12768 Maiden St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.48%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.7/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Potential filled brick East Side bungalow ready for a new owner. Features 3 bedrooms and a fireplace! Lots of great updates throughout! Come check it out
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1942
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $688 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 22.8% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 190 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,350/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1202% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $50k implies a 256% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 59.12%
- DSCR
- 3.63
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $49,008
- List price
- $49,900
- Delta
- 1.82%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13113 Camden St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,224 (+2%) | 2mo | $88,000 | $72 | 84 |
| 13334 Elmdale St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,221 (+2%) | 3mo | $89,254 | $73 | 80 |
| 12798 Corbett St | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 | 1,124 (-6%) | 6mo | $75,000 | $67 | 80 |
| 13136 Maiden St | 0.22mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,144 (-4%) | 1mo | $10,000 | $9 | 77 |
| 12578 Camden St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,123 (-6%) | 9mo | $47,000 | $42 | 74 |
| 13001 Promenade St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,124 (-6%) | 6mo | $73,800 | $66 | 64 |
| 12780 Evanston St | 0.22mi | 3/2.5 | 1,074 (-10%) | 9mo | $17,500 | $16 | 60 |
| 5557 Lakeview St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,233 (+3%) | 4mo | $40,000 | $32 | 57 |
| 8750 E Outer Dr | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,070 (-10%) | 7mo | $102,000 | $95 | 54 |
| 14263 Hampshire St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,056 (-12%) | 5mo | $16,500 | $16 | 54 |
| 8801 E Outer Dr | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 | 1,047 (-12%) | 1mo | $40,000 | $38 | 52 |
| 14920 longview Longview St | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 | 1,085 (-9%) | 5mo | $35,000 | $32 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 57.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.56×
- Total profit
- $35,795
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 62.7%
- Equity multiple
- 7.28×
- Total profit
- $87,786
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48213
- Active inventory
- 190
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,350 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$95 /mo · $1,145/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$283
- Net cashflow
- $688
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,400 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 12210 Longview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,100 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 13400 Longview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 5966 Eastlawn St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1366 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 12051 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $1,250 | $1.02 | 17d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 12840 Kilbourne St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,350 | $1.19 | 17d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 9190 Hayes St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $850 | $1.13 | 14d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 9168 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $1,300 | $1.02 | 20d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 9516 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $950 | $1.19 | 17d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 9755 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 11765 Glenfield Ave Unit 1510880P Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $3,102 | $3.13 | 14d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 9400 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,150 | $0.88 | 4d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 12740 August St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 4d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5747 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1316 | $1,473 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 10724 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1425 | $1,550 | $1.09 | 17d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1115 | $1,000 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 10813 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1392 | $1,350 | $0.97 | 17d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 12110 Christy St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 17d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 10644 Stratman St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 12112 Christy St Unit 12110 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 9927 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,375 | $1.46 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 14201 Mayfield St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1296 | $1,250 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5751 Nottingham Rd Unit 5/21/26 Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 9984 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1222 | $1,575 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 9409 Balfour Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1195 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 9747 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 797 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 15000 Mayfield St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $970 | $0.85 | 17d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 11018 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,450 | $1.27 | 10d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 5045 Fairview St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1303 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 15857 Evanston St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1232 | $1,250 | $1.01 | 4d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 11760 Nashville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 17d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 11785 Nashville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,450 | $1.07 | 3d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 15010 Cedargrove St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1018 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 43d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $49,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-05-09price $49,900 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Potential filled brick East Side bungalow ready for a new owner. Features 3 bedrooms and a fireplace! Lots of great updates throughout! Come check it out
-
2026-05-08price $49,900 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Potential filled brick East Side bungalow ready for a new owner. Features 3 bedrooms and a fireplace! Lots of great updates throughout! Come check it out
-
2026-05-04price $53,500 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Potential filled brick East Side bungalow ready for a new owner. Features 3 bedrooms and a fireplace! Lots of great updates throughout! Come check it out
-
2026-05-04price $53,500 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Potential filled brick East Side bungalow ready for a new owner. Features 3 bedrooms and a fireplace! Lots of great updates throughout! Come check it out
-
2026-04-16price $54,500 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Potential filled brick East Side bungalow ready for a new owner. Features 3 bedrooms and a fireplace! Lots of great updates throughout! Come check it out
-
2026-04-16price $54,500 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Potential filled brick East Side bungalow ready for a new owner. Features 3 bedrooms and a fireplace! Lots of great updates throughout! Come check it out
-
2026-03-23$59,900 Active 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Potential filled brick East Side bungalow ready for a new owner. Features 3 bedrooms and a fireplace! Lots of great updates throughout! Come check it out
-
2026-03-23$59,900 Active 153-char remark
Show marketing remark (153 chars)
Potential filled brick East Side bungalow ready for a new owner. Features 3 bedrooms and a fireplace! Lots of great updates throughout! Come check it out
-
2018-10-16soldstatus $14,000 Sold
-
2018-10-16soldstatus $14,000 Closed
-
2018-06-06$18,000 Active
-
2018-06-06$18,000 Active
-
1994-04-25soldstatus $14,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,145 · $95/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,145 · $95/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 48% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,195
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$1,145
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,296
- − Management
- −$1,296
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $7,963
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,911
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,349/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,075
- Household income
- $34,003
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1202.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 92% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Arabic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.86%
- Current HPI
- 217.2037
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
+256.4% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $53,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $53,500 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $54,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $54,500 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-23 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-23 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-10-16 Sold (MLS) $14,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-10-16 Sold (MLS) $14,000 REALCOMP
- 2018-06-06 Listed $18,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-06-06 Listed $18,000 REALCOMP
- 1994-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,145 · -33.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…