427 Park St · Marion, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$42,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
ATTENTION INVESTORS & PORTFOLIO BUILDERS! Looking for an incredible, high-margin opportunity with a fast turnaround? 427 Park St is the diamond in the rough you've been waiting for. Built in 1920, this classic 2-story home offers a highly functional 1,152 sq. ft. footprint featuring 6 total rooms, 3 bedrooms, and 1 full bath. The best part? Everything is in working order! This property requires cosmetic updates only--there are no known structural issues to call out. This clean slate gives you two fantastic routes to profit: The Quick Rental Turn: Execute a fast, budget-friendly cosmetic refresh and get this asset cash-flowing immediately. The Complete Rehab & Flip: Give it a
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 30 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two stories; Built in 1920; No common walls
- Construction: Block foundation (already noted); Built in 1920
- Exterior features: Block foundation; Lot about 0.15 acre
Interior
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Living area approximately 1,152
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $42k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $800 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $42k).
- Recommended offer: $41k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 29.2% vs local median 6.9% in Marion — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#704 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, amenities F.
- Marion City (town): math 22% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #600 of 656 in OH (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 210 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 53 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $290 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 29.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 81.66%
- DSCR
- 4.63
- GRM
- 2.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $79,488
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 291 Patten St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,160 (+1%) | 6mo | $152,000 | $131 | 84 |
| 279 E Fairground St | 0.32mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,168 (+1%) | 2mo | $163,000 | $140 | 76 |
| 525 Oak St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (-4%) | 1mo | $144,000 | $131 | 74 |
| 636 Mary St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (-1%) | 5mo | $57,360 | $50 | 72 |
| 455 Park St | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 1,316 (+14%) | 6mo | $33,000 | $25 | 69 |
| 125 Wallace St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,242 (+8%) | 5mo | $55,000 | $44 | 69 |
| 532 N Prospect St | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (-8%) | 1mo | $124,900 | $118 | 67 |
| 464 Ballentine Ave | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,280 (+11%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $105 | 67 |
| 516 Polk St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,087 (-6%) | 1mo | $39,000 | $36 | 64 |
| 132 Dix Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (0%) | 6mo | $80,000 | $69 | 63 |
| 554 Wilson Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-10%) | 6mo | $60,000 | $58 | 51 |
| 467 Jefferson St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-13%) | 3mo | $30,000 | $30 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 81.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.76×
- Total profit
- $44,185
- Equity at exit
- $6,262
- IRR
- 85.3%
- Equity multiple
- 9.86×
- Total profit
- $104,191
- Equity at exit
- $3,631
Cash invested: $11,760 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43302
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Active inventory
- 210
- Price-to-rent
- 2.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,380 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$220
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $625/yr
- Insurance
- −$18
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$290
- Net cashflow
- $800
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,500
- Closing costs
- $1,260
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133 Garden St Unit 131 Marion, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $900 | $1.20 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $42,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $42,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $42,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $45,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $45,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricedays on market $45,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $49,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $49,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-22price $49,000
-
2026-05-19$59,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $625 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $640 · $53/mo
- Expected delta
- +$15/yr (+$1/mo · 2.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,559
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,353
- − Property taxes
- −$625
- − Insurance
- −$210
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,325
- − Management
- −$1,325
- − Depreciation
- −$1,222
- Taxable income
- $9,500
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,280
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,323/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion City
- NCES district ID
- 3904433
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,327
- Composite
- 21.58/100
- National rank
- #8306
- State rank
- #600 of 656 in OH
Livability — Marion
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #704
- US rank
- #12605
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marion, OH
- County
- Marion County · 53,702 people
- City population
- 53,702
- Metro
- Marion, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,702
- Household income
- $55,057
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1554.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,078 people
- By 2030
- 60,049 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 55,413 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 50,604 · -18.5%
- By 2075
- 40,162 · -35.3%
- By 2100
- 29,105 · -53.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.4) · D 28.9% · R 70.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.5pp toward R · 2008: -8.9pp · 2024: -41.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.4 2020: R+38.6 2016: R+34.4 2012: R+7.6 2008: R+8.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.52%
- Current HPI
- 223.5344
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Marion, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
-16.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Price Changed $49,000 CBRMLS
- 2026-05-19 Listed $59,000 CBRMLS
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $625 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…