4420 N Sunset Dr · Emmaus, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.5/15.0
- Cash flow +11.7/30.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$325,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home to this well-maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch situated on a level corner lot in a quiet neighborhood within the desirable Southern Lehigh School District. This home features a spacious 2-car garage, beautiful hardscaped walkways, and a relaxing gazebo perfect for outdoor enjoyment. Inside, you'll find hardwood floors under the carpet ready to be uncovered, along with vinyl replacement windows and a durable metal roof for added peace of mind. Convenient one-floor living with endless potential, this home is ready for its new owner to make it their own! Open House Sunday 5/31 from 12pm-2pm. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Metal roof
- Hardscaped walkways
- Level corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Ownership is fee simple
Exterior
- Parking: Attached front-entry garage with 2 garage spaces; Off-street parking available
- Utilities: Well water; On-site septic system; Electric service
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Metal roof
- Construction: Brick construction; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built year source: Assessor
- Exterior features: Corner, level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 88 x 121 feet
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level; Master bedroom; Two additional main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Carpeted areas
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard hot water heating; Oil-fired heating and hot water; Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Full basement; Basement footprint covers entire house; Living room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-94 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $308k (5.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $258k (20.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $258k (20.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.4% in Emmaus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#61 in PA, #424 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, cost of living A+; Watch: commute F.
- Southern Lehigh SD (suburban): math 60% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #25 of 539 in PA (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.24%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 10.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $374,796
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4505 N Sunset Dr | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,154 (+10%) | 23mo | $350,000 | $303 | 60 |
| 4468 S Sunset Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,170 (+12%) | 19mo | $420,000 | $359 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-58,696
- Equity at exit
- $48,459
- IRR
- -10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.35×
- Total profit
- $-58,964
- Equity at exit
- $28,100
Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18036
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 10.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,581 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,704
- Tax from tax record
- −$293 /mo · $3,517/yr
- Insurance
- −$135
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$542
- Net cashflow
- $-94
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $90 | -5% $-2 | +0% $-94 | +5% $-186 | +10% $-278 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-298 | -5% $-196 | +0% $-94 | +5% $8 | +10% $110 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $69 | -0.5pp $-12 | base $-94 | +0.5pp $-178 | +1.0pp $-264 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $81,250
- Closing costs
- $9,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-02statusdays on market $325,000 Pending 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 663-char remark
-
2026-06-01days on market $325,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $325,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $325,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-28$325,000 Active 638-char remark
Show marketing remark (638 chars)
Welcome home to this well-maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch situated on a level corner lot in a quiet neighborhood within the desirable Southern Lehigh School District. This home features a spacious 2-car garage, beautiful hardscaped walkways, and a relaxing gazebo perfect for outdoor enjoyment. Inside, you'll find hardwood floors under the carpet ready to be uncovered, along with vinyl replacement windows and a durable metal roof for added peace of mind. Convenient one-floor living with endless potential, this home is ready for its new owner to make it their own! Open House Sunday 5/31 from 12pm-2pm. Schedule your showing today!
-
2026-05-28$325,000 Active
Show marketing remark (638 chars)
Welcome home to this well-maintained 3 bedroom, 1 bath ranch situated on a level corner lot in a quiet neighborhood within the desirable Southern Lehigh School District. This home features a spacious 2-car garage, beautiful hardscaped walkways, and a relaxing gazebo perfect for outdoor enjoyment. Inside, you'll find hardwood floors under the carpet ready to be uncovered, along with vinyl replacement windows and a durable metal roof for added peace of mind. Convenient one-floor living with endless potential, this home is ready for its new owner to make it their own! Open House Sunday 5/31 from 12pm-2pm. Schedule your showing today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,517 · $293/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,326 · $360/mo
- Expected delta
- +$809/yr (+$67/mo · 23.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,966
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,205
- − Property taxes
- −$3,517
- − Insurance
- −$1,625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,477
- − Management
- −$2,477
- − Depreciation
- −$9,455
- Taxable loss
- −$6,790
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,630
- After-tax cash flow
- $499/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southern Lehigh SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222350
- Math proficiency
- 60% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 76% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $82,600
- Composite
- 60.76/100
- National rank
- #823
- State rank
- #25 of 539 in PA
Livability — Emmaus
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #61
- US rank
- #424
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Lehigh County · 333,019 people
- City population
- 18,941
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,581
- Household income
- $129,123
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 154.0
Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,957 people
- By 2030
- 408,319 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 440,007 · +12.0%
- By 2050
- 475,940 · +21.1%
- By 2075
- 590,448 · +50.3%
- By 2100
- 690,314 · +75.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 3% Polish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -99.91%
- Current HPI
- 276.798
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $325,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-28 Listed $325,000 GLVRMLS
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2026): $3,517 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…