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2419 Jahn Ave NW #14
B+ Composite 75.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.8/15.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,950

2419 Jahn Ave NW #14 · Wollochet, WA 98335
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured public records · 61 Days on market
Built 1973 $117/sqft · 5% below area Est $142k · 5% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to West Anchor Mobile Home Park a highly sought-after 55+ community. offering peaceful living with breathtaking views of the Iconic Tacoma Narrows Bridge and the sparkling waters of Puget Sound. Situated on arguably the best lot in the park, this spacious doublewide home sits on a private corner setting with raised garden beds, perfect for enjoying the serene surroundings. Inside, you’ll find a thoughtfully updated interior featuring a separate living room and dining room, ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The fully remodeled kitchen shines with new cabinetry, granite countertops, all-new appliances, and a generous eating area. Recent upgrades continue throughou

Key facts

  • Breathtaking views
  • Raised garden beds
  • Updated interior

Tags

BREATHTAKING VIEWSPRIVATE CORNER SETTINGRAISED GARDEN BEDSUPDATED INTERIORSEPARATE LIVING ROOMFULLY REMODELED KITCHEN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 1.3% in Wollochet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#356 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Peninsula School District (suburban): math 61% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #21 of 291 in WA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $934 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $135k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $126,853 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
15.22%
Cash-on-cash
31.87%
DSCR
2.42
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$142,158
List price
$134,950
Delta
-5.07%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2419 Jahn Ave NW #3 0.02mi 2/2.0 1,248 (+8%) 6mo $142,195 $114 80

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.65% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.6%
Equity multiple
2.22×
Total profit
$46,005
Equity at exit
$20,121
10-year hold
IRR
36.9%
Equity multiple
4.68×
Total profit
$139,173
Equity at exit
$11,668

Cash invested: $37,786 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98335

Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
187
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,355 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,114/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$494
Net cashflow
$1,003

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,084
Max offer price $134,950
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,080 -5% $1,042 +0% $1,003 +5% $965 +10% $927
Rent -10% $817 -5% $910 +0% $1,003 +5% $1,096 +10% $1,189
Rate -1.0pp $1,071 -0.5pp $1,038 base $1,003 +0.5pp $968 +1.0pp $933

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,738
Closing costs
$4,048
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2413 Cliffside Ln NW Gig Harbor, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0 809 $2,359 $2.92 0d 11 0.33mi
4425 Harbor Country Dr Gig Harbor, WA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 711 $1,910 $2.68 0d 3 1.34mi

Listing history 37 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $134,950 Active 61 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $134,950 Active 58 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $134,950 Active 57 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $134,950 Active 56 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $134,950 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $134,950 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $134,950 Active 49 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $134,950 Active 48 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $134,950 Active 47 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $134,950 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $134,950 Active 43 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $134,950 Active 42 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $134,950 Active 41 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    pricedays on market $134,950 Active 40 DOM
  15. 2026-04-21
    listed $145,000 Active
  16. 2024-06-18
    soldstatus $75,000 Closed
  17. 2024-06-05
    status Pending
  18. 2024-06-04
    price $75,000
  19. 2024-05-29
    price $120,000
  20. 2024-04-05
    price $117,950
  21. 2024-04-05
    listed $119,950 Active
  22. 2016-08-12
    historical
  23. 2016-08-12
    historical
  24. 2016-08-12
    soldstatus $50,000 Sold
  25. 2016-08-12
    listed $50,000
  26. 2015-04-02
    soldstatus $17,500 Sold
  27. 2015-03-10
    price $20,000
  28. 2015-01-14
    price $22,500
  29. 2014-12-09
    listed $24,000 Active
  30. 2010-12-24
    soldstatus $12,500 Sold
  31. 2010-12-03
    status Pending Inspection
  32. 2010-10-20
    price $12,500
  33. 2010-09-30
    price $17,500
  34. 2010-07-07
    price $18,900
  35. 2010-07-02
    listed $19,500 Active
  36. 2001-05-18
    soldstatus $28,000
  37. 2000-11-03
    listed $28,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,114 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,323 · $110/mo
Expected delta
+$209/yr (+$17/mo · 18.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 18 unhealthy d/yr today · 28 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,256
− Mortgage interest
−$7,559
− Property taxes
−$1,114
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,261
− Management
−$2,261
− Depreciation
−$3,926
Taxable income
$10,461
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,511
After-tax cash flow
$9,531/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Peninsula School District
NCES district ID
5306690
Math proficiency
61% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$76,796
Composite
60.35/100
National rank
#1718
State rank
#21 of 291 in WA

Livability — Wollochet

Score
65/100
State rank
#356
US rank
#13570

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wollochet, WA
County
Pierce County · 788,257 people
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
27,773
Household income
$128,592
Rent vs Own
24.1% rent · 75.9% own
Severe rent burden
609.0

Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
956,648 people
By 2030
1,010,862 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,113,170 · +16.4%
By 2050
1,206,524 · +26.1%
By 2075
1,436,425 · +50.2%
By 2100
1,563,654 · +63.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Italian 9% Portuguese 8% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pierce

2024 margin
D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -604.41%
Current HPI
346.8354
Rent YoY
▲ 4.65%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+408.8% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $145,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-18 Sold (MLS) $75,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-05 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-04 Price Changed $75,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-29 Price Changed $120,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-04-05 Price Changed $117,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-04-05 Listed $119,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-08-12 Delisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-08-12 Listed $50,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-08-12 Sold (MLS) $50,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-08-12 Delisted NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-04-02 Sold (MLS) $17,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-03-10 Price Changed $20,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-01-14 Price Changed $22,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-12-09 Listed $24,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-12-24 Sold (MLS) $12,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-12-03 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-10-20 Price Changed $12,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-09-30 Price Changed $17,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-07-07 Price Changed $18,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-07-02 Listed $19,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2001-05-18 Sold (MLS) $28,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-11-03 Listed $28,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+15.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,114 · -7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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