6247 Coniston St · North Port, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.9/30.0
- ARV discount +8.4/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Darling home just a short drive from Englewood Beach and very close to new Publix shopping center. Bright and open floor plan with a huge Florida room (not in square footage) across back of house. Big back yard, area has sidewalks, underground utilities, and city sewer. Garage is 300 sq ft. Being sold AS IS! Seller never occupied but says roof and A/C are newer. A few pieces of furniture will rem
Key facts
- Big back yard
- Large lanai
- Renovated bath
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.23 acres; Zoned RSF3.5
- HOA & community: Homeowners association (Garden Of Gulf Cove POA Inc.) with required annual fee ($470); Monthly HOA approximately $39.17; Association approval required; Community pool; Deed restrictions; Pets not allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces northwest
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built on one level
- Exterior features: Hurricane shutters; Asphalt road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-340 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $120k (33.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $179k (0.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $120k (33.4% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.6% in North Port — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#252 in FL, #3,975 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 2188 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $135k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.05%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $183,600
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13265 Fowler Ave | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 918 (0%) | 2mo | $126,000 | $137 | 89 |
| 13100 S Mccall Rd #147 | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 892 (-3%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $157 | 67 |
| 6398 Granger Rd | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 918 (0%) | 22mo | $240,000 | $261 | 66 |
| 13366 Bronze Ave | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 | 1,050 (+14%) | 4mo | $209,999 | $200 | 62 |
| 13100 S Mccall Rd #122 | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 | 832 (-9%) | 2mo | $115,000 | $138 | 61 |
| 13100 S Mccall Rd #163 | 0.54mi | 2/2.0 | 832 (-9%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $156 | 55 |
| 13503 Longwood Ave | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 | 894 (-3%) | 21mo | $255,000 | $285 | 55 |
| 6543 Coliseum Blvd | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,006 (+10%) | 14mo | $250,000 | $249 | 55 |
| 13562 Bennett Dr | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 998 (+9%) | 8mo | $210,000 | $210 | 48 |
| 5546 Montego Ln | 0.75mi | 2/2.0 | 1,001 (+9%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $170 | 47 |
| 13577 Bennett Dr | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 918 (0%) | 23mo | $239,900 | $261 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.29% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -26.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.08×
- Total profit
- $-46,258
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- -14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.03×
- Total profit
- $-48,629
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33981
- Home prices YoY
- -7.5%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 2188
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,793 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$273 /mo · $3,272/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$39
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $-340
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-238 | -5% $-289 | +0% $-340 | +5% $-391 | +10% $-442 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-482 | -5% $-411 | +0% $-340 | +5% $-269 | +10% $-199 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-250 | -0.5pp $-295 | base $-340 | +0.5pp $-387 | +1.0pp $-434 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6628 Thorman Rd Port Charlotte, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,800 | $1.61 | 21d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 13100 S McCall Rd Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 832 | $1,300 | $1.56 | 21d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 5498 Montego Ln Port Charlotte, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,695 | $1.58 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $39 · $468/yr
- Likely covers
- sewer
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 570-char remark
-
2026-06-18$179,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,272 · $273/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,272 · $273/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,513
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$3,272
- − Insurance
- −$6,018
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,721
- − Management
- −$1,721
- − HOA
- −$468
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$6,998
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,679
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,404/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Port
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #252
- US rank
- #3975
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Charlotte County · 196,994 people
- City population
- 10,490
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,622
- Household income
- $84,098
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 105.0
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -28.09%
- Current HPI
- 346.5247
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.29%
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+526.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $179,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2005-04-27 Sold (MLS) $135,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-03-19 Listed $139,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1980-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $39,700 Public Records
- 1979-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,700 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.4%/yrLatest (2025): $3,272 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…