4869 Courville St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Residing at 4869 Courville ST in Detroit, MI, stands a distinctive single-family residence, a testament to the architectural character of 1927. This single-family residence presents an inviting floor plan, thoughtfully designed to offer distinct zones for living. Within its structure are three dedicated sleeping quarters, each providing a personal haven for quiet reflection and repose. The arrangement of these spaces promotes an atmosphere of individual comfort and privacy throughout the dwelling. This Detroit residence, with its historical foundations and thoughtful design, presents a unique opportunity for sophisticated living.
Key facts
- 4,792 sq ft lot
- Built 1927
- Listed 35 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $500 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 492 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.7% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.9% of price; built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.75%
- DSCR
- 2.59
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $159,702
- List price
- $60,000
- Delta
- -62.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4830 Courville St | 0.05mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,878 (+2%) | 2mo | $119,000 | $63 | 87 |
| 5200 Bedford St | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,718 (-6%) | 1mo | $159,900 | $93 | 79 |
| 4836 Kensington Ave | 0.24mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,752 (-4%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $111 | 76 |
| 5236 Bedford St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,670 (-9%) | 1mo | $159,900 | $96 | 74 |
| 4331 Balfour Rd | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,793 (-2%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $89 | 69 |
| 5256 Harvard Rd | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,923 (+5%) | 1mo | $207,500 | $108 | 66 |
| 4384 Grayton St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,952 (+7%) | 1mo | $272,500 | $140 | 64 |
| 5541 Grayton St | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,730 (-6%) | 0mo | $200,000 | $116 | 58 |
| 4861 Nottingham Rd | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,918 (+5%) | 1mo | $75,000 | $39 | 58 |
| 5934 Haverhill St | 0.63mi | 3/3.0 | 1,761 (-4%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $85 | 58 |
| 5205 Cadieux Rd | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,992 (+9%) | 0mo | $108,000 | $54 | 57 |
| 3930 Yorkshire Rd | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,704 (-7%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $161 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.14×
- Total profit
- $19,213
- Equity at exit
- $8,946
- IRR
- 34.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.75×
- Total profit
- $46,262
- Equity at exit
- $5,188
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48224
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 492
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,373 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$244 /mo · $2,932/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$288
- Net cashflow
- $500
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $711 | -5% $691 | +0% $500 | +5% $484 | +10% $467 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $392 | -5% $446 | +0% $500 | +5% $555 | +10% $609 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $531 | -0.5pp $516 | base $500 | +0.5pp $485 | +1.0pp $469 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5050 Three Mile Dr Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2127 | $1,150 | $0.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 5267 Haverhill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1458 | $1,300 | $0.89 | 18d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 5267 Haverhill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1458 | $1,300 | $0.89 | 17d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 5574 Buckingham Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1430 | $1,450 | $1.01 | 5d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3626 Courville St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,300 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 3651 Buckingham Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1320 | $1,300 | $0.98 | 18d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 5791 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1660 | $1,400 | $0.84 | 18d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 15857 Evanston St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1232 | $1,250 | $1.01 | 6d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5747 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1316 | $1,473 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4251 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1326 | $1,650 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 9635 Everts St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,650 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 9171 Bishop St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1508 | $1,300 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 6225 Oldtown St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1330 | $1,199 | $0.90 | 18d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 9241 Boleyn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,350 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 9400 Lakepointe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,150 | $0.88 | 6d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 9168 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $1,300 | $1.02 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 9313 Harvard Rd Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1329 | $1,200 | $0.90 | 18d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 5944 Marseilles St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1910 | $1,300 | $0.68 | 18d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 9755 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 4d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1334 Maryland St Grosse Pointe Park, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1786 | $1,200 | $0.67 | 19d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 10724 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1425 | $1,550 | $1.09 | 18d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 5966 Eastlawn St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1366 | $1,500 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 10813 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1392 | $1,350 | $0.97 | 18d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 637-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
Residing at 4869 Courville ST in Detroit, MI, stands a distinctive single-family residence, a testament to the architectural character of 1927. This single-family residence presents an inviting floor plan, thoughtfully designed to offer distinct zones for living. Within its structure are three dedicated sleeping quarters, each providing a personal haven for quiet reflection and repose. The arrangement of these spaces promotes an atmosphere of individual comfort and privacy throughout the dwelling. This Detroit residence, with its historical foundations and thoughtful design, presents a unique opportunity for sophisticated living.
-
2026-05-08status Pending 637-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
Residing at 4869 Courville ST in Detroit, MI, stands a distinctive single-family residence, a testament to the architectural character of 1927. This single-family residence presents an inviting floor plan, thoughtfully designed to offer distinct zones for living. Within its structure are three dedicated sleeping quarters, each providing a personal haven for quiet reflection and repose. The arrangement of these spaces promotes an atmosphere of individual comfort and privacy throughout the dwelling. This Detroit residence, with its historical foundations and thoughtful design, presents a unique opportunity for sophisticated living.
-
2026-04-18price $60,000 637-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
Residing at 4869 Courville ST in Detroit, MI, stands a distinctive single-family residence, a testament to the architectural character of 1927. This single-family residence presents an inviting floor plan, thoughtfully designed to offer distinct zones for living. Within its structure are three dedicated sleeping quarters, each providing a personal haven for quiet reflection and repose. The arrangement of these spaces promotes an atmosphere of individual comfort and privacy throughout the dwelling. This Detroit residence, with its historical foundations and thoughtful design, presents a unique opportunity for sophisticated living.
-
2026-04-18price $60,000 637-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
Residing at 4869 Courville ST in Detroit, MI, stands a distinctive single-family residence, a testament to the architectural character of 1927. This single-family residence presents an inviting floor plan, thoughtfully designed to offer distinct zones for living. Within its structure are three dedicated sleeping quarters, each providing a personal haven for quiet reflection and repose. The arrangement of these spaces promotes an atmosphere of individual comfort and privacy throughout the dwelling. This Detroit residence, with its historical foundations and thoughtful design, presents a unique opportunity for sophisticated living.
-
2026-03-31$80,000 Active 637-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
Residing at 4869 Courville ST in Detroit, MI, stands a distinctive single-family residence, a testament to the architectural character of 1927. This single-family residence presents an inviting floor plan, thoughtfully designed to offer distinct zones for living. Within its structure are three dedicated sleeping quarters, each providing a personal haven for quiet reflection and repose. The arrangement of these spaces promotes an atmosphere of individual comfort and privacy throughout the dwelling. This Detroit residence, with its historical foundations and thoughtful design, presents a unique opportunity for sophisticated living.
-
2026-03-31$80,000 Active 637-char remark
Show marketing remark (637 chars)
Residing at 4869 Courville ST in Detroit, MI, stands a distinctive single-family residence, a testament to the architectural character of 1927. This single-family residence presents an inviting floor plan, thoughtfully designed to offer distinct zones for living. Within its structure are three dedicated sleeping quarters, each providing a personal haven for quiet reflection and repose. The arrangement of these spaces promotes an atmosphere of individual comfort and privacy throughout the dwelling. This Detroit residence, with its historical foundations and thoughtful design, presents a unique opportunity for sophisticated living.
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2025-10-22historical
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2025-10-22historical
-
2025-08-07price $136,000
-
2025-08-07price $136,000
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2025-07-09$159,000 Active
-
2025-07-09$159,000 Active
-
2022-05-05soldstatus $139,000
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2019-08-20historical
-
2019-04-26status Pending
-
2019-04-17historical
-
2019-04-06status Pending
-
2019-04-05status Pending
-
2019-04-04historical
-
2019-03-18status Active
-
2019-03-18status Active
-
2019-02-06status Pending
-
2019-02-06status Pending
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2018-10-18$75,000 Active
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2018-10-18$75,000 Active
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2009-01-07soldstatus $9,900
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2008-10-13$9,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,932 · $244/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,932 · $244/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,473
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$2,932
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,318
- − Management
- −$1,318
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable income
- $5,499
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,320
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,686/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,668
- Household income
- $44,856
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2515.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% White 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -226.38%
- Current HPI
- 161.886
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.73%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+506.1% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-08 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $60,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-31 Listed $80,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-31 Listed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-22 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-22 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-08-07 Price Changed $136,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-07 Price Changed $136,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-07-09 Listed $159,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-07-09 Listed $159,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-05-05 Sold (Public Records) $139,000 Public Records
- 2019-08-20 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2019-04-26 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2019-04-17 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2019-04-06 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-04-05 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2019-04-04 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-03-18 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-03-18 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2019-02-06 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2019-02-06 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2018-10-18 Listed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2018-10-18 Listed $75,000 REALCOMP
- 2009-01-07 Sold (MLS) $9,900 REALCOMP
- 2008-10-13 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,932 · -54.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…