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12768 Maiden St
B- Composite 66.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.7/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

12768 Maiden St · Detroit, MI 48213
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,196 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 87 Days on market
Built 1942 3,920 sqft lot $42/sqft · 18% below area Est $49k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Potential filled brick East Side bungalow ready for a new owner. Features 3 bedrooms and a fireplace! Lots of great updates throughout! Come check it out

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1942

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $688 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.8% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 190 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,350/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1202% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $14k; list at $50k implies a 256% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $46,906 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.70%
Cap rate
22.85%
Cash-on-cash
59.12%
DSCR
3.63
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$49,008
List price
$49,900
Delta
1.82%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13113 Camden St 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,224 (+2%) 2mo $88,000 $72 84
13334 Elmdale St 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,221 (+2%) 3mo $89,254 $73 80
12798 Corbett St 0.06mi 3/1.5 1,124 (-6%) 6mo $75,000 $67 80
13136 Maiden St 0.22mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,144 (-4%) 1mo $10,000 $9 77
12578 Camden St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,123 (-6%) 9mo $47,000 $42 74
13001 Promenade St 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,124 (-6%) 6mo $73,800 $66 64
12780 Evanston St 0.22mi 3/2.5 1,074 (-10%) 9mo $17,500 $16 60
5557 Lakeview St 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,233 (+3%) 4mo $40,000 $32 57
8750 E Outer Dr 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,070 (-10%) 7mo $102,000 $95 54
14263 Hampshire St 0.49mi 3/1.0 1,056 (-12%) 5mo $16,500 $16 54
8801 E Outer Dr 0.53mi 3/1.5 1,047 (-12%) 1mo $40,000 $38 52
14920 longview Longview St 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,085 (-9%) 5mo $35,000 $32 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
57.8%
Equity multiple
3.56×
Total profit
$35,795
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
62.7%
Equity multiple
7.28×
Total profit
$87,786
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48213

Active inventory
190
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,350 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$95 /mo · $1,145/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$283
Net cashflow
$688

Break-even live

Break-even rent $478
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13137 Elmdale St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,400 $1.26 24d 1 0.28mi
12210 Longview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,100 $1.08 43d 1 0.40mi
13400 Longview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,400 $1.40 43d 1 0.41mi
5966 Eastlawn St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1366 $1,500 $1.10 24d 1 0.57mi
12051 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1224 $1,250 $1.02 17d 1 0.60mi
12840 Kilbourne St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1136 $1,350 $1.19 17d 1 0.62mi
9190 Hayes St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $850 $1.13 14d 1 0.67mi
9168 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1274 $1,300 $1.02 20d 1 0.94mi
9516 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 17d 1 0.98mi
9755 Wayburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1498 $1,400 $0.93 3d 1 0.98mi
11765 Glenfield Ave Unit 1510880P Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 990 $3,102 $3.13 14d 1 1.00mi
9400 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,150 $0.88 4d 1 1.01mi
12740 August St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 4d 1 1.05mi
5747 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1316 $1,473 $1.12 43d 1 1.11mi
10724 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 3.0 1425 $1,550 $1.09 17d 1 1.13mi
10141 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1115 $1,000 $0.90 43d 1 1.15mi
10813 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1392 $1,350 $0.97 17d 1 1.16mi
12110 Christy St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 950 $1,200 $1.26 17d 1 1.17mi
10644 Stratman St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 17d 1 1.17mi
12112 Christy St Unit 12110 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,200 $1.26 43d 1 1.17mi
9927 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 942 $1,375 $1.46 14d 1 1.19mi
14201 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.5 1296 $1,250 $0.96 43d 1 1.20mi
5751 Nottingham Rd Unit 5/21/26 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 14d 1 1.23mi
9984 Beaconsfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1222 $1,575 $1.29 43d 1 1.26mi
9409 Balfour Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1195 $1,200 $1.00 43d 1 1.27mi
9747 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 797 $1,100 $1.38 43d 1 1.28mi
15000 Mayfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1146 $970 $0.85 17d 1 1.29mi
11018 Whitehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1146 $1,450 $1.27 10d 1 1.29mi
5045 Fairview St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1303 $1,200 $0.92 43d 1 1.39mi
15857 Evanston St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1232 $1,250 $1.01 4d 1 1.41mi
11760 Nashville St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 17d 1 1.44mi
11785 Nashville St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1360 $1,450 $1.07 3d 1 1.45mi
15010 Cedargrove St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1018 $1,350 $1.33 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,900 Active 87 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,900 Active 86 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,900 Active 84 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 82 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 81 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,900 Active 78 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,900 Active 77 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,900 Active 76 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $49,900 Active 73 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,900 Active 72 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,900 Active 70 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,900 Active 69 DOM
  13. 2026-05-09
    price $49,900 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Potential filled brick East Side bungalow ready for a new owner. Features 3 bedrooms and a fireplace! Lots of great updates throughout! Come check it out

  14. 2026-05-08
    price $49,900 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Potential filled brick East Side bungalow ready for a new owner. Features 3 bedrooms and a fireplace! Lots of great updates throughout! Come check it out

  15. 2026-05-04
    price $53,500 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Potential filled brick East Side bungalow ready for a new owner. Features 3 bedrooms and a fireplace! Lots of great updates throughout! Come check it out

  16. 2026-05-04
    price $53,500 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Potential filled brick East Side bungalow ready for a new owner. Features 3 bedrooms and a fireplace! Lots of great updates throughout! Come check it out

  17. 2026-04-16
    price $54,500 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Potential filled brick East Side bungalow ready for a new owner. Features 3 bedrooms and a fireplace! Lots of great updates throughout! Come check it out

  18. 2026-04-16
    price $54,500 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Potential filled brick East Side bungalow ready for a new owner. Features 3 bedrooms and a fireplace! Lots of great updates throughout! Come check it out

  19. 2026-03-23
    listed $59,900 Active 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Potential filled brick East Side bungalow ready for a new owner. Features 3 bedrooms and a fireplace! Lots of great updates throughout! Come check it out

  20. 2026-03-23
    listed $59,900 Active 153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (153 chars)

    Potential filled brick East Side bungalow ready for a new owner. Features 3 bedrooms and a fireplace! Lots of great updates throughout! Come check it out

  21. 2018-10-16
    soldstatus $14,000 Sold
  22. 2018-10-16
    soldstatus $14,000 Closed
  23. 2018-06-06
    listed $18,000 Active
  24. 2018-06-06
    listed $18,000 Active
  25. 1994-04-25
    soldstatus $14,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,145 · $95/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,145 · $95/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 48% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,195
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$1,145
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,296
− Management
−$1,296
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$7,963
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,911
After-tax cash flow
$6,349/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,075
Household income
$34,003
Rent vs Own
41.6% rent · 58.4% own
Severe rent burden
1202.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (92%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 92% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Arabic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.86%
Current HPI
217.2037
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+256.4% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $53,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $53,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $54,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $54,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-10-16 Sold (MLS) $14,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-10-16 Sold (MLS) $14,000 REALCOMP
  • 2018-06-06 Listed $18,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2018-06-06 Listed $18,000 REALCOMP
  • 1994-04-25 Sold (Public Records) $14,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,145 · -33.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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