is well maintained. With a nominal annual fee, you will have access to to the lower end of river which connects to Santa Fe River which connects to the Suwannee which connects to Gulf and boat ramp. Must see to appreciate all this perfect home has to offer.

  22. 2025-10-14
    listed $274,500 Active
  23. 2025-03-25
    soldstatus $210,000
  24. 2025-02-04
    status Active 645-char remark
    Show marketing remark (645 chars)

    Immaculate DWMH on 3 lots in Three Rivers Estates! Bring grandma or keep the grandkids close - you can put 2 additional residences on this property! Home features a metal roof, RV Hook-up for family and friends, 3 large bedrooms with WIC's, huge kitchen, generator wired to house, storage shed, dog/child fenced area and beautiful screened porch. This is on a paved road and No Flood Zone! Just around the corner for Hodor Park with POA membership giving residents access to 3 parks on the clear Ichetucknee River, 2 private boat ramps on the Santa Fe River and several parks for member use in Columbia and Suwannee Counties. This is a must see!

  25. 2025-02-02
    soldstatus $210,000 Closed 645-char remark
    Show marketing remark (645 chars)

    Immaculate DWMH on 3 lots in Three Rivers Estates! Bring grandma or keep the grandkids close - you can put 2 additional residences on this property! Home features a metal roof, RV Hook-up for family and friends, 3 large bedrooms with WIC's, huge kitchen, generator wired to house, storage shed, dog/child fenced area and beautiful screened porch. This is on a paved road and No Flood Zone! Just around the corner for Hodor Park with POA membership giving residents access to 3 parks on the clear Ichetucknee River, 2 private boat ramps on the Santa Fe River and several parks for member use in Columbia and Suwannee Counties. This is a must see!

  26. 2024-08-29
    status Active 645-char remark
    Show marketing remark (645 chars)

    Immaculate DWMH on 3 lots in Three Rivers Estates! Bring grandma or keep the grandkids close - you can put 2 additional residences on this property! Home features a metal roof, RV Hook-up for family and friends, 3 large bedrooms with WIC's, huge kitchen, generator wired to house, storage shed, dog/child fenced area and beautiful screened porch. This is on a paved road and No Flood Zone! Just around the corner for Hodor Park with POA membership giving residents access to 3 parks on the clear Ichetucknee River, 2 private boat ramps on the Santa Fe River and several parks for member use in Columbia and Suwannee Counties. This is a must see!

  27. 2024-08-29
    price $225,000 645-char remark
    Show marketing remark (645 chars)

    Immaculate DWMH on 3 lots in Three Rivers Estates! Bring grandma or keep the grandkids close - you can put 2 additional residences on this property! Home features a metal roof, RV Hook-up for family and friends, 3 large bedrooms with WIC's, huge kitchen, generator wired to house, storage shed, dog/child fenced area and beautiful screened porch. This is on a paved road and No Flood Zone! Just around the corner for Hodor Park with POA membership giving residents access to 3 parks on the clear Ichetucknee River, 2 private boat ramps on the Santa Fe River and several parks for member use in Columbia and Suwannee Counties. This is a must see!

  28. 2024-07-30
    listed $229,000 Active 645-char remark
    Show marketing remark (645 chars)

    Immaculate DWMH on 3 lots in Three Rivers Estates! Bring grandma or keep the grandkids close - you can put 2 additional residences on this property! Home features a metal roof, RV Hook-up for family and friends, 3 large bedrooms with WIC's, huge kitchen, generator wired to house, storage shed, dog/child fenced area and beautiful screened porch. This is on a paved road and No Flood Zone! Just around the corner for Hodor Park with POA membership giving residents access to 3 parks on the clear Ichetucknee River, 2 private boat ramps on the Santa Fe River and several parks for member use in Columbia and Suwannee Counties. This is a must see!

  29. 2003-01-21
    soldstatus $65,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$919 · $77/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,278 · $190/mo
Expected delta
+$1,360/yr (+$113/mo · 148.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,313
− Mortgage interest
−$15,376
− Property taxes
−$919
− Insurance
−$1,372
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,545
− Management
−$1,545
− Depreciation
−$7,985
Taxable loss
−$9,430
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,263
After-tax cash flow
$-2,045/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Columbia
NCES district ID
1200360
Math proficiency
53% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$40,053
Composite
44.74/100
National rank
#2750
State rank
#25 of 73 in FL

Livability — Fort White

Score
69/100
State rank
#463
US rank
#8360

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,035

Population outlook (Columbia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,129 people
By 2030
67,501 · -0.9%
By 2040
65,465 · -3.9%
By 2050
63,058 · -7.4%
By 2075
56,291 · -17.4%
By 2100
45,243 · -33.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Columbia

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.2) · D 24.6% · R 74.7%
2008→2024 swing
-16.4pp toward R · 2008: -33.8pp · 2024: -50.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.2 2020: R+45.2 2016: R+44.5 2012: R+36.7 2008: R+33.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 57.72%
Current HPI
384.5816
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+296.9% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Sold (MLS) $258,000 NFMLS
  • 2026-03-08 Price Changed $270,500 NFMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $278,900 NFMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $284,900 NFMLS
  • 2025-10-23 Listed $289,000 NFMLS
  • 2025-10-14 Listed $274,500 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2025-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
  • 2025-02-04 Relisted NFMLS
  • 2025-02-02 Sold (MLS) $210,000 NFMLS
  • 2024-08-29 Relisted NFMLS
  • 2024-08-29 Price Changed $225,000 NFMLS
  • 2024-07-30 Listed $229,000 NFMLS
  • 2003-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $919 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…