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106 Mill St
B Composite 71.21
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$68,000

106 Mill St · Lodi, OH 44254
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 900 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1905 3,598 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor special! 3-bed 1-bath Located right in Lodi. Ready for your personal touch.

Key facts

  • 3,598 sq ft lot
  • Built 1905
  • Listed 3 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Unpaved parking area
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story entry (main living on one level)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Approximately 900 above-grade finished area
  • Exterior features: Unpaved parking; Lot recorded at 0.0826 acres

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air heating; Gas heating
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $302 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
  • Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 2.3% in Lodi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#655 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Cloverleaf Local (rural): math 61% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #205 of 656 in OH (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 471 units permitted in Medina County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $68,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.49%
Cap rate
11.63%
Cash-on-cash
19.06%
DSCR
1.85
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$191,700
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
107 Grandview Dr 0.32mi 2/1.5 912 (+1%) 0mo $210,000 $230 80
207 Gaylord St 0.26mi 2/1.0 870 (-3%) 7mo $105,000 $121 76
110 Grove St 0.55mi 3/2.0 (+1) 988 (+10%) 9mo $210,000 $213 42
121 Howe St 0.59mi 2/1.0 784 (-13%) 17mo $105,000 $134 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
1.43×
Total profit
$8,269
Equity at exit
$10,139
10-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
2.69×
Total profit
$32,122
Equity at exit
$5,879

Cash invested: $19,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44254

Home prices YoY
-27.7%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,010 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$357
Tax from tax record
$111 /mo · $1,327/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$212
Net cashflow
$302

Break-even live

Break-even rent $627
Max offer price $68,000
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $341 -5% $322 +0% $302 +5% $283 +10% $264
Rent -10% $223 -5% $262 +0% $302 +5% $342 +10% $382
Rate -1.0pp $337 -0.5pp $320 base $302 +0.5pp $285 +1.0pp $267

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,000
Closing costs
$2,040
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
201 Elyria St Unit 5 Lodi, OH 1.0 1.0 800 $995 $1.24 2d 1 0.10mi
145 Harris St Unit 145 1/2 Lodi, OH 3.0 1.0 680 $1,100 $1.62 17d 1 0.22mi
614 Highland Dr Lodi, OH 2.0 1.0 725 $850 $1.17 24d 1 0.73mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $68,000 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    remarks 84-char remark
  3. 2026-06-18
    listed $68,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,327 · $111/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,327 · $111/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,119
− Mortgage interest
−$3,809
− Property taxes
−$1,327
− Insurance
−$340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$970
− Management
−$970
− Depreciation
−$1,978
Taxable income
$2,726
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$654
After-tax cash flow
$2,974/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cloverleaf Local
NCES district ID
3904848
Math proficiency
61% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
68% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$58,407
Composite
55.59/100
National rank
#1235
State rank
#205 of 656 in OH

Livability — Lodi

Score
66/100
State rank
#655
US rank
#11612

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lodi, OH
County
Medina · 181,928 people
Metro
Cleveland, OH
Population (ZIP)
4,857
Household income
$64,511
Rent vs Own
24.3% rent · 75.7% own
Severe rent burden
7.9

Population outlook (Medina County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
185,249 people
By 2030
188,174 · +1.6%
By 2040
190,350 · +2.8%
By 2050
187,283 · +1.1%
By 2075
177,108 · -4.4%
By 2100
151,304 · -18.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · China
Languages at home
94% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 2% Chinese 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Medina

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.8) · D 37.2% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-16.8pp toward R · 2008: -8.0pp · 2024: -24.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.8 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+24.9 2012: R+13.1 2008: R+8.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -82.87%
Current HPI
216.6444
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $68,000 MLSNOW
  • 2004-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $65,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,327 · +11.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…