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413 Park Ave
B- Composite 67.65
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

413 Park Ave · Minden, LA 71055
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · SingleFamily · 58 Days on market
Built 1950 7,275 sqft lot $47/sqft · 56% below area ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This just-under-1,300 square foot home is full of character and ready for someone with vision! Inside, you'll find new flooring throughout most of the home, with just one bedroom left to customize. Upstairs, two unfinished attic rooms offer exciting potential perfect for extra bedrooms, a home office, or flex space to fit your needs. This area is not included in the square footage. Step outside to a fully fenced backyard ideal for pets, play, or entertaining. You'll also love the two storage buildings: one newer structure with electricity, perfect for a workshop or hobby space, and a smaller shed for all your lawn and garden tools.

Key facts

  • New flooring
  • 7,275 sq ft lot
  • Parking

Tags

NEW FLOORINGUNFINISHED ATTIC ROOMSFULLY FENCED BACKYARDTWO STORAGE BUILDINGS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $465 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 5.2% in Minden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#92 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, crime F.
  • Webster Parish (town): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #67 of 98 in LA (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Webster Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Webster County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $58,200 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.81%
Cap rate
15.60%
Cash-on-cash
33.23%
DSCR
2.48
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$137,325
List price
$60,000
Delta
-56.31%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
103 N Fairview St 0.35mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,382 (+8%) 7mo $59,500 $43 58
902 Clay St 0.39mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,175 (-8%) 5mo $157,000 $134 57
713 Horton St 0.58mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,250 (-2%) 21mo $165,000 $132 44
624 Horton 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,100 (-14%) 9mo $138,000 $125 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.4%
Equity multiple
2.19×
Total profit
$19,909
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
35.9%
Equity multiple
4.30×
Total profit
$55,497
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71055

Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,084 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $615/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$228
Net cashflow
$465

Break-even live

Break-even rent $495
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $499 -5% $482 +0% $465 +5% $448 +10% $431
Rent -10% $380 -5% $422 +0% $465 +5% $508 +10% $551
Rate -1.0pp $495 -0.5pp $480 base $465 +0.5pp $450 +1.0pp $434

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 58 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $60,000 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $60,000 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 42 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $60,000 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-05-04
    status Active 640-char remark
    Show marketing remark (640 chars)

    This just-under-1,300 square foot home is full of character and ready for someone with vision! Inside, you'll find new flooring throughout most of the home, with just one bedroom left to customize. Upstairs, two unfinished attic rooms offer exciting potential perfect for extra bedrooms, a home office, or flex space to fit your needs. This area is not included in the square footage. Step outside to a fully fenced backyard ideal for pets, play, or entertaining. You'll also love the two storage buildings: one newer structure with electricity, perfect for a workshop or hobby space, and a smaller shed for all your lawn and garden tools.

  16. 2026-03-10
    status Pending 640-char remark
    Show marketing remark (640 chars)

    This just-under-1,300 square foot home is full of character and ready for someone with vision! Inside, you'll find new flooring throughout most of the home, with just one bedroom left to customize. Upstairs, two unfinished attic rooms offer exciting potential perfect for extra bedrooms, a home office, or flex space to fit your needs. This area is not included in the square footage. Step outside to a fully fenced backyard ideal for pets, play, or entertaining. You'll also love the two storage buildings: one newer structure with electricity, perfect for a workshop or hobby space, and a smaller shed for all your lawn and garden tools.

  17. 2026-02-25
    listed $60,000 Active 640-char remark
    Show marketing remark (640 chars)

    This just-under-1,300 square foot home is full of character and ready for someone with vision! Inside, you'll find new flooring throughout most of the home, with just one bedroom left to customize. Upstairs, two unfinished attic rooms offer exciting potential perfect for extra bedrooms, a home office, or flex space to fit your needs. This area is not included in the square footage. Step outside to a fully fenced backyard ideal for pets, play, or entertaining. You'll also love the two storage buildings: one newer structure with electricity, perfect for a workshop or hobby space, and a smaller shed for all your lawn and garden tools.

  18. 2025-12-15
    historical
  19. 2025-07-30
    status Active
  20. 2025-07-17
    status Pending
  21. 2025-06-19
    listed $60,000 Active
  22. 2025-05-27
    historical
  23. 2025-02-27
    price $57,000
  24. 2025-02-10
    price $70,000
  25. 2025-01-27
    listed $89,900 Active
  26. 2023-01-20
    soldstatus Closed
  27. 2023-01-04
    status Pending
  28. 2022-12-15
    price $36,700
  29. 2022-11-10
    price $39,700
  30. 2022-10-14
    price $44,700
  31. 2022-09-02
    listed $49,000 Active
  32. 2022-08-30
    soldstatus Closed
  33. 2022-08-16
    status Pending
  34. 2022-07-19
    price $58,000
  35. 2022-06-29
    price $63,000
  36. 2022-05-31
    listed $68,000 Active
  37. 2009-06-22
    soldstatus $70,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$615 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$615 · $51/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,004
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$615
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,040
− Management
−$1,040
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$4,902
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,177
After-tax cash flow
$4,406/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Webster Parish
NCES district ID
2201890
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -39.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -38.00%
Median HH income
$33,011
Composite
17.5/100
National rank
#9055
State rank
#67 of 98 in LA

Livability — Minden

Score
68/100
State rank
#92
US rank
#9771

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Minden, LA
Population (ZIP)
17,406

Population outlook (Webster County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,736 people
By 2030
36,203 · -4.1%
By 2040
32,988 · -12.6%
By 2050
29,743 · -21.2%
By 2075
22,346 · -40.8%
By 2100
15,045 · -60.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (56%)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 40% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Webster

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.5) · D 31.2% · R 67.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: -26.3pp · 2024: -36.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.5 2020: R+31.1 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+25.0 2008: R+26.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -89.40%
Current HPI
117.9577
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.3% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2026-03-10 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $60,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-12-15 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-07-30 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2025-07-17 Pending NTREIS
  • 2025-06-19 Listed $60,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-05-27 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-02-27 Price Changed $57,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-02-10 Price Changed $70,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-01-27 Listed $89,900 NTREIS
  • 2023-01-20 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2023-01-04 Pending NTREIS
  • 2022-12-15 Price Changed $36,700 NTREIS
  • 2022-11-10 Price Changed $39,700 NTREIS
  • 2022-10-14 Price Changed $44,700 NTREIS
  • 2022-09-02 Listed $49,000 NTREIS
  • 2022-08-30 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2022-08-16 Pending NTREIS
  • 2022-07-19 Price Changed $58,000 NTREIS
  • 2022-06-29 Price Changed $63,000 NTREIS
  • 2022-05-31 Listed $68,000 NTREIS
  • 2009-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $615 · +1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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