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750 Lighthouse Dr #3112
B Composite 73.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

750 Lighthouse Dr #3112 · Ocean Acres, NJ 08005
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 853 sqft · Condo · 81 Days on market
Built 2025 Excellent condition $176/sqft · 44% below area Est $268k · 44% under $334/mo HOA · 16% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

THIS IS AN AFFORDABLE HOUSING UNIT! Buyer's MUST qualify for the affordable housing. Step into Coastal Woods, an exclusive community tailored for active adults aged 55 and above, where contemporary living takes on a fresh perspective. Nestled in the captivating landscapes of Barnegat, NJ, Coastal Woods offers a haven of sophistication and charm. Elevate your lifestyle by owning one of our 148 exceptional 1 and 2-bedroom condominiums, each designed to redefine not just your living space but your entire way of life. Experience the simplicity of hassle-free homeownership, turning every day into a rejuvenating escape. Immerse yourself in an array of community amenities meticulously crafted to enhance your daily routine. From peaceful walking trails to dynamic social spaces, we've carefully curated an atmosphere that nurtures connections and well-being. Revel in the coastal allure of Barnegat's surroundings, with the finest beaches and parks of the East Coast just moments away. Envision yourself soaking up the sun on pristine shores, discovering the wonders of nature, and returning to the serenity of Coastal Woods. Live the life you've always dreamed of - in a place where comfort, convenience, and the beauty of nature seamlessly intersect. Explore Coastal Woods and open a new chapter in your life, where each moment is a masterpiece. Welcome to your new home.

Key facts

  • Community amenities
  • Finest beaches
  • Exclusive community

Tags

EXCLUSIVE COMMUNITYCOMMUNITY AMENITIESPEACEFUL WALKING TRAILSDYNAMIC SOCIAL SPACESFINEST BEACHESPARKS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $150k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $392 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.1% in Ocean Acres — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#425 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Barnegat Township School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #285 of 472 in NJ (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Cecil S. Collins Elementary (784 students, 38% FRL); Russell O. Brackman Middle School (math 22% / reading 51%, grade F, #226 of 431 statewide, top 55%, 579 students, 33% FRL); Barnegat High School (math 20% / reading 45%, grade F, #265 of 399 statewide, top 67%, 983 students, 30% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 256 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $141,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
9.43%
Cash-on-cash
11.19%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$267,619
List price
$150,000
Delta
-43.95%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.5%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$839
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
10.3%
Equity multiple
1.80×
Total profit
$33,647
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08005

Active inventory
256
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,140 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$116 /mo · $1,387/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$334
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$449
Net cashflow
$392

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,644
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $477 -5% $434 +0% $392 +5% $349 +10% $307
Rent -10% $223 -5% $307 +0% $392 +5% $476 +10% $561
Rate -1.0pp $467 -0.5pp $430 base $392 +0.5pp $353 +1.0pp $313

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
21 Potomac Ct Barnegat, NJ 2.0 1.0 900 $2,100 $2.33 6d 1 1.05mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$334 · $4,008/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $150,000 Active 81 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 78 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 77 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 76 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 73 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 72 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 69 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 68 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active 67 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 64 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 63 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 62 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 61 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 60 DOM
  16. 2026-04-01
    listed $150,000 Active 1378-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1378 chars)

    THIS IS AN AFFORDABLE HOUSING UNIT! Buyer's MUST qualify for the affordable housing. Step into Coastal Woods, an exclusive community tailored for active adults aged 55 and above, where contemporary living takes on a fresh perspective. Nestled in the captivating landscapes of Barnegat, NJ, Coastal Woods offers a haven of sophistication and charm. Elevate your lifestyle by owning one of our 148 exceptional 1 and 2-bedroom condominiums, each designed to redefine not just your living space but your entire way of life. Experience the simplicity of hassle-free homeownership, turning every day into a rejuvenating escape. Immerse yourself in an array of community amenities meticulously crafted to enhance your daily routine. From peaceful walking trails to dynamic social spaces, we've carefully curated an atmosphere that nurtures connections and well-being. Revel in the coastal allure of Barnegat's surroundings, with the finest beaches and parks of the East Coast just moments away. Envision yourself soaking up the sun on pristine shores, discovering the wonders of nature, and returning to the serenity of Coastal Woods. Live the life you've always dreamed of - in a place where comfort, convenience, and the beauty of nature seamlessly intersect. Explore Coastal Woods and open a new chapter in your life, where each moment is a masterpiece. Welcome to your new home.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,387 · $116/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,561 · $213/mo
Expected delta
+$1,174/yr (+$98/mo · 84.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,679
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$1,387
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,054
− Management
−$2,054
− HOA
−$4,008
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$2,659
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$638
After-tax cash flow
$4,063/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Excellent 100/100 None rehab

This affordable housing unit is in excellent condition with modern amenities and a well-maintained exterior. It is move-in ready and would benefit from some minor updates to enhance its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Resale Interior paint touch-ups — fresh paint can make a home more appealing
  • Both Add smart home features — improves convenience and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Resale Interior paint touch-ups — fresh paint can make a home more appealing
  • Both Add smart home features — improves convenience and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Barnegat Township School District
NCES district ID
3416470
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$63,645
Composite
31.15/100
National rank
#6059
State rank
#285 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Ocean Acres

Score
63/100
State rank
#425
US rank
#15187

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ocean Acres, NJ
County
Ocean County · 439,426 people
City population
25,936
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
26,866
Household income
$93,584
Rent vs Own
11.4% rent · 88.6% own
Severe rent burden
384.0

Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
586,991 people
By 2030
581,403 · -1.0%
By 2040
564,913 · -3.8%
By 2050
538,149 · -8.3%
By 2075
468,845 · -20.1%
By 2100
350,297 · -40.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Scotch-Irish 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ocean

2024 margin
Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -204.01%
Current HPI
344.3189
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $150,000 MOMLS

Property tax history

+2.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,387 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…