1320 Highway 154 · Sharpsburg, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.3/30.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this cute bungalow in the heart of Sharpsburg. Wonderfully renovated kitchen with quartz countertops, island, stainless steel appliances and eat-in area. 2 beautifully updated bathrooms with double vanities, glass shower and fog less mirrors. 3 nice sized bedrooms and large living room. Over an acre lot with horseshoe driveway. Fantastic location: close to shopping, restaurants with easy access to the interstate.
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Glass shower
- Renovated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Near schools; Near shopping; Near trails/greenway
Exterior
- Parking: Four total parking spaces; Driveway parking; Open parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available
- Home design: One level; Resale property
- Construction: Stucco exterior; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built on a parcel described as H/1.145AC LL 65 6LD
- Exterior features: Private entrance; Private yard; Front porch; Paved road access; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: White cabinets; Keeping room; Kitchen island; Stone counters; Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bath with double vanity and shower (no tub)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Double vanity; Recessed lighting; No common walls
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-112 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $280k (6.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (22.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $231k (22.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.9% in Sharpsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#480 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, employment B; Watch: housing D, amenities F, commute F.
- Coweta County (rural): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #36 of 174 in GA (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Willis Road Elementary (math 39% / reading 45%, grade F, #380 of 1,228 statewide, top 33%, 725 students, 23% FRL); Lee Middle School (math 35% / reading 47%, grade F, #135 of 470 statewide, top 29%, 743 students, 34% FRL); East Coweta High School (math 22% / reading 38%, grade F, #135 of 424 statewide, top 32%, 3,212 students, 30% FRL).
- Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 963 units permitted in Coweta County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Coweta County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 13233% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $109k; list at $300k implies a 175% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.60%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $365,901
- List price
- $300,000
- Delta
- -18.01%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85 Beaver Creek Run | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,746 (-7%) | 10mo | $294,500 | $169 | 74 |
| 131 Glenn Winkles Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,725 (-8%) | 22mo | $429,900 | $249 | 61 |
| 31 Pecan Lake Ct | 0.37mi | 3/3.0 | 2,023 (+7%) | 12mo | $407,500 | $201 | 56 |
| 120 Emory Phillips Rd | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,846 (-2%) | 15mo | $345,000 | $187 | 55 |
| 65 Cold Harbor Ct | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,980 (+5%) | 11mo | $415,000 | $210 | 53 |
| 25 Bedford Forrest Dr | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 2,059 (+9%) | 20mo | $405,000 | $197 | 48 |
| 356 Emory Phillips Rd | 0.63mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,957 (+4%) | 16mo | $417,500 | $213 | 42 |
| 80 Bedford Forrest Dr | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,127 (+13%) | 20mo | $450,000 | $212 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-55,788
- Equity at exit
- $44,731
- IRR
- -11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-57,950
- Equity at exit
- $25,939
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30277
- Home prices YoY
- -30.9%
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,312 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$240 /mo · $2,885/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$486
- Net cashflow
- $-112
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $58 | -5% $-27 | +0% $-112 | +5% $-197 | +10% $-282 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-295 | -5% $-203 | +0% $-112 | +5% $-21 | +10% $71 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $39 | -0.5pp $-36 | base $-112 | +0.5pp $-190 | +1.0pp $-269 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94 Malvern Hl Sharpsburg, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1583 | $2,250 | $1.42 | 7d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 41 Sandstone Ln Sharpsburg, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1245 | $1,995 | $1.60 | 19d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 200 Masters Way Newnan, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1755 | $2,295 | $1.31 | 7d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 39 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $300,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $300,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $300,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $300,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $300,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $300,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $300,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $300,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $300,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $300,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $300,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $300,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $300,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $300,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-17$2,250
-
2026-05-16historical $2,250
-
2026-05-07$2,250
-
2026-05-07$300,000 Active 437-char remark
-
2026-03-13historical
-
2026-02-23price $279,900
-
2026-01-27price $284,900
-
2025-12-08$289,000 Price Change
-
2025-07-27historical $2,350
-
2025-05-07$2,350
-
2025-04-04historical
-
2025-03-22status Price Change
-
2025-03-22price $299,900
-
2025-03-14historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-02-27price $309,900
-
2025-02-14price $319,900
-
2025-01-23price $329,900
-
2024-12-27price $339,900
-
2024-11-11$349,900 New
-
2023-10-06historical
-
2023-09-20$159,900 New
-
2023-09-13soldstatus $108,966 Sold
-
2023-08-23status Under Contract
-
2023-08-19price $133,000
-
2023-07-20$143,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,885 · $240/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,885 · $240/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,749
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$2,885
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,220
- − Management
- −$2,220
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable loss
- −$6,609
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,586
- After-tax cash flow
- $243/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coweta County
- NCES district ID
- 1301500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,978
- Composite
- 35.72/100
- National rank
- #4860
- State rank
- #36 of 174 in GA
Livability — Sharpsburg
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #480
- US rank
- #22425
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Coweta County · 148,589 people
- City population
- 21,641
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,641
- Household income
- $120,379
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 35.0
Population outlook (Coweta County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 162,063 people
- By 2030
- 173,373 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 194,658 · +20.1%
- By 2050
- 212,246 · +31.0%
- By 2075
- 246,544 · +52.1%
- By 2100
- 257,059 · +58.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Black 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Coweta
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.7% · R 66.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.3pp toward D · 2008: -41.2pp · 2024: -33.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.9 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+42.3 2012: R+44.1 2008: R+41.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.01%
- Current HPI
- 244.3598
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-98.4% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Listed for Rent $2,250 SHOWMOJO
- 2026-05-16 Rental Removed $2,250 SHOWMOJO
- 2026-05-07 Listed for Rent $2,250 SHOWMOJO
- 2026-05-07 Listed $300,000 FMLS
- 2026-03-13 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2026-02-23 Price Changed $279,900 GAMLS
- 2026-01-27 Price Changed $284,900 GAMLS
- 2025-12-08 Listed $289,000 GAMLS
- 2025-07-27 Rental Removed $2,350 Simplifyem
- 2025-05-07 Listed for Rent $2,350 Simplifyem
- 2025-04-04 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-03-22 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2025-03-22 Price Changed $299,900 GAMLS
- 2025-03-14 Contingent — GAMLS
- 2025-02-27 Price Changed $309,900 GAMLS
- 2025-02-14 Price Changed $319,900 GAMLS
- 2025-01-23 Price Changed $329,900 GAMLS
- 2024-12-27 Price Changed $339,900 GAMLS
- 2024-11-11 Listed $349,900 GAMLS
- 2023-10-06 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2023-09-20 Listed $159,900 GAMLS
- 2023-09-13 Sold (MLS) $108,966 GAMLS
- 2023-08-23 Pending — GAMLS
- 2023-08-19 Price Changed $133,000 GAMLS
- 2023-07-20 Listed $143,000 GAMLS
Property tax history
+9.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,885 · +185.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…