408 W 33rd St · North Little Rock, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$154,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Check this out we have a Price Reduction - Conveniently located in the Parkhill neighborhood inside the North Little Rock City Limits is this completely renovated home - off of Camp Robinsion Rd Exit. The added bonuses including and not limiting to the multiple bathrooms, the den, the sunroom, and the built-in fireplace. This is a Fannie Mae Owned property. For additional information log on www. homepath. fanniemae.com to submit offers and for additional information.
Key facts
- Built 1952
- Listed 421 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $527 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 5.1% in North Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#24 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- N. Little Rock School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #191 of 238 in AR (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 105 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,004/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1149% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 421 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $130k (46%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 421 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.59%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $298,958
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 408 W 33rd St | 0.00mi | 3/3.0 | 2,354 (0%) | 1mo | $155,000 | $66 | 99 |
| 1008 W A Ave | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 2,365 (+0%) | 12mo | $200,000 | $85 | 80 |
| 809 W B Ave | 0.07mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,380 (+1%) | 17mo | $320,000 | $134 | 76 |
| 520 Cherry Hill Dr | 0.32mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,277 (-3%) | 6mo | $205,000 | $90 | 67 |
| 1017 Cherry Hill Dr | 0.17mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,533 (+8%) | 12mo | $322,500 | $127 | 63 |
| 1009 Cherry Hill Dr | 0.15mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,676 (+14%) | 5mo | $350,000 | $131 | 61 |
| 3112 N Magnolia St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 2,213 (-6%) | 9mo | $325,000 | $147 | 59 |
| 3804 Ridge Rd | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 2,200 (-6%) | 5mo | $265,000 | $120 | 58 |
| 3101 N Olive St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 2,300 (-2%) | 15mo | $259,000 | $113 | 58 |
| 229 E B Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 2,252 (-4%) | 2mo | $330,000 | $147 | 53 |
| 3221 N Cypress St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 2,162 (-8%) | 8mo | $375,000 | $173 | 53 |
| 3112 N Chandler St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 2,106 (-10%) | 22mo | $230,000 | $109 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $13,599
- Equity at exit
- $23,096
- IRR
- 19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $77,188
- Equity at exit
- $13,393
Cash invested: $43,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72118
- Home prices YoY
- -17.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.5%
- Active inventory
- 105
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,004 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$812
- Tax from tax record
- −$179 /mo · $2,147/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$421
- Net cashflow
- $527
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $615 | -5% $571 | +0% $527 | +5% $483 | +10% $439 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $369 | -5% $448 | +0% $527 | +5% $606 | +10% $685 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $605 | -0.5pp $567 | base $527 | +0.5pp $487 | +1.0pp $446 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,725
- Closing costs
- $4,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 524 W B Ave North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2830 | $3,500 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 5 Cliffwood Cir North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1662 | $1,195 | $0.72 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 3815 Idlewild Ave North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1925 | $1,681 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1313 Garland Ave North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,500 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4612 N Cypress St North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1636 | $1,450 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 5109 N Cedar St North Little Rock, AR | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2185 | $1,595 | $0.73 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1111 Parker St North Little Rock, AR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1719 | $1,800 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-02-02status Under Contract
-
2026-01-12price $154,900
-
2026-01-05status Back on Market
-
2025-12-10status Pending (FC, SS, REO)
-
2025-11-25status Back on Market
-
2025-09-17status Pending (FC, SS, REO)
-
2025-09-10price $164,900
-
2025-07-30price $169,900
-
2025-07-29status Price Change
-
2025-07-10status Pending (FC, SS, REO)
-
2025-06-20price $179,900
-
2025-06-13price $184,900
-
2025-05-12price $194,900
-
2025-04-12price $199,900
-
2025-03-11price $215,000
-
2025-02-15price $235,000
-
2025-01-03price $250,000
-
2024-12-05price $255,000
-
2024-09-17price $275,000
-
2024-08-16$285,000 New Listing
-
2022-09-21historical
-
2022-09-10$165,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,147 · $179/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,147 · $179/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,045
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,677
- − Property taxes
- −$2,147
- − Insurance
- −$774
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,924
- − Management
- −$1,924
- − Depreciation
- −$4,506
- Taxable income
- $4,093
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$982
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,344/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- N. Little Rock School District
- NCES district ID
- 0510680
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,325
- Composite
- 19.69/100
- National rank
- #8728
- State rank
- #191 of 238 in AR
Livability — North Little Rock
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #5452
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Little Rock, AR
- County
- Pulaski County · 372,764 people
- City population
- 55,470
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,913
- Household income
- $49,559
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1149.0
Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,378 people
- By 2030
- 423,720 · +2.0%
- By 2040
- 435,182 · +4.8%
- By 2050
- 440,904 · +6.1%
- By 2075
- 445,521 · +7.3%
- By 2100
- 419,173 · +0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 42% White 42% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.32%
- Current HPI
- 180.6901
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.47%
- Metro
- Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
-6.1% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-02 Pending — CARMLS
- 2026-01-12 Price Changed $154,900 CARMLS
- 2026-01-05 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2025-12-10 Pending — CARMLS
- 2025-11-25 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2025-09-17 Pending — CARMLS
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed $164,900 CARMLS
- 2025-07-30 Price Changed $169,900 CARMLS
- 2025-07-29 Relisted — CARMLS
- 2025-07-10 Pending — CARMLS
- 2025-06-20 Price Changed $179,900 CARMLS
- 2025-06-13 Price Changed $184,900 CARMLS
- 2025-05-12 Price Changed $194,900 CARMLS
- 2025-04-12 Price Changed $199,900 CARMLS
- 2025-03-11 Price Changed $215,000 CARMLS
- 2025-02-15 Price Changed $235,000 CARMLS
- 2025-01-03 Price Changed $250,000 CARMLS
- 2024-12-05 Price Changed $255,000 CARMLS
- 2024-09-17 Price Changed $275,000 CARMLS
- 2024-08-16 Listed $285,000 CARMLS
- 2022-09-21 Listing Removed — CARMLS
- 2022-09-10 Listed $165,000 CARMLS
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,147 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…