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223 White Oak Ln
D Composite 44.61
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.3/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0

$275,000

223 White Oak Ln · Clinton, TN 37754
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,648 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1974 0.47 ac lot Est $280k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

AWESOME describes this totally remodeled home!!! This home offers 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, custom kitchen with ceramic back splash, ceramic flooring in kitchen, hall bath and laundry room, stainless appliances, new windows, electrical and plumbing, new master bath with marble flooring and back splash in tub/shower area and so much more! This one is waiting for new owners so don t delay!!!

Key facts

  • Master suite
  • Large dining room
  • Wooded acre

Tags

WOODED ACRESPACIOUS KITCHENLARGE DINING ROOMSPLIT BEDROOM FLOOR PLANMASTER SUITELARGE BATHROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; Designated parking
  • Utilities: Septic tank
  • Home design: Detached property; 1,810 building area (agent provided)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Brick exterior; Crawl space basement
  • Exterior features: Vinyl windows; Country setting with wooded views

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3; Bedroom 4
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heat; Heat pump; Electric heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; 7 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-139 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (8.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (31.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $188k (31.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.7% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#30 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D+, crime D-.
  • Anderson County (town): math 25% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #75 of 139 in TN (top 54%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Claxton Elementary (math 18% / reading 25%, grade F, #630 of 952 statewide, top 66%, 502 students, 0% FRL); Norris Middle School (math 23% / reading 26%, grade F, #154 of 333 statewide, top 48%, 489 students, 0% FRL); Clinton High School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #104 of 332 statewide, top 33%, 1,126 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; 400 units permitted in Anderson County in 2024 (91 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $130k; list at $275k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $188,166 (31.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 32% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
5.69%
Cash-on-cash
-2.17%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
12.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$280,160
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
117 Pine Hill Rd 0.29mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,732 (+5%) 12mo $339,000 $196 63
133 Pine Ridge Rd 0.32mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,616 (-2%) 18mo $275,000 $170 59
1688 E Wolf Valley Rd 0.75mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,440 (-13%) 6mo $230,000 $160 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.7%
Equity multiple
2.83×
Total profit
$140,761
Equity at exit
$247,742
10-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
6.47×
Total profit
$421,214
Equity at exit
$534,265

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37754

Home prices YoY
21.0%
Active inventory
9
Price-to-rent
12.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,882 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $829/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$395
Net cashflow
$-139

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,058
Max offer price $250,395
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $16 -5% $-61 +0% $-139 +5% $-217 +10% $-295
Rent -10% $-288 -5% $-214 +0% $-139 +5% $-65 +10% $9
Rate -1.0pp $-1 -0.5pp $-69 base $-139 +0.5pp $-211 +1.0pp $-283

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $275,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $275,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $275,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $275,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $275,000 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $275,000 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $275,000 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $275,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $275,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $275,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $275,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $289,000 Active 19 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $289,000 Active 18 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $289,000 Active 17 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $289,000 Active 16 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $289,000 Active 15 DOM
  17. 2026-05-15
    listed $289,000 Active
  18. 2011-10-06
    soldstatus $130,000
  19. 2011-10-04
    soldstatus $130,000 389-char remark
    Show marketing remark (389 chars)

    AWESOME describes this totally remodeled home!!! This home offers 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, custom kitchen with ceramic back splash, ceramic flooring in kitchen, hall bath and laundry room, stainless appliances, new windows, electrical and plumbing, new master bath with marble flooring and back splash in tub/shower area and so much more! This one is waiting for new owners so don t delay!!!

  20. 2011-01-04
    listed $132,500 389-char remark
    Show marketing remark (389 chars)

    AWESOME describes this totally remodeled home!!! This home offers 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths, custom kitchen with ceramic back splash, ceramic flooring in kitchen, hall bath and laundry room, stainless appliances, new windows, electrical and plumbing, new master bath with marble flooring and back splash in tub/shower area and so much more! This one is waiting for new owners so don t delay!!!

  21. 2010-10-07
    listed $134,900
  22. 2009-08-20
    soldstatus $59,000
  23. 2009-07-17
    listed $64,900
  24. 2007-04-17
    listed $119,900
  25. 1999-02-25
    soldstatus $77,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$829 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,952 · $163/mo
Expected delta
+$1,124/yr (+$94/mo · 135.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,580
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$829
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,806
− Management
−$1,806
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$6,641
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,594
After-tax cash flow
$-78/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Anderson County
NCES district ID
4700090
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,541
Composite
22.68/100
National rank
#8043
State rank
#75 of 139 in TN

Livability — Clinton

Score
72/100
State rank
#30
US rank
#5726

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,075

Population outlook (Anderson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
76,963 people
By 2030
77,226 · +0.3%
By 2040
76,905 · -0.1%
By 2050
75,405 · -2.0%
By 2075
70,858 · -7.9%
By 2100
60,585 · -21.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Anderson

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.7) · D 31.5% · R 67.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-9.5pp toward R · 2008: -26.2pp · 2024: -35.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.7 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+34.3 2012: R+29.8 2008: R+26.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 70.22%
Current HPI
404.8998
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+271.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $289,000 Knoxville MLS
  • 2011-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2011-10-04 Sold (MLS) $130,000 Knoxville MLS
  • 2011-01-04 Listed $132,500 Knoxville MLS
  • 2010-10-07 Listed $134,900 Knoxville MLS
  • 2009-08-20 Sold (MLS) $59,000 Knoxville MLS
  • 2009-07-17 Listed $64,900 Knoxville MLS
  • 2007-04-17 Listed $119,900 Knoxville MLS
  • 1999-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $77,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $829 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…