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750 Lighthouse Dr #3112
B Composite 72.67
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • DSCR +8.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

750 Lighthouse Dr #3112 · Ocean Acres, NJ 08005
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 853 sqft · SingleFamily · 129 Days on market
Built 2025 Excellent condition $176/sqft · 45% below area Est $271k · 45% under $334/mo HOA · 16% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

THIS IS AN AFFORDABLE HOUSING UNIT! Buyer's MUST qualify for the affordable housing. Step into Coastal Woods, an exclusive community tailored for active adults aged 55 and above, where contemporary living takes on a fresh perspective. Nestled in the captivating landscapes of Barnegat, NJ, Coastal Woods offers a haven of sophistication and charm. Elevate your lifestyle by owning one of our 148 exceptional 1 and 2-bedroom condominiums, each designed to redefine not just your living space but your entire way of life. Experience the simplicity of hassle-free homeownership, turning every day into a rejuvenating escape.

Key facts

  • Community amenities
  • Finest beaches
  • Exclusive community

Tags

EXCLUSIVE COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY AMENITIESPEACEFUL WALKING TRAILSDYNAMIC SOCIAL SPACESFINEST BEACHESPARKS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $367 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.3% in Ocean Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#425 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Barnegat Township School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #285 of 472 in NJ (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Cecil S. Collins Elementary (784 students, 38% FRL); Russell O. Brackman Middle School (math 22% / reading 51%, grade F, #226 of 431 statewide, top 55%, 579 students, 33% FRL); Barnegat High School (math 20% / reading 45%, grade F, #265 of 399 statewide, top 67%, 983 students, 30% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 348 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
9.23%
Cash-on-cash
10.48%
DSCR
1.47
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$270,916
List price
$150,000
Delta
-44.63%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
750 Lighthouse Dr #1302 0.02mi 1/1.0 853 (0%) 12mo $229,990 $270 89
750 Lighthouse Dr #1102 0.08mi 1/1.0 853 (0%) 9mo $234,990 $275 89
750 Lighthouse Dr #1202 0.08mi 1/1.0 853 (0%) 9mo $239,990 $281 89
750 Lighthouse Dr #1307 0.10mi 1/1.0 853 (0%) 10mo $239,990 $281 88
750 Lighthouse Dr #1205 0.09mi 1/1.0 853 (0%) 12mo $234,990 $275 85
750 Lighthouse Dr #1207 0.10mi 1/1.0 853 (0%) 12mo $234,990 $275 85
750 Lighthouse Dr #1209 0.10mi 1/1.0 853 (0%) 12mo $234,990 $275 85
750 Lighthouse Dr #1312 0.12mi 1/1.0 853 (0%) 12mo $239,990 $281 84
750 Lighthouse Dr #1212 0.11mi 1/1.0 853 (0%) 12mo $234,990 $275 84
750 Lighthouse Dr #1113 0.12mi 2/1.0 (+1) 963 (+13%) 9mo $269,990 $280 60
750 Lighthouse Dr #1201 0.08mi 2/1.0 (+1) 963 (+13%) 12mo $274,990 $286 60
750 Lighthouse Dr #1313 0.12mi 2/1.0 (+1) 963 (+13%) 11mo $279,990 $291 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-759
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$30,195
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
7 active · 7 under contract
Median asking
$255,990 ($299/sqft)
Median days on market
93 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
+6.2% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 08005

Active inventory
348
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,108 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$116 /mo · $1,387/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$334
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$443
Net cashflow
$367

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,644
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $452 -5% $409 +0% $367 +5% $324 +10% $282
Rent -10% $200 -5% $283 +0% $367 +5% $450 +10% $533
Rate -1.0pp $442 -0.5pp $405 base $367 +0.5pp $328 +1.0pp $288

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
21 Potomac Ct Barnegat, NJ 2.0 1.0 900 $2,100 $2.33 54d 1 1.05mi

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
Monthly association feeAssociation fee includes common area, lawn maintenance, snow removalCommunity amenities: Exercise room, Community room, Clubhouse

Exterior

Parking
No garage
Utilities
Public sewer
Home design
CondominiumAttached propertyNew constructionModel: Harbor
Construction
New construction
Exterior features
Shingle roof

Interior

Kitchen
StoveMicrowaveDishwasherRefrigerator
Bedrooms
1 bedroom
Bathrooms
1 full bathroom
Heating & cooling
Forced air heatingCentral air conditioning
Interior features
Light fixturesNo fireplace
Laundry & utility
WasherDryer

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 129 DOM
  2. 2026-08-06
    days on market $150,000 Active 127 DOM
  3. 2026-08-05
    days on market $150,000 Active 126 DOM
  4. 2026-08-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 125 DOM
  5. 2026-08-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 124 DOM
  6. 2026-07-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 121 DOM
  7. 2026-07-30
    days on market $150,000 Active 120 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $150,000 Active 119 DOM
  9. 2026-07-28
    days on market $150,000 Active 118 DOM
  10. 2026-07-26
    days on market $150,000 Active 116 DOM
  11. 2026-07-24
    days on market $150,000 Active 114 DOM
  12. 2026-07-23
    days on market $150,000 Active 113 DOM
  13. 2026-07-22
    days on market $150,000 Active 112 DOM
  14. 2026-07-21
    days on market $150,000 Active 111 DOM
  15. 2026-07-20
    days on market $150,000 Active 110 DOM
  16. 2026-07-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 108 DOM
  17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 107 DOM
  18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 106 DOM
  19. 2026-07-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 105 DOM
  20. 2026-07-14
    days on market $150,000 Active 104 DOM
  21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 103 DOM
  22. 2026-07-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 102 DOM
  23. 2026-07-11
    days on market $150,000 Active 101 DOM
  24. 2026-07-10
    days on market $150,000 Active 100 DOM
  25. 2026-07-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 99 DOM
  26. 2026-07-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 97 DOM
  27. 2026-07-06
    days on market $150,000 Active 96 DOM
  28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $150,000 Active 95 DOM
  29. 2026-07-05
    days on market $150,000 Active 94 DOM
  30. 2026-07-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 93 DOM
  31. 2026-07-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 92 DOM
  32. 2026-07-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 91 DOM
  33. 2026-06-30
    days on market $150,000 Active 90 DOM
  34. 2026-06-29
    days on market $150,000 Active 89 DOM
  35. 2026-06-28
    days on market $150,000 Active 88 DOM
  36. 2026-06-27
    days on market $150,000 Active 87 DOM
  37. 2026-06-26
    days on market $150,000 Active 86 DOM
  38. 2026-06-24
    days on market $150,000 Active 84 DOM
  39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $150,000 Active 82 DOM
  40. 2026-06-21
    days on market $150,000 Active 81 DOM
  41. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 78 DOM
  42. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 77 DOM
  43. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 76 DOM
  44. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 75 DOM
  45. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 73 DOM
  46. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 72 DOM
  47. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 69 DOM
  48. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 68 DOM
  49. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 67 DOM
  50. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 64 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,387 · $116/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,561 · $213/mo
Expected delta
+$1,174/yr (+$98/mo · 84.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,297
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$1,387
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,024
− Management
−$2,024
− HOA
−$4,008
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$2,339
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$561
After-tax cash flow
$3,839/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This affordable housing unit is in excellent condition with modern amenities and a well-maintained exterior. It is move-in ready and would benefit from some minor updates to enhance its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Resale Interior paint touch-ups — fresh paint can make a home more appealing
  • Both Add smart home features — improves convenience and adds value
F Composite school gradezoned avg 34/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Cecil S. Collins Elementary Middle Russell O. Brackman Middle School F NJ #226/431 Nat'l #7,065/14,009 High Barnegat High School F NJ #265/399 Nat'l #10,333/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Barnegat Township School District
NCES district ID
3416470
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$63,645
Composite
31.15/100
National rank
#6059
State rank
#285 of 472 in NJ
C Composite livability gradescore 63/100

Livability — Ocean Acres

Score
63/100
State rank
#425
US rank
#15187

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ocean Acres, NJ
County
Ocean County · 586,991 people
City population
25,936
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
26,866
Household income
$93,584
Rent vs Own
11.4% rent · 88.6% own
Severe rent burden
6% of renters

Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
586,991 people
By 2030
581,403 · -1.0%
By 2040
564,913 · -3.8%
By 2050
538,149 · -8.3%
By 2075
468,845 · -20.1%
By 2100
350,297 · -40.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ocean

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $150,000 MOMLS

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,387 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…