6849 Leslie Ln · Thruston, KY 42303

$70,995

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,001 sqft · Manufactured · 37 Days on market

Built 2026 $400/mo HOA · 28% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +29.1/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.2/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Built for modern, low maintenance living, this brand new single width Vertex model features a well balanced 16×66' layout with an open living space, contemporary kitchen, and three comfortable bedrooms. The bright interior, clean finishes, and efficient design make this home both practical and inviting from day one. Community amenities include a clubhouse, playground, quiet streets, open green areas, and convenient access to shopping and everyday necessities.

Key facts

• Contemporary kitchen
• Clubhouse
• Open green areas

Tags

• CONTEMPORARY KITCHEN
• COMMUNITY AMENITIES
• CLUBHOUSE
• PLAYGROUND
• OPEN GREEN AREAS

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Address: 6849 Leslie Ln, Owensboro KY 42303
• Financial info: List price $70,995
• HOA & community: Association fee: $400

Exterior

• Home design: Single-family property (spec home)
• Construction: Built 2026 (new construction inventory)
• Exterior features: Approximately 1001 living area

Interior

• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Interior features: Spec home — Vertex (Riverbend) plan

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $71k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $71k).
• Recommended offer: $69k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 3.4% in Thruston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Daviess County (suburban): math 33% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #43 of 165 in KY (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 360 active listings in the ZIP; 226 units permitted in Daviess County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $491 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Daviess County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: HOA is 28% of rent.

Recommended offer $68,865 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.03% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.45%
• Cash-on-cash: 14.85%
• DSCR: 1.66
• GRM: 4.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 5.7%
• Equity multiple: 1.22×
• Total profit: $4,432
• Equity at exit: $10,586

10-year hold

• IRR: 15.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.26×
• Total profit: $25,121
• Equity at exit: $6,138

Cash invested: $19,879 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Kentucky: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 42303

• Home prices YoY: -29.1%
• Active inventory: 360
• Price-to-rent: 4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,439 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$372
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$89 /mo · $1,065/yr
• Insurance: −$30
• HOA: −$400
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$302
• Net cashflow: $246

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,127

Max offer price $70,995

Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $17,749
• Closing costs: $2,130
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $400 · $4,800/yr

Listing history 17 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $70,995 Active 37 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $70,995 Active 36 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $70,995 Active 35 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $70,995 Active 34 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $70,995 Active 33 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $70,995 Active 31 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $70,995 Active 30 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $70,995 Active 28 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $70,995 Active 27 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,995 Active 26 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,995 Active 25 DOM
12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $70,995 Active 22 DOM
13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $70,995 Active 21 DOM
14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $70,995 Active 20 DOM
15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,995 Active 19 DOM
16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,995 Active 18 DOM
17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $70,995 Active 17 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,265
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,977
• − Property taxes: −$1,065
• − Insurance: −$355
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,381
• − Management: −$1,381
• − HOA: −$4,800
• − Depreciation: −$2,065
• Taxable income: $2,241
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$538
• After-tax cash flow: $2,414/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Daviess County
• NCES district ID: 2101470
• Math proficiency: 33% ▼ -17.00%
• Reading proficiency: 41% ▼ -16.00%
• Median HH income: $52,303
• Composite: 32.2/100
• National rank: #5778
• State rank: #43 of 165 in KY

Livability — Thruston

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Daviess County · 87,564 people
• Metro: Owensboro, KY
• Population (ZIP): 42,119
• Household income: $64,773
• Rent vs Own: 34.2% rent · 65.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 983.0

Population outlook (Daviess County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 103,810 people
• By 2030: 105,722 · +1.8%
• By 2040: 108,731 · +4.7%
• By 2050: 110,295 · +6.2%
• By 2075: 113,056 · +8.9%
• By 2100: 106,257 · +2.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (85%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 85% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, Philippines
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Daviess

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.9) · D 33.3% · R 65.2% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -21.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.1pp · 2024: -31.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.9 2020: R+27.9 2016: R+32.2 2012: R+21.1 2008: R+10.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -89.55%
• Current HPI: 217.7128
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Owensboro, KY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.81%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$118B
▸Food / Beverage	1	$7B