🏷️ Likely Rental
8311 S State Highway 13 Lot 31 · Saratoga, WI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,942
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Pirco, a premier 5-star community for residents 55 and over. This beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is nestled on a desirable corner lot. Step inside and enjoy the open-concept layout featuring vaulted ceilings and an inviting living space. The kitchen is outfitted with oak cabinetry with a desk area and seamlessly connects to the living and dining areas. Just off the living room, a screened-in porch offers a tranquil spot to relax year-round. The master suite has a walk-in closet and a full-bath with a 4ft shower stall. Additional perks include a large carport, heating and air conditioning updated 3 years ago, and a newer metal roof with rain gutters. With a monthly lot rent of just $520.00 when paid on time, school tax is $38.77/month and monthly water and sewer fee is $25 (1person) or $45 (2person). Property is Broker Owned. This move-in ready gem offers comfort, convenience, and value in one package.
Key facts
- Built 1997
- Listed 72 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $574 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Wisconsin Rapids School District (town): math 28% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #274 of 342 in WI (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 122 units permitted in Wood County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wood County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.91% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.20%
- DSCR
- 2.57
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $99,942
- List price
- $69,942
- Delta
- -30.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 17 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8311 State Highway 13 Unit 12 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-1%) | 14mo | $53,000 | $44 | 81 |
| 8311 State Highway 13 South Lot 22 | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,280 (+5%) | 2mo | $99,942 | $78 | 79 |
| 8311 S State Highway 13 Unit P-24 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,280 (+5%) | 16mo | $64,424 | $50 | 73 |
| 8311 S State Highway 13 Unit P-1 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,120 (-8%) | 20mo | $35,924 | $32 | 65 |
| 8150 Sheila Ln | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,184 (-3%) | 12mo | $245,900 | $208 | 64 |
| 8431 S Highway 13 | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 | 1,096 (-10%) | 17mo | $165,000 | $151 | 59 |
| 8010 Sheila Ln | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 | 1,300 (+7%) | 17mo | $182,000 | $140 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $25,269
- Equity at exit
- $10,429
- IRR
- 38.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.53×
- Total profit
- $69,192
- Equity at exit
- $6,047
Cash invested: $19,584 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 54494
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,339 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$87 /mo · $1,049/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$281
- Net cashflow
- $574
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $623 | -5% $599 | +0% $574 | +5% $550 | +10% $526 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $469 | -5% $521 | +0% $574 | +5% $627 | +10% $680 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $610 | -0.5pp $592 | base $574 | +0.5pp $556 | +1.0pp $538 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,486
- Closing costs
- $2,098
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,942 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,942 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,942 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,942 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,942 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $69,942 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,942 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,942 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,942 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $69,942 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,942 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,942 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,942 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $69,942 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-07price $69,942 940-char remark
Show marketing remark (940 chars)
Welcome to Pirco, a premier 5-star community for residents 55 and over. This beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is nestled on a desirable corner lot. Step inside and enjoy the open-concept layout featuring vaulted ceilings and an inviting living space. The kitchen is outfitted with oak cabinetry with a desk area and seamlessly connects to the living and dining areas. Just off the living room, a screened-in porch offers a tranquil spot to relax year-round. The master suite has a walk-in closet and a full-bath with a 4ft shower stall. Additional perks include a large carport, heating and air conditioning updated 3 years ago, and a newer metal roof with rain gutters. With a monthly lot rent of just $520.00 when paid on time, school tax is $38.77/month and monthly water and sewer fee is $25 (1person) or $45 (2person). Property is Broker Owned. This move-in ready gem offers comfort, convenience, and value in one package.
-
2026-04-07$79,424 Active 940-char remark
Show marketing remark (940 chars)
Welcome to Pirco, a premier 5-star community for residents 55 and over. This beautifully maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home is nestled on a desirable corner lot. Step inside and enjoy the open-concept layout featuring vaulted ceilings and an inviting living space. The kitchen is outfitted with oak cabinetry with a desk area and seamlessly connects to the living and dining areas. Just off the living room, a screened-in porch offers a tranquil spot to relax year-round. The master suite has a walk-in closet and a full-bath with a 4ft shower stall. Additional perks include a large carport, heating and air conditioning updated 3 years ago, and a newer metal roof with rain gutters. With a monthly lot rent of just $520.00 when paid on time, school tax is $38.77/month and monthly water and sewer fee is $25 (1person) or $45 (2person). Property is Broker Owned. This move-in ready gem offers comfort, convenience, and value in one package.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,067
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,918
- − Property taxes
- −$1,049
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,285
- − Management
- −$1,285
- − Depreciation
- −$2,035
- Taxable income
- $6,145
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,475
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,418/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home requires moderate renovations to update the kitchen and bathrooms, replace dated fixtures and flooring, and improve the overall appearance. With these updates, it can significantly increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Dated oak cabinetry needs updating.
- Moderate Bathroom fixtures — Small, dated fixtures need replacement.
- Moderate Windows — Old windows may need replacement for better energy efficiency and appearance.
- Moderate Flooring — Carpeted floors in living areas may need replacement for better appearance and comfort.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance.
- Resale Replace kitchen cabinets — Modernizing the kitchen can enhance the home's appeal and functionality.
- Resale Replace bathroom fixtures — Upgrading the bathrooms can improve the home's overall appeal and functionality.
- Resale Replace windows — New windows can improve energy efficiency and the home's curb appeal.
- Resale Replace flooring — New flooring can make the home more comfortable and visually appealing.
- Both Landscaping — Landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and add value for both resale and rental.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Dated oak cabinetry needs updating. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Small, dated fixtures need replacement. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Windows · Old windows may need replacement for better energy efficiency and appearance. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Flooring · Carpeted floors in living areas may need replacement for better appearance and comfort. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $12,000–60,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance. ↑
- Resale Replace kitchen cabinets — Modernizing the kitchen can enhance the home's appeal and functionality. ↑
- Resale Replace bathroom fixtures — Upgrading the bathrooms can improve the home's overall appeal and functionality. ↑
- Resale Replace windows — New windows can improve energy efficiency and the home's curb appeal. ↑
- Resale Replace flooring — New flooring can make the home more comfortable and visually appealing. ↑
- Both Landscaping — Landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and add value for both resale and rental. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wisconsin Rapids School District
- NCES district ID
- 5517070
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,996
- Composite
- 26.32/100
- National rank
- #7240
- State rank
- #274 of 342 in WI
Livability — Saratoga
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Wood County · 27,696 people
- Metro
- Wisconsin Rapids-Marshfield, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,696
- Household income
- $72,595
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 569.0
Population outlook (Wood County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 69,530 people
- By 2030
- 66,919 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 60,735 · -12.6%
- By 2050
- 54,077 · -22.2%
- By 2075
- 41,820 · -39.9%
- By 2100
- 31,863 · -54.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Portuguese 7% Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wood
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.9) · D 39.4% · R 59.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.1pp toward R · 2008: 13.1pp · 2024: -19.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.9 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+2.9 2008: D+13.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -215.14%
- Current HPI
- 215.9087
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Wisconsin Rapids-Marshfield, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
-11.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $69,942 CWMLS
- 2026-04-07 Listed $79,424 CWMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…