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1320 Highway 154
D Composite 43.63
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.3/30.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$300,000

1320 Highway 154 · Sharpsburg, GA 30277
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,886 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1935 1.15 ac lot $159/sqft · 18% below area Est $366k · 18% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to this cute bungalow in the heart of Sharpsburg. Wonderfully renovated kitchen with quartz countertops, island, stainless steel appliances and eat-in area. 2 beautifully updated bathrooms with double vanities, glass shower and fog less mirrors. 3 nice sized bedrooms and large living room. Over an acre lot with horseshoe driveway. Fantastic location: close to shopping, restaurants with easy access to the interstate.

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Glass shower
  • Renovated kitchen

Tags

RENOVATED KITCHENQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESDOUBLE VANITIESGLASS SHOWERHORSESHOE DRIVEWAY

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Near schools; Near shopping; Near trails/greenway

Exterior

  • Parking: Four total parking spaces; Driveway parking; Open parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available
  • Home design: One level; Resale property
  • Construction: Stucco exterior; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built on a parcel described as H/1.145AC LL 65 6LD
  • Exterior features: Private entrance; Private yard; Front porch; Paved road access; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: White cabinets; Keeping room; Kitchen island; Stone counters; Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Luxury vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bath with double vanity and shower (no tub)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Double vanity; Recessed lighting; No common walls
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the kitchen

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-112 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $280k (6.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (22.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $231k (22.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.9% in Sharpsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#480 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, employment B; Watch: housing D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Coweta County (rural): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #36 of 174 in GA (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Willis Road Elementary (math 39% / reading 45%, grade F, #380 of 1,228 statewide, top 33%, 725 students, 23% FRL); Lee Middle School (math 35% / reading 47%, grade F, #135 of 470 statewide, top 29%, 743 students, 34% FRL); East Coweta High School (math 22% / reading 38%, grade F, #135 of 424 statewide, top 32%, 3,212 students, 30% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 963 units permitted in Coweta County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Coweta County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 13233% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $109k; list at $300k implies a 175% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $231,239 (22.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.85%
Cash-on-cash
-1.60%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$365,901
List price
$300,000
Delta
-18.01%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
85 Beaver Creek Run 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,746 (-7%) 10mo $294,500 $169 74
131 Glenn Winkles Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,725 (-8%) 22mo $429,900 $249 61
31 Pecan Lake Ct 0.37mi 3/3.0 2,023 (+7%) 12mo $407,500 $201 56
120 Emory Phillips Rd 0.51mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,846 (-2%) 15mo $345,000 $187 55
65 Cold Harbor Ct 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,980 (+5%) 11mo $415,000 $210 53
25 Bedford Forrest Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 2,059 (+9%) 20mo $405,000 $197 48
356 Emory Phillips Rd 0.63mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,957 (+4%) 16mo $417,500 $213 42
80 Bedford Forrest Dr 0.50mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,127 (+13%) 20mo $450,000 $212 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.0%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-55,788
Equity at exit
$44,731
10-year hold
IRR
-11.5%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-57,950
Equity at exit
$25,939

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30277

Home prices YoY
-30.9%
Active inventory
173
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,312 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$240 /mo · $2,885/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$486
Net cashflow
$-112

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,454
Max offer price $280,232
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $58 -5% $-27 +0% $-112 +5% $-197 +10% $-282
Rent -10% $-295 -5% $-203 +0% $-112 +5% $-21 +10% $71
Rate -1.0pp $39 -0.5pp $-36 base $-112 +0.5pp $-190 +1.0pp $-269

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
94 Malvern Hl Sharpsburg, GA 3.0 2.0 1583 $2,250 $1.42 7d 1 0.68mi
41 Sandstone Ln Sharpsburg, GA 3.0 2.0 1245 $1,995 $1.60 19d 1 1.20mi
200 Masters Way Newnan, GA 3.0 2.0 1755 $2,295 $1.31 7d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $300,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $300,000 Active 40 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $300,000 Active 39 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $300,000 Active 38 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $300,000 Active 37 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $300,000 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $300,000 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $300,000 Active 30 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $300,000 Active 29 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $300,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $300,000 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $300,000 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $300,000 Active 23 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $300,000 Active 22 DOM
  15. 2026-05-17
    listed $2,250
  16. 2026-05-16
    historical $2,250
  17. 2026-05-07
    listed $2,250
  18. 2026-05-07
    listed $300,000 Active 437-char remark
  19. 2026-03-13
    historical
  20. 2026-02-23
    price $279,900
  21. 2026-01-27
    price $284,900
  22. 2025-12-08
    listed $289,000 Price Change
  23. 2025-07-27
    historical $2,350
  24. 2025-05-07
    listed $2,350
  25. 2025-04-04
    historical
  26. 2025-03-22
    status Price Change
  27. 2025-03-22
    price $299,900
  28. 2025-03-14
    historical Active Under Contract
  29. 2025-02-27
    price $309,900
  30. 2025-02-14
    price $319,900
  31. 2025-01-23
    price $329,900
  32. 2024-12-27
    price $339,900
  33. 2024-11-11
    listed $349,900 New
  34. 2023-10-06
    historical
  35. 2023-09-20
    listed $159,900 New
  36. 2023-09-13
    soldstatus $108,966 Sold
  37. 2023-08-23
    status Under Contract
  38. 2023-08-19
    price $133,000
  39. 2023-07-20
    listed $143,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,885 · $240/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,885 · $240/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,749
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$2,885
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,220
− Management
−$2,220
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$6,609
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,586
After-tax cash flow
$243/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Coweta County
NCES district ID
1301500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$62,978
Composite
35.72/100
National rank
#4860
State rank
#36 of 174 in GA

Livability — Sharpsburg

Score
56/100
State rank
#480
US rank
#22425

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B Housing D Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Coweta County · 148,589 people
City population
21,641
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
21,641
Household income
$120,379
Rent vs Own
6.8% rent · 93.2% own
Severe rent burden
35.0

Population outlook (Coweta County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
162,063 people
By 2030
173,373 · +7.0%
By 2040
194,658 · +20.1%
By 2050
212,246 · +31.0%
By 2075
246,544 · +52.1%
By 2100
257,059 · +58.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Black 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Coweta

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.7% · R 66.6%
2008→2024 swing
+7.3pp toward D · 2008: -41.2pp · 2024: -33.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.9 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+42.3 2012: R+44.1 2008: R+41.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -109.01%
Current HPI
244.3598
Rent YoY
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-98.4% since first listed
25 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Listed for Rent $2,250 SHOWMOJO
  • 2026-05-16 Rental Removed $2,250 SHOWMOJO
  • 2026-05-07 Listed for Rent $2,250 SHOWMOJO
  • 2026-05-07 Listed $300,000 FMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $279,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-01-27 Price Changed $284,900 GAMLS
  • 2025-12-08 Listed $289,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-07-27 Rental Removed $2,350 Simplifyem
  • 2025-05-07 Listed for Rent $2,350 Simplifyem
  • 2025-04-04 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-03-22 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2025-03-22 Price Changed $299,900 GAMLS
  • 2025-03-14 Contingent GAMLS
  • 2025-02-27 Price Changed $309,900 GAMLS
  • 2025-02-14 Price Changed $319,900 GAMLS
  • 2025-01-23 Price Changed $329,900 GAMLS
  • 2024-12-27 Price Changed $339,900 GAMLS
  • 2024-11-11 Listed $349,900 GAMLS
  • 2023-10-06 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2023-09-20 Listed $159,900 GAMLS
  • 2023-09-13 Sold (MLS) $108,966 GAMLS
  • 2023-08-23 Pending GAMLS
  • 2023-08-19 Price Changed $133,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-07-20 Listed $143,000 GAMLS

Property tax history

+9.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,885 · +185.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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