160 Kerr Rd · Tipp City, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- Schools +6.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Brick ranch offering 3 bedroom and 1 bath on approx. 1 acre. Two car attached garage and a full unfinished basement. Needs some work
Key facts
- 0.92 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1956
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Attached two-car garage
- Utilities: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Home design: Single-story brick home
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Approximately 0.918-acre lot (about 185 x 200); Residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Main-level kitchen (11 x 12)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level (11 x 10; 12 x 10; 11 x 12)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full unfinished basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.1% in Tipp City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#125 in OH, #1,827 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Tipp City Exempted Village (suburban): math 70% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #108 of 656 in OH (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 250 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 326 units permitted in Miami County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.50%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.90%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $253,133
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -34.82%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160 Kerr Rd | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,211 (0%) | 0mo | $211,000 | $174 | 100 |
| 389 N Garber Dr | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,140 (-6%) | 2mo | $238,000 | $209 | 55 |
| 337 N Garber Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,135 (-6%) | 12mo | $197,000 | $174 | 43 |
| 4720 Rosedale Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+7%) | 22mo | $276,900 | $213 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-7,365
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.40×
- Total profit
- $18,539
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45371
- Active inventory
- 250
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,778 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$167 /mo · $2,002/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$373
- Net cashflow
- $304
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 599 Wind Ridge Pl Tipp City, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $954 | $1.17 | 3d | 1 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-02status Pending 132-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
Brick ranch offering 3 bedroom and 1 bath on approx. 1 acre. Two car attached garage and a full unfinished basement. Needs some work
-
2026-05-02status Pending 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
Brick ranch offering 3 bedroom and 1 bath on approx. 1 acre. Two car attached garage and a full unfinished basement. Needs some work
-
2026-04-30$165,000 Active 132-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
Brick ranch offering 3 bedroom and 1 bath on approx. 1 acre. Two car attached garage and a full unfinished basement. Needs some work
-
2026-04-30$165,000 Active 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
Brick ranch offering 3 bedroom and 1 bath on approx. 1 acre. Two car attached garage and a full unfinished basement. Needs some work
-
1992-03-17soldstatus $89,900
-
1986-03-24soldstatus $69,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,002 · $167/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,288 · $191/mo
- Expected delta
- +$286/yr (+$24/mo · 14.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,342
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$2,002
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,707
- − Management
- −$1,707
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $1,057
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$254
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,396/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tipp City Exempted Village
- NCES district ID
- 3904561
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 76% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,580
- Composite
- 63.13/100
- National rank
- #642
- State rank
- #108 of 656 in OH
Livability — Tipp City
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #125
- US rank
- #1827
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Miami County · 85,667 people
- City population
- 22,865
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,865
- Household income
- $93,599
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 465.0
Population outlook (Miami County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 107,816 people
- By 2030
- 108,896 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 109,581 · +1.6%
- By 2050
- 108,110 · +0.3%
- By 2075
- 101,523 · -5.8%
- By 2100
- 85,787 · -20.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 6% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.6pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.1 2020: R+44.3 2016: R+45.6 2012: R+35.6 2008: R+28.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -178.63%
- Current HPI
- 205.0064
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+205.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $211,000 Dayton MLS
- 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) $211,000 WRIST
- 2026-05-02 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2026-05-02 Pending — WRIST
- 2026-04-30 Listed $165,000 Dayton MLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $165,000 WRIST
- 1992-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
- 1986-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,002 · -4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…