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139 Grampian Rd
B- Composite 67.15
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.3/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,999

139 Grampian Rd · Glasgow Village, MO 63137
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 873 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1954 7,291 sqft lot Est $85k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great started home with three bedrooms and one bathroom. Hardwood floor on main level. This beautiful home has an updated kitchen with finished basement. Large fenced in back yard and off-street parking. Must see, will not lasty long.

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Updated kitchen
  • Off-street parking

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORINGUPDATED KITCHENFINISHED LOWER LEVELSPACIOUS FINISHED BASEMENTFULLY FENCED BACKYARDOFF-STREET PARKING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area listed as 873 (public records); Lot size about 0.1674 acres
  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story house; Private ownership
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 55 x 143 x 50 x 146

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $554 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#756 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Riverview Gardens (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #324 of 324 in MO (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Highland Elem. (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,099 of 1,115 statewide, top 100%, 274 students, 99% FRL); Riverview Gardens Sr. High (math 2% / reading 18%, grade F, #501 of 521 statewide, top 97%, 1,331 students, 100% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 201 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $85k implies a 183% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,999

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.69%
Cap rate
14.12%
Cash-on-cash
27.94%
DSCR
2.24
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$84,681
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
237 Ben Nevis Rd 0.14mi 3/1.0 873 (0%) 1mo $89,000 $102 91
10640 Spring Garden Dr 0.22mi 3/1.0 873 (0%) 1mo $77,500 $89 87
200 Mcalpine Dr 0.23mi 3/2.0 927 (+6%) 0mo $90,000 $97 77
10746 Glen Garry Rd 0.37mi 3/1.0 927 (+6%) 1mo $89,900 $97 70
151 Brigadoon Cir 0.37mi 3/1.0 927 (+6%) 2mo $34,900 $38 69
147 Monteith Cir 0.45mi 3/1.0 909 (+4%) 2mo $24,900 $27 69
158 Monteith Cir 0.42mi 3/1.0 927 (+6%) 0mo $94,900 $102 68
161 Cameron Rd 0.26mi 3/1.0 984 (+13%) 1mo $105,000 $107 64
10539 Renfrew Dr 0.62mi 3/1.0 854 (-2%) 2mo $119,900 $140 64
10624 Spring Garden Dr 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,001 (+15%) 2mo $24,900 $25 63
10300 Ross Cir 0.42mi 3/1.0 980 (+12%) 1mo $105,000 $107 57
10519 Renfrew Dr 0.62mi 3/1.5 982 (+12%) 2mo $95,000 $97 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.1%
Equity multiple
2.13×
Total profit
$26,922
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
35.9%
Equity multiple
4.90×
Total profit
$92,741
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63137

Rents YoY
6.6%
Active inventory
201
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,438 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$101 /mo · $1,206/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$302
Net cashflow
$554

Break-even live

Break-even rent $736
Max offer price $84,999
Occupancy floor 56%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
138 Grampian Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 873 $1,499 $1.72 43d 1 0.06mi
117 Glen Garry Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,175 $1.18 2d 1 0.07mi
157 Perthshire Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 873 $1,850 $2.12 43d 1 0.08mi
225 Ben Nevis Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 873 $1,250 $1.43 2d 1 0.11mi
237 Grampian Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 873 $1,499 $1.72 43d 1 0.12mi
241 Grampian Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 837 $1,250 $1.49 43d 1 0.13mi
10613 Spring Garden Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 873 $1,169 $1.34 23d 1 0.17mi
257 Glen Garry Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 873 $1,025 $1.17 14d 1 0.22mi
120 McAlpine Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 927 $1,399 $1.51 43d 1 0.24mi
10650 Dunkeld Cir Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 854 $1,250 $1.46 7d 1 0.25mi
204 Tay Rd Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.5 854 $1,500 $1.76 17d 1 0.28mi
10617 Dunkeld Cir Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 873 $1,299 $1.49 43d 1 0.30mi
10617 Dunkeld Cir Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 873 $1,299 $1.49 7d 1 0.30mi
10700 Spring Garden Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 816 $1,499 $1.84 23d 1 0.30mi
251 Midlothian Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1058 $1,499 $1.42 43d 1 0.32mi
323 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 850 $1,175 $1.38 1d 1 0.33mi
10432 Balmoral Dr Saint Louis, MO 4.0 1.0 826 $1,600 $1.94 1d 1 0.35mi
10732 Spring Garden Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 927 $1,350 $1.46 23d 1 0.36mi
232 Cameron Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 984 $1,295 $1.32 12d 1 0.38mi
10748 Spring Garden Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 927 $1,195 $1.29 43d 1 0.39mi
10752 Spring Garden Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 927 $1,000 $1.08 17d 1 0.40mi
329 Midlothian Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 854 $1,195 $1.40 2d 1 0.43mi
10772 Spring Garden Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 927 $1,450 $1.56 43d 1 0.43mi
305 Lancashire Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 854 $1,100 $1.29 17d 1 0.43mi
312 Banff Cir Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 854 $1,175 $1.38 23d 1 0.44mi
409 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 854 $1,095 $1.28 4d 1 0.46mi
317 Cameron Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 854 $1,350 $1.58 23d 1 0.48mi
10527 Prestwick Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 854 $1,395 $1.63 7d 1 0.49mi
325 Caithness Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 854 $1,540 $1.80 43d 1 0.49mi
325 Caithness Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 854 $1,425 $1.67 11d 1 0.49mi
10518 Gretna Cir Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1082 $1,450 $1.34 23d 1 0.51mi
432 Midlothian Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,350 $1.21 10d 1 0.54mi
457 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 854 $1,350 $1.58 23d 1 0.57mi
437 Lancashire Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1082 $1,395 $1.29 43d 1 0.59mi
10519 Renfrew Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 982 $1,399 $1.42 43d 1 0.61mi
10524 Durness Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,250 $1.25 43d 1 0.63mi
416 Crawford Rd Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 844 $1,499 $1.78 23d 1 0.64mi
10309 Galloway Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 892 $1,295 $1.45 12d 1 0.67mi
10063 Northgate Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 1054 $1,200 $1.14 43d 1 0.72mi
10327 Renfrew Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 844 $1,199 $1.42 43d 1 0.72mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,999 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,999 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,999 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,999 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,999 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,999 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,999 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,999 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,999 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    remarks 693-char remark
  11. 2026-06-05
    listed $84,999 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,206 · $101/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,206 · $101/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,254
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$1,206
− Insurance
−$425
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,380
− Management
−$1,380
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$5,628
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,351
After-tax cash flow
$5,300/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Riverview Gardens
NCES district ID
2926670
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
9% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$32,759
Composite
4.22/100
National rank
#10058
State rank
#324 of 324 in MO

Livability — Glasgow Village

Score
55/100
State rank
#756
US rank
#23451

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Glasgow Village, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
19,684
Household income
$43,422
Rent vs Own
52.2% rent · 47.8% own
Severe rent burden
1863.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (82%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 82% White 13% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -96.70%
Current HPI
130.6765
Rent YoY
▲ 6.59%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+67.0% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $84,999 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-30 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-06 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-05 Listed $79,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 2018-02-02 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-01-19 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-01-09 Listed $34,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-06-27 Sold (Public Records) $102,500 Public Records
  • 2015-01-29 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-10-09 Listed $12,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records
  • 1990-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $50,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,206 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…