6865 Kimberly Mill Rd · South Fulton, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$184,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Split-level home offering a spacious layout and strong potential for customization. The main level features a living room, dining area, and kitchen with access to the rear deck overlooking the backyard. Upstairs includes the primary bedroom, an additional bedroom, and a full bathroom. The lower level offers a large recreation room, two additional bedrooms, and a utility/laundry area with interior access to the two-car garage. The home sits on a large lot with a private backyard surrounded by mature trees and plenty of space for outdoor use. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, parks, and major roadways.
Key facts
- Private backyard
- Large lot
- Utility laundry area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $184k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $184k).
- Recommended offer: $167k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.6% in South Fulton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 651 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.9% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $10k; list at $184k implies a 1740% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.59%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $240,089
- List price
- $184,000
- Delta
- -23.36%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3088 Forestside Ct | 0.05mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,054 (+3%) | 22mo | $165,000 | $157 | 66 |
| 6900 Kimberly Mill Rd | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 | 1,118 (+10%) | 17mo | $229,000 | $205 | 66 |
| 100 Spicewood Ct | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,020 (0%) | 8mo | $200,000 | $196 | 63 |
| 2800 Greenbower Ct | 0.63mi | 4/3.0 | 1,054 (+3%) | 7mo | $208,000 | $197 | 55 |
| 6945 Brown Dr S | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,130 (+11%) | 13mo | $190,000 | $168 | 51 |
| 6949 Merrywood Dr | 0.39mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,150 (+13%) | 20mo | $205,000 | $178 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 0.95% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.11×
- Total profit
- $108,935
- Equity at exit
- $165,762
- IRR
- 22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.90×
- Total profit
- $303,826
- Equity at exit
- $357,472
Cash invested: $51,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30349
- Home prices YoY
- 4.6%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 651
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,916 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$965
- Tax from tax record
- −$275 /mo · $3,305/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$402
- Net cashflow
- $197
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,000
- Closing costs
- $5,520
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7045 Birling Dr Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1488 | $1,765 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 7060 Kimberly Mill Rd Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,425 | $1.35 | 5d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3500 Keels Ln Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1272 | $1,755 | $1.38 | 2d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 6500 Connell Rd Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1483 | $1,650 | $1.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3206 Pine Tree Trl Unit 15C Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1466 | $1,950 | $1.33 | 4d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 6440 Connell Rd Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1391 | $1,695 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 6445 Connell Rd Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $1,856 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2820 Greenbower Ct Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1338 | $1,730 | $1.29 | 4d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 325 Pointer Ct Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,620 | $1.10 | 5d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3800 Leisure Ln Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1198 | $2,350 | $1.96 | 22d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 6450 Peppermill Ln Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,531 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 2560 Foxlair Trl Atlanta, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1485 | $1,795 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 2550 Hallie Mill Rd Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1372 | $1,600 | $1.17 | 13d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 110 Fruitwood Trce Unit A Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,800 | $1.64 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 6345 Peppermill Ln Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1224 | $1,800 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 6415 El Caudillo Ct Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1498 | $2,800 | $1.87 | 4d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3105 Garnet Way Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $1,660 | $1.13 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 145 W Village Ct Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1284 | $1,865 | $1.45 | 5d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2405 Wood Bend Ln Riverdale, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1396 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2667 Rocky Ct Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1432 | $2,200 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 6770 Buffington Rd Union City, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,699 | $1.79 | 2d | 24 | 1.27mi |
| 855 Old Rocky Rd Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1310 | $1,710 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 6560 Emerald Pointe Cir Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1309 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 6090 Emerald Pointe Cir Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,875 | $1.56 | 19d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 45 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $184,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $184,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $184,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $184,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-13pricedays on market $184,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $190,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $190,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $190,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $190,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $190,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $190,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $190,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-05-15price $190,000 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Split-level home offering a spacious layout and strong potential for customization. The main level features a living room, dining area, and kitchen with access to the rear deck overlooking the backyard. Upstairs includes the primary bedroom, an additional bedroom, and a full bathroom. The lower level offers a large recreation room, two additional bedrooms, and a utility/laundry area with interior access to the two-car garage. The home sits on a large lot with a private backyard surrounded by mature trees and plenty of space for outdoor use. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, parks, and major roadways.
-
2026-05-15price $190,000 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Split-level home offering a spacious layout and strong potential for customization. The main level features a living room, dining area, and kitchen with access to the rear deck overlooking the backyard. Upstairs includes the primary bedroom, an additional bedroom, and a full bathroom. The lower level offers a large recreation room, two additional bedrooms, and a utility/laundry area with interior access to the two-car garage. The home sits on a large lot with a private backyard surrounded by mature trees and plenty of space for outdoor use. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, parks, and major roadways.
-
2026-04-10price $196,000 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Split-level home offering a spacious layout and strong potential for customization. The main level features a living room, dining area, and kitchen with access to the rear deck overlooking the backyard. Upstairs includes the primary bedroom, an additional bedroom, and a full bathroom. The lower level offers a large recreation room, two additional bedrooms, and a utility/laundry area with interior access to the two-car garage. The home sits on a large lot with a private backyard surrounded by mature trees and plenty of space for outdoor use. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, parks, and major roadways.
-
2026-04-10price $196,000 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Split-level home offering a spacious layout and strong potential for customization. The main level features a living room, dining area, and kitchen with access to the rear deck overlooking the backyard. Upstairs includes the primary bedroom, an additional bedroom, and a full bathroom. The lower level offers a large recreation room, two additional bedrooms, and a utility/laundry area with interior access to the two-car garage. The home sits on a large lot with a private backyard surrounded by mature trees and plenty of space for outdoor use. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, parks, and major roadways.
-
2026-03-12$200,000 New 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Split-level home offering a spacious layout and strong potential for customization. The main level features a living room, dining area, and kitchen with access to the rear deck overlooking the backyard. Upstairs includes the primary bedroom, an additional bedroom, and a full bathroom. The lower level offers a large recreation room, two additional bedrooms, and a utility/laundry area with interior access to the two-car garage. The home sits on a large lot with a private backyard surrounded by mature trees and plenty of space for outdoor use. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, parks, and major roadways.
-
2026-03-12$200,000 Active 617-char remark
Show marketing remark (617 chars)
Split-level home offering a spacious layout and strong potential for customization. The main level features a living room, dining area, and kitchen with access to the rear deck overlooking the backyard. Upstairs includes the primary bedroom, an additional bedroom, and a full bathroom. The lower level offers a large recreation room, two additional bedrooms, and a utility/laundry area with interior access to the two-car garage. The home sits on a large lot with a private backyard surrounded by mature trees and plenty of space for outdoor use. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, parks, and major roadways.
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2025-07-21historical $1,920
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2025-07-18price $1,920
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2025-07-09price $1,990
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2025-07-05$2,075
-
2021-07-22soldstatus $10,000
-
2021-07-22soldstatus $10,000
-
2018-09-25status Pending
-
2018-09-25soldstatus $113,500
-
2018-09-20status Under Contract
-
2018-09-20soldstatus $113,500 Sold
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2018-09-20soldstatus $113,500 Sold
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2018-09-07price $125,000
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2018-08-22price $125,000
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2018-08-11price $132,000
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2018-08-03$142,500 New
-
2018-08-02$142,500 Active
-
2018-05-10soldstatus $76,000
-
2018-05-07soldstatus $76,000 Sold
-
2018-05-04soldstatus $76,000 Sold
-
2018-04-11status Under Contract
-
2018-04-11status Pending
-
2018-03-31$79,000 Active
-
2018-03-30$79,000 New
-
1999-03-22soldstatus $80,000
-
1991-11-20soldstatus $37,800
-
1991-11-05soldstatus $48,300
-
1991-03-20soldstatus $41,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,305 · $275/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,305 · $275/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,996
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,307
- − Property taxes
- −$3,305
- − Insurance
- −$920
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,840
- − Management
- −$1,840
- − Depreciation
- −$5,353
- Taxable loss
- −$568
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$136
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,499/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fulton County
- NCES district ID
- 1302280
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $68,035
- Composite
- 45.33/100
- National rank
- #2640
- State rank
- #12 of 174 in GA
Livability — South Fulton
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Fulton, GA
- County
- Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
- City population
- 127,674
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 79,872
- Household income
- $67,023
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4258.0
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,203,707 people
- By 2030
- 1,299,706 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 1,488,256 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 1,664,580 · +38.3%
- By 2075
- 2,036,072 · +69.2%
- By 2100
- 2,222,402 · +84.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4% White 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 18.01%
- Current HPI
- 407.99
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.95%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+360.0% since first listed33 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $190,000 GAMLS
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $190,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $196,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $196,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $200,000 FMLS
- 2026-03-12 Listed $200,000 GAMLS
- 2025-07-21 Rental Removed $1,920 RENTLY
- 2025-07-18 Price Changed $1,920 RENTLY
- 2025-07-09 Price Changed $1,990 RENTLY
- 2025-07-05 Listed for Rent $2,075 RENTLY
- 2021-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 2021-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
- 2018-09-25 Pending — FMLS
- 2018-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $113,500 Public Records
- 2018-09-20 Pending — GAMLS
- 2018-09-20 Sold (MLS) $113,500 GAMLS
- 2018-09-20 Sold (MLS) $113,500 FMLS
- 2018-09-07 Price Changed $125,000 GAMLS
- 2018-08-22 Price Changed $125,000 FMLS
- 2018-08-11 Price Changed $132,000 FMLS
- 2018-08-03 Listed $142,500 GAMLS
- 2018-08-02 Listed $142,500 FMLS
- 2018-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
- 2018-05-07 Sold (MLS) $76,000 FMLS
- 2018-05-04 Sold (MLS) $76,000 GAMLS
- 2018-04-11 Pending — GAMLS
- 2018-04-11 Pending — FMLS
- 2018-03-31 Listed $79,000 FMLS
- 2018-03-30 Listed $79,000 GAMLS
- 1999-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
- 1991-11-20 Sold (Public Records) $37,800 Public Records
- 1991-11-05 Sold (Public Records) $48,300 Public Records
- 1991-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $41,300 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,305 · -0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…