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408 W 33rd St
B Composite 73.86
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$154,900

408 W 33rd St · North Little Rock, AR 72118
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,354 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 421 Days on market
Built 1952 Est $299k · 48% under ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Check this out we have a Price Reduction - Conveniently located in the Parkhill neighborhood inside the North Little Rock City Limits is this completely renovated home - off of Camp Robinsion Rd Exit. The added bonuses including and not limiting to the multiple bathrooms, the den, the sunroom, and the built-in fireplace. This is a Fannie Mae Owned property. For additional information log on www. homepath. fanniemae.com to submit offers and for additional information.

Key facts

  • Built 1952
  • Listed 421 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $527 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 5.1% in North Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#24 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • N. Little Rock School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #191 of 238 in AR (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 105 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,004/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1149% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 421 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $130k (46%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 421 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
10.38%
Cash-on-cash
14.59%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$298,958
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
408 W 33rd St 0.00mi 3/3.0 2,354 (0%) 1mo $155,000 $66 99
1008 W A Ave 0.13mi 3/2.0 2,365 (+0%) 12mo $200,000 $85 80
809 W B Ave 0.07mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,380 (+1%) 17mo $320,000 $134 76
520 Cherry Hill Dr 0.32mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,277 (-3%) 6mo $205,000 $90 67
1017 Cherry Hill Dr 0.17mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,533 (+8%) 12mo $322,500 $127 63
1009 Cherry Hill Dr 0.15mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,676 (+14%) 5mo $350,000 $131 61
3112 N Magnolia St 0.41mi 3/2.0 2,213 (-6%) 9mo $325,000 $147 59
3804 Ridge Rd 0.49mi 3/2.0 2,200 (-6%) 5mo $265,000 $120 58
3101 N Olive St 0.46mi 3/2.0 2,300 (-2%) 15mo $259,000 $113 58
229 E B Ave 0.73mi 3/2.0 2,252 (-4%) 2mo $330,000 $147 53
3221 N Cypress St 0.50mi 3/2.0 2,162 (-8%) 8mo $375,000 $173 53
3112 N Chandler St 0.22mi 3/2.0 2,106 (-10%) 22mo $230,000 $109 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.47% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.8%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$13,599
Equity at exit
$23,096
10-year hold
IRR
19.1%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$77,188
Equity at exit
$13,393

Cash invested: $43,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72118

Home prices YoY
-17.9%
Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
105
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,004 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$812
Tax from tax record
$179 /mo · $2,147/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$421
Net cashflow
$527

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,336
Max offer price $154,900
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $615 -5% $571 +0% $527 +5% $483 +10% $439
Rent -10% $369 -5% $448 +0% $527 +5% $606 +10% $685
Rate -1.0pp $605 -0.5pp $567 base $527 +0.5pp $487 +1.0pp $446

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,725
Closing costs
$4,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
524 W B Ave North Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.5 2830 $3,500 $1.24 44d 1 0.28mi
5 Cliffwood Cir North Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.0 1662 $1,195 $0.72 24d 1 0.62mi
3815 Idlewild Ave North Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.5 1925 $1,681 $0.87 24d 1 0.94mi
1313 Garland Ave North Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.0 1800 $1,500 $0.83 44d 1 1.09mi
4612 N Cypress St North Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.0 1636 $1,450 $0.89 44d 1 1.09mi
5109 N Cedar St North Little Rock, AR 4.0 2.0 2185 $1,595 $0.73 44d 1 1.43mi
1111 Parker St North Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.5 1719 $1,800 $1.05 21d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-02-02
    status Under Contract
  2. 2026-01-12
    price $154,900
  3. 2026-01-05
    status Back on Market
  4. 2025-12-10
    status Pending (FC, SS, REO)
  5. 2025-11-25
    status Back on Market
  6. 2025-09-17
    status Pending (FC, SS, REO)
  7. 2025-09-10
    price $164,900
  8. 2025-07-30
    price $169,900
  9. 2025-07-29
    status Price Change
  10. 2025-07-10
    status Pending (FC, SS, REO)
  11. 2025-06-20
    price $179,900
  12. 2025-06-13
    price $184,900
  13. 2025-05-12
    price $194,900
  14. 2025-04-12
    price $199,900
  15. 2025-03-11
    price $215,000
  16. 2025-02-15
    price $235,000
  17. 2025-01-03
    price $250,000
  18. 2024-12-05
    price $255,000
  19. 2024-09-17
    price $275,000
  20. 2024-08-16
    listed $285,000 New Listing
  21. 2022-09-21
    historical
  22. 2022-09-10
    listed $165,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,147 · $179/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,147 · $179/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,045
− Mortgage interest
−$8,677
− Property taxes
−$2,147
− Insurance
−$774
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,924
− Management
−$1,924
− Depreciation
−$4,506
Taxable income
$4,093
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$982
After-tax cash flow
$5,344/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
N. Little Rock School District
NCES district ID
0510680
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$38,325
Composite
19.69/100
National rank
#8728
State rank
#191 of 238 in AR

Livability — North Little Rock

Score
73/100
State rank
#24
US rank
#5452

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Little Rock, AR
County
Pulaski County · 372,764 people
City population
55,470
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
Population (ZIP)
22,913
Household income
$49,559
Rent vs Own
48.8% rent · 51.2% own
Severe rent burden
1149.0

Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,378 people
By 2030
423,720 · +2.0%
By 2040
435,182 · +4.8%
By 2050
440,904 · +6.1%
By 2075
445,521 · +7.3%
By 2100
419,173 · +0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Black 42% White 42% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10%

Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.32%
Current HPI
180.6901
Rent YoY
▲ 5.47%
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.1% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-02 Pending CARMLS
  • 2026-01-12 Price Changed $154,900 CARMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2025-12-10 Pending CARMLS
  • 2025-11-25 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2025-09-17 Pending CARMLS
  • 2025-09-10 Price Changed $164,900 CARMLS
  • 2025-07-30 Price Changed $169,900 CARMLS
  • 2025-07-29 Relisted CARMLS
  • 2025-07-10 Pending CARMLS
  • 2025-06-20 Price Changed $179,900 CARMLS
  • 2025-06-13 Price Changed $184,900 CARMLS
  • 2025-05-12 Price Changed $194,900 CARMLS
  • 2025-04-12 Price Changed $199,900 CARMLS
  • 2025-03-11 Price Changed $215,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-02-15 Price Changed $235,000 CARMLS
  • 2025-01-03 Price Changed $250,000 CARMLS
  • 2024-12-05 Price Changed $255,000 CARMLS
  • 2024-09-17 Price Changed $275,000 CARMLS
  • 2024-08-16 Listed $285,000 CARMLS
  • 2022-09-21 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2022-09-10 Listed $165,000 CARMLS

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,147 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…