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4420 N Sunset Dr
D+ Composite 46.96
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.7/30.0
  • Schools +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$325,000

4420 N Sunset Dr · Emmaus, PA 18036
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,044 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1963 0.49 ac lot Est $375k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home to this well-maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch situated on a level corner lot in a quiet neighborhood within the desirable Southern Lehigh School District. This home features a spacious 2-car garage, beautiful hardscaped walkways, and a relaxing gazebo perfect for outdoor enjoyment. Inside, you'll find hardwood floors under the carpet ready to be uncovered, along with vinyl replacement windows and a durable metal roof for added peace of mind. Convenient one-floor living with endless potential, this home is ready for its new owner to make it their own! Open House Sunday 5/31 from 12pm-2pm. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Metal roof
  • Hardscaped walkways
  • Level corner lot

Tags

LEVEL CORNER LOTHARDSCAPED WALKWAYSRELAXING GAZEBOHARDWOOD FLOORSVINYL REPLACEMENT WINDOWSMETAL ROOF

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership is fee simple

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached front-entry garage with 2 garage spaces; Off-street parking available
  • Utilities: Well water; On-site septic system; Electric service
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; Metal roof
  • Construction: Brick construction; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built year source: Assessor
  • Exterior features: Corner, level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 88 x 121 feet

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; Master bedroom; Two additional main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Carpeted areas
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard hot water heating; Oil-fired heating and hot water; Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Full basement; Basement footprint covers entire house; Living room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-94 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $308k (5.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $258k (20.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $258k (20.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.4% in Emmaus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#61 in PA, #424 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, cost of living A+; Watch: commute F.
  • Southern Lehigh SD (suburban): math 60% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #25 of 539 in PA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $258,051 (20.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
5.94%
Cash-on-cash
-1.24%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
10.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$374,796
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4505 N Sunset Dr 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,154 (+10%) 23mo $350,000 $303 60
4468 S Sunset Dr 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,170 (+12%) 19mo $420,000 $359 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.4%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-58,696
Equity at exit
$48,459
10-year hold
IRR
-10.7%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-58,964
Equity at exit
$28,100

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18036

Home prices YoY
-26.5%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
10.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,581 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$293 /mo · $3,517/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$542
Net cashflow
$-94

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,700
Max offer price $308,353
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $90 -5% $-2 +0% $-94 +5% $-186 +10% $-278
Rent -10% $-298 -5% $-196 +0% $-94 +5% $8 +10% $110
Rate -1.0pp $69 -0.5pp $-12 base $-94 +0.5pp $-178 +1.0pp $-264

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,250
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    statusdays on market $325,000 Pending 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    remarks 663-char remark
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $325,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $325,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $325,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-05-28
    listed $325,000 Active 638-char remark
    Show marketing remark (638 chars)

    Welcome home to this well-maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch situated on a level corner lot in a quiet neighborhood within the desirable Southern Lehigh School District. This home features a spacious 2-car garage, beautiful hardscaped walkways, and a relaxing gazebo perfect for outdoor enjoyment. Inside, you'll find hardwood floors under the carpet ready to be uncovered, along with vinyl replacement windows and a durable metal roof for added peace of mind. Convenient one-floor living with endless potential, this home is ready for its new owner to make it their own! Open House Sunday 5/31 from 12pm-2pm. Schedule your showing today!

  7. 2026-05-28
    listed $325,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (638 chars)

    Welcome home to this well-maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch situated on a level corner lot in a quiet neighborhood within the desirable Southern Lehigh School District. This home features a spacious 2-car garage, beautiful hardscaped walkways, and a relaxing gazebo perfect for outdoor enjoyment. Inside, you'll find hardwood floors under the carpet ready to be uncovered, along with vinyl replacement windows and a durable metal roof for added peace of mind. Convenient one-floor living with endless potential, this home is ready for its new owner to make it their own! Open House Sunday 5/31 from 12pm-2pm. Schedule your showing today!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,517 · $293/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,326 · $360/mo
Expected delta
+$809/yr (+$67/mo · 23.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,966
− Mortgage interest
−$18,205
− Property taxes
−$3,517
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,477
− Management
−$2,477
− Depreciation
−$9,455
Taxable loss
−$6,790
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,630
After-tax cash flow
$499/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Southern Lehigh SD
NCES district ID
4222350
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
76% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$82,600
Composite
60.76/100
National rank
#823
State rank
#25 of 539 in PA

Livability — Emmaus

Score
86/100
State rank
#61
US rank
#424

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lehigh County · 333,019 people
City population
18,941
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
Population (ZIP)
15,581
Household income
$129,123
Rent vs Own
11.1% rent · 88.9% own
Severe rent burden
154.0

Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,957 people
By 2030
408,319 · +3.9%
By 2040
440,007 · +12.0%
By 2050
475,940 · +21.1%
By 2075
590,448 · +50.3%
By 2100
690,314 · +75.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 3% Polish 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.91%
Current HPI
276.798
Rent YoY
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $325,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $325,000 GLVRMLS

Property tax history

+1.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,517 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…