4934 Pickys Holw SE · Emerson, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 20.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
LOCATION! Reduced Price Motivated Seller! Investor Special or Ideal Starter Home in Acworth, GA. 3BR/2BA mobile home situated on a peaceful 0.5-acre lot, offering excellent potential for a fix-and-flip, rental investment, or affordable primary residence. Conveniently located just minutes from Lake Allatoona, Red Top Mountain, I-75, and LakePoint Sports Complex in a high-demand, growing area. Home features approximately 1,064 sq ft, permanent foundation, metal roof, and brand-new plumbing throughout. Covered front porch provides additional outdoor living space. Exterior includes multiple storage buildings, one with a built-in workshop and benches. Property needs TLC but has strong bones and major updates already completed. Sold AS IS. No disclosures. Great opportunity for cash buyers or investors seeking value-add potential and strong rental upside. Schedule via ShowingTime.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Metal roof
- Permanent foundation
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $791 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $128k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 3.0% in Emerson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#203 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Bartow County (rural): math 33% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #70 of 174 in GA (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Emerson Elementary School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #582 of 1,228 statewide, top 50%, 386 students, 67% FRL); Red Top Middle School (math 26% / reading 28%, grade F, #271 of 470 statewide, top 60%, 565 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 51% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 326 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,618 units permitted in Bartow County in 2024 (265 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.08%
- DSCR
- 2.16
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $151,088
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4934 Pickys Holw SE | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,064 (0%) | 2mo | $131,500 | $124 | 99 |
| 4821 Ryan Rd | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (-1%) | 16mo | $150,000 | $142 | 74 |
| 7294 Staton Pl SE | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (-10%) | 9mo | $180,000 | $188 | 55 |
| 7362 Cross Creek Dr SE | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,164 (+9%) | 10mo | $115,000 | $99 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $26,682
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 25.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $77,577
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30102
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 326
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,043 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$87 /mo · $1,043/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$429
- Net cashflow
- $791
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $865 | -5% $828 | +0% $791 | +5% $754 | +10% $717 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $630 | -5% $710 | +0% $791 | +5% $872 | +10% $952 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $856 | -0.5pp $824 | base $791 | +0.5pp $757 | +1.0pp $723 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-04-30soldstatus $131,500 Sold 909-char remark
Show marketing remark (909 chars)
LOCATION! Reduced Price Motivated Seller! Investor Special or Ideal Starter Home in Acworth, GA. 3BR/2BA mobile home situated on a peaceful 0.5-acre lot, offering excellent potential for a fix-and-flip, rental investment, or affordable primary residence. Conveniently located just minutes from Lake Allatoona, Red Top Mountain, I-75, and LakePoint Sports Complex in a high-demand, growing area. Home features approximately 1,064 sq ft, permanent foundation, metal roof, and brand-new plumbing throughout. Covered front porch provides additional outdoor living space. Exterior includes multiple storage buildings, one with a built-in workshop and benches. Property needs TLC but has strong bones and major updates already completed. Sold AS IS. No disclosures. Great opportunity for cash buyers or investors seeking value-add potential and strong rental upside. Schedule via ShowingTime.
-
2026-04-17status Pending
Show marketing remark (909 chars)
LOCATION! Reduced Price Motivated Seller! Investor Special or Ideal Starter Home in Acworth, GA. 3BR/2BA mobile home situated on a peaceful 0.5-acre lot, offering excellent potential for a fix-and-flip, rental investment, or affordable primary residence. Conveniently located just minutes from Lake Allatoona, Red Top Mountain, I-75, and LakePoint Sports Complex in a high-demand, growing area. Home features approximately 1,064 sq ft, permanent foundation, metal roof, and brand-new plumbing throughout. Covered front porch provides additional outdoor living space. Exterior includes multiple storage buildings, one with a built-in workshop and benches. Property needs TLC but has strong bones and major updates already completed. Sold AS IS. No disclosures. Great opportunity for cash buyers or investors seeking value-add potential and strong rental upside. Schedule via ShowingTime.
-
2026-04-17status Under Contract 909-char remark
Show marketing remark (909 chars)
LOCATION! Reduced Price Motivated Seller! Investor Special or Ideal Starter Home in Acworth, GA. 3BR/2BA mobile home situated on a peaceful 0.5-acre lot, offering excellent potential for a fix-and-flip, rental investment, or affordable primary residence. Conveniently located just minutes from Lake Allatoona, Red Top Mountain, I-75, and LakePoint Sports Complex in a high-demand, growing area. Home features approximately 1,064 sq ft, permanent foundation, metal roof, and brand-new plumbing throughout. Covered front porch provides additional outdoor living space. Exterior includes multiple storage buildings, one with a built-in workshop and benches. Property needs TLC but has strong bones and major updates already completed. Sold AS IS. No disclosures. Great opportunity for cash buyers or investors seeking value-add potential and strong rental upside. Schedule via ShowingTime.
-
2026-04-02$130,000 New 909-char remark
Show marketing remark (909 chars)
LOCATION! Reduced Price Motivated Seller! Investor Special or Ideal Starter Home in Acworth, GA. 3BR/2BA mobile home situated on a peaceful 0.5-acre lot, offering excellent potential for a fix-and-flip, rental investment, or affordable primary residence. Conveniently located just minutes from Lake Allatoona, Red Top Mountain, I-75, and LakePoint Sports Complex in a high-demand, growing area. Home features approximately 1,064 sq ft, permanent foundation, metal roof, and brand-new plumbing throughout. Covered front porch provides additional outdoor living space. Exterior includes multiple storage buildings, one with a built-in workshop and benches. Property needs TLC but has strong bones and major updates already completed. Sold AS IS. No disclosures. Great opportunity for cash buyers or investors seeking value-add potential and strong rental upside. Schedule via ShowingTime.
-
2026-04-02$130,000 Active
Show marketing remark (909 chars)
LOCATION! Reduced Price Motivated Seller! Investor Special or Ideal Starter Home in Acworth, GA. 3BR/2BA mobile home situated on a peaceful 0.5-acre lot, offering excellent potential for a fix-and-flip, rental investment, or affordable primary residence. Conveniently located just minutes from Lake Allatoona, Red Top Mountain, I-75, and LakePoint Sports Complex in a high-demand, growing area. Home features approximately 1,064 sq ft, permanent foundation, metal roof, and brand-new plumbing throughout. Covered front porch provides additional outdoor living space. Exterior includes multiple storage buildings, one with a built-in workshop and benches. Property needs TLC but has strong bones and major updates already completed. Sold AS IS. No disclosures. Great opportunity for cash buyers or investors seeking value-add potential and strong rental upside. Schedule via ShowingTime.
-
2026-03-26historical
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2025-10-06$180,000 New
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2025-08-31historical
-
2025-08-31historical
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2025-08-12price $185,000
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2025-08-12price $185,000
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2025-07-11price $188,000
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2025-07-11price $188,000
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2025-05-29price $195,000
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2025-05-29price $195,000
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2025-05-15$200,000 Active
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2025-05-15$200,000 New
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1999-01-01soldstatus $49,500
-
1995-04-01soldstatus $18,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,043 · $87/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,196 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- +$153/yr (+$13/mo · 14.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 20% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,515
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,043
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,961
- − Management
- −$1,961
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $7,835
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,880
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,612/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bartow County
- NCES district ID
- 1300330
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,596
- Composite
- 29.16/100
- National rank
- #6577
- State rank
- #70 of 174 in GA
Livability — Emerson
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #203
- US rank
- #12365
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Cherokee County · 289,977 people
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,319
- Household income
- $97,676
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 940.0
Population outlook (Bartow County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 107,887 people
- By 2030
- 109,594 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 111,038 · +2.9%
- By 2050
- 109,046 · +1.1%
- By 2075
- 99,484 · -7.8%
- By 2100
- 83,431 · -22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 14% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bartow
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.0) · D 24.2% · R 75.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: -45.2pp · 2024: -51.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.0 2020: R+50.7 2016: R+55.2 2012: R+51.7 2008: R+45.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -209.73%
- Current HPI
- 250.4575
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.71%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+610.8% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Sold (MLS) $131,500 GAMLS
- 2026-04-17 Pending — FMLS
- 2026-04-17 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $130,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-02 Listed $130,000 GAMLS
- 2026-03-26 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-10-06 Listed $180,000 GAMLS
- 2025-08-31 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-08-31 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2025-08-12 Price Changed $185,000 GAMLS
- 2025-08-12 Price Changed $185,000 FMLS
- 2025-07-11 Price Changed $188,000 GAMLS
- 2025-07-11 Price Changed $188,000 FMLS
- 2025-05-29 Price Changed $195,000 GAMLS
- 2025-05-29 Price Changed $195,000 FMLS
- 2025-05-15 Listed $200,000 GAMLS
- 2025-05-15 Listed $200,000 FMLS
- 1999-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
- 1995-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+42.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,043 · +14.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…