28 Dignity Cir · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this 2-story home nestled in a quiet, sought-after Neighborhood. This designed 4 bedrooms and 1 full bathrooms -residence offers an ideal blend of, comfort. This home boasts vinyl flooring throughout. Thoughtfully designed for comfort and convenience, this home offers two bedrooms and a 1 full bathroom on the first floor. On the second floor, you'll find 2 additional generously sized bedrooms . Enjoy quality family time in the formal living room -perfect for your relaxing afternoons. Large kitchen. This home needs some cosmetic work. Outside, you'll find a backyard perfect for gardening or outdoor enjoyment. Perfectly situated Just steps away from a local playground and conveniently close to public transportation makes it convenient for families and commuters. This home is ready for you to move-in. Don't miss your chance - this house is waiting for the next owner to make it their own.
Key facts
- Vinyl flooring
- Backyard
- Large kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $904 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $69k).
- Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.0% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,748/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($36k/yr) (locally 1804% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($477 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 56.16%
- DSCR
- 3.50
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $141,998
- List price
- $69,000
- Delta
- -51.41%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 230 Dutton Ave | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,024 (-4%) | 4mo | $66,500 | $65 | 64 |
| 378 Northland Ave | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,183 (+11%) | 9mo | $125,000 | $106 | 55 |
| 341 Florida St | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 916 (-14%) | 12mo | $137,000 | $150 | 50 |
| 352 Florida St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,150 (+8%) | 23mo | $70,000 | $61 | 49 |
| 102 Carl St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,158 (+9%) | 2mo | $124,900 | $108 | 44 |
| 849 Woodlawn Ave | 0.66mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,124 (+6%) | 14mo | $168,800 | $150 | 35 |
| 51 Van Gorder St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,144 (+8%) | 21mo | $150,000 | $131 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.05% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 60.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.24×
- Total profit
- $62,521
- Equity at exit
- $27,399
- IRR
- 60.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.57×
- Total profit
- $146,314
- Equity at exit
- $39,597
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14211
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,748 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$367
- Net cashflow
- $904
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $952 | -5% $928 | +0% $904 | +5% $880 | +10% $857 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $766 | -5% $835 | +0% $904 | +5% $973 | +10% $1,042 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $939 | -0.5pp $922 | base $904 | +0.5pp $886 | +1.0pp $868 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 179 Donaldson Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 4d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 184 Butler Ave Unit 1545840P Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1496 | $3,226 | $2.16 | 15d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 104 Butler Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 45d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 408 Winslow Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 15d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 102 Florida St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,650 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 117 Humboldt Pkwy Unit A Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1105 | $2,300 | $2.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 76 Chester St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 238 Oxford Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 25d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 76 Vernon Pl Unit Upper Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,595 | $1.34 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 76 Vernon Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,445 | $1.21 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1560 Delaware Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,800 | $2.80 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 74 Dorris Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 825 Forest Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,000 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 825 Forest Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 4d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-05$69,000 Active 908-char remark
Show marketing remark (908 chars)
Welcome to this 2-story home nestled in a quiet, sought-after Neighborhood. This designed 4 bedrooms and 1 full bathrooms -residence offers an ideal blend of, comfort. This home boasts vinyl flooring throughout. Thoughtfully designed for comfort and convenience, this home offers two bedrooms and a 1 full bathroom on the first floor. On the second floor, you'll find 2 additional generously sized bedrooms . Enjoy quality family time in the formal living room -perfect for your relaxing afternoons. Large kitchen. This home needs some cosmetic work. Outside, you'll find a backyard perfect for gardening or outdoor enjoyment. Perfectly situated Just steps away from a local playground and conveniently close to public transportation makes it convenient for families and commuters. This home is ready for you to move-in. Don't miss your chance - this house is waiting for the next owner to make it their own.
-
2026-01-16historical
-
2025-12-27$79,000 Active
-
2025-11-15historical
-
2025-09-14$99,000 Active
-
2021-10-22soldstatus $88,000
-
2006-09-19soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,978
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$1,035
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,678
- − Management
- −$1,678
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $10,370
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,489
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,362/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,663
- Household income
- $36,300
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1804.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Asian 20% Hispanic / Latino 9% White 9% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 74% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Spanish 6% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- Current HPI
- 357.6438
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+176.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-05 Listed $69,000 WNYREIS
- 2026-01-16 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2025-12-27 Listed $79,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-11-15 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2025-09-14 Listed $99,000 WNYREIS
- 2021-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
- 2006-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $112 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…